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Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara predictions, Feb 28, 2026

Mexican Liga MX, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming Liga MX clash between Deportivo Toluca and Chivas Guadalajara on February 28, 2026, promises to be an intriguing matchup as both teams vie for crucial points. Toluca, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiar surroundings despite their recent form showing only two wins in their last five outings. They will aim to improve their consistency, utilizing a balanced attacking style that has seen them score effectively, though defensive lapses could be their undoing.

In stark contrast, Chivas Guadalajara enters this encounter on an impressive run, having won all five of their recent fixtures. Their offensive prowess has been a key factor, as they’ve displayed a combination of speed and precision that keeps opposing defenses on their toes. Chivas’ ability to maintain possession and create high-quality chances could pose significant challenges for Toluca’s backline.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.99 for Toluca to win at home, with Chivas at 3.45 for an away victory. Our model suggests a probability of 49.2% for a home win, 29.6% for a draw, and 24.7% for an away win, predicting a tight contest culminating in a 2:1 final score. While recent form favors Chivas, Toluca’s home advantage must not be overlooked. Expect a competitive match where tactical execution will be critical.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-22T01:52:03+00:00.

Toluca
46%
Draw
29.2%
Guadalajara
24.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.12 2.98 3.7
2 3.08 4.01 Watch and Bet
1.95 3.25 3.2
2.02 3.11 4.13

Latest Results

21.02.26 Club Necaxa – Deportivo Toluca – 0:3
13.02.26 Deportivo Toluca – Club Tijuana – 1:0
07.02.26 Deportivo Toluca – Cruz Azul FC – 1:1
30.01.26 Puebla FC – Deportivo Toluca – 0:0
17.01.26 Tigres UANL – Deportivo Toluca – 0:0
21.02.26 Cruz Azul FC – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:1
14.02.26 Chivas Guadalajara – Club América – 1:0
06.02.26 Mazatlan FC – Chivas Guadalajara – 1:2
31.01.26 Atlético San Luis – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:3
17.01.26 Chivas Guadalajara – Querétaro FC – 2:1

Facts

  • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
  • Now, both teams are in good form.
  • Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Toluca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    20.09.25 Chivas Guadalajara – Deportivo Toluca – 0:3
    15.02.25 Deportivo Toluca – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:1
    06.07.24 Chivas Guadalajara – Deportivo Toluca – 0:0
    11.05.24 Deportivo Toluca – Chivas Guadalajara – 0:0
    08.05.24 Chivas Guadalajara – Deportivo Toluca – 1:0

    Standings

    Clausura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Guadalajara Chivas 7 6 0 1 12:6 6 18
    2 Cruz Azul 7 5 1 1 13:8 5 16
    3 Toluca 7 4 3 0 9:2 7 15
    4 Pachuca 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
    5 Atlas 7 4 1 2 9:9 0 13
    6 UNAM Pumas 6 3 3 0 12:6 6 12
    7 Club America 7 3 2 2 7:3 4 11
    8 Monterrey 6 3 1 2 10:5 5 10
    9 Tigres UANL 7 3 1 3 11:8 3 10
    10 Necaxa 7 3 0 4 9:11 -2 9
    11 Club Tijuana 6 1 4 1 5:5 0 7
    12 Atl. San Luis 7 2 1 4 12:13 -1 7
    13 Club Leon 7 2 1 4 7:10 -3 7
    14 Queretaro 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
    15 Puebla 7 1 2 4 4:10 -6 5
    16 Juarez 6 1 1 4 8:12 -4 4
    17 Mazatlan FC 6 1 0 5 6:13 -7 3
    18 Santos Laguna 7 0 1 6 7:21 -14 1

    Mexican Liga MX Outrights

    1. Guadalajara: 15 (100%)

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