Toluca vs Atlas predictions, Mar 14, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

7 months ago

Mexican Liga MX, on Saturday, 9:00 pm ET

Score, Highlights

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On March 14, 2026, Deportivo Toluca hosts Club Atlas at their home ground in a pivotal Liga MX clash. Toluca arrives in strong form, securing victories in four of their last five matches, showcasing resilience and tactical prowess. Their offensive unit has been particularly effective, converting chances with precision while maintaining a solid defensive structure, which will be critical against Atlas.

In contrast, Atlas has struggled recently, managing only two wins in their last five outings. Their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed, leading to inconsistent performances that could hinder their ability to challenge Toluca effectively. Despite facing tough competition, Atlas possesses moments of brilliance that can turn the tide if they exploit defensive lapses.

The bookmakers favor Toluca significantly, with odds of 1.26 for a home win, reflecting their current form and playing style. However, the away odds for Atlas at 10.58 suggest that an upset is not entirely out of reach if they can capitalize on set pieces and counterattacks effectively.

In conclusion, while Toluca appears to be the stronger side heading into this match, the unpredictability of soccer means that Atlas could very well mount a challenge. A balanced and tactically astute performance from both teams should make for an engaging encounter.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-09T09:52:03+00:00.

Toluca
73.9%

Draw
16.4%

Atlas
9.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Toluca: 20.67% Atlas: 4.86%

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Betting Odds

1	X	2
1.27	6.11	9.28
1.27	5.4	9.8
1.26	5.65	9.7	Watch and Bet
1.25	5	8.5
1.26	6.2	9.53

Latest Results

08.03.26 Deportivo Toluca – FC Juárez – 3:1
03.03.26 UNAM Pumas – Deportivo Toluca – 2:3
28.02.26 Deportivo Toluca – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:0
21.02.26 Club Necaxa – Deportivo Toluca – 0:3
13.02.26 Deportivo Toluca – Club Tijuana – 1:0

07.03.26 Club Atlas – Chivas Guadalajara – 1:2
04.03.26 Club Atlas – Club Tijuana – 2:1
27.02.26 FC Juárez – Club Atlas – 3:1
21.02.26 Club Atlas – Atlético San Luis – 3:2
14.02.26 CF Pachuca – Club Atlas – 3:1

Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.

Toluca has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atlas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Toluca is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 2.8:1.6).

Latest Head To Head

01.11.25 Club Atlas – Deportivo Toluca – 0:0
12.04.25 Club Atlas – Deportivo Toluca – 2:3
28.09.24 Deportivo Toluca – Club Atlas – 4:1
07.04.24 Deportivo Toluca – Club Atlas – 4:1
26.08.23 Club Atlas – Deportivo Toluca – 0:0

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cruz Azul	10	8	1	1	20:9	11	25
2	Toluca	10	7	3	0	17:5	12	24
3	Guadalajara Chivas	9	7	0	2	14:9	5	21
4	Pachuca	10	6	2	2	13:8	5	20
5	UNAM Pumas	10	5	4	1	18:10	8	19
6	Tigres UANL	10	5	1	4	17:12	5	16
7	Atlas	10	5	1	4	13:15	-2	16
8	Club America	10	4	2	4	11:10	1	14
9	Monterrey	10	4	1	5	14:10	4	13
10	Puebla	10	3	2	5	9:13	-4	11
11	Atl. San Luis	10	3	1	6	16:18	-2	10
12	Juarez	9	3	1	5	14:17	-3	10
13	Club Leon	9	3	1	5	11:15	-4	10
14	Mazatlan FC	10	3	1	6	13:20	-7	10
15	Club Tijuana	10	1	6	3	9:11	-2	9
16	Necaxa	10	3	0	7	11:16	-5	9
17	Queretaro	9	1	3	5	8:16	-8	6
18	Santos Laguna	10	1	2	7	12:26	-14	5

Mexican Liga MX Outrights

1. Toluca: 4 (20.67%)

2. Cruz Azul: 4.5 (18.38%)

3. Tigres UANL: 8 (10.34%)

4. Pachuca: 9 (9.19%)

5. Guadalajara: 10.25 (8.07%)

6. Club America: 11 (7.52%)

7. UNAM Pumas: 11 (7.52%)

8. Monterrey: 13 (6.36%)

9. Atlas: 17 (4.86%)

10. Juarez: 34 (2.43%)

11. Puebla: 81 (1.02%)

12. Club Leon: 101 (0.82%)

13. Club Tijuana: 101 (0.82%)

14. Necaxa: 126 (0.66%)

15. Atletico San Luis: 126 (0.66%)

16. Mazatlan FC: 201 (0.41%)

17. Queretaro: 501 (0.17%)

18. Santos Laguna: 751 (0.11%)

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