ATP Australian Open, on Thursday,
Score, Highlights
Short Preview
In an intriguing clash at the ATP Australian Open, Tommy Paul faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on January 22, 2026. This matchup features two players in excellent form, with both securing four wins in their last five matches.
Tommy Paul, playing on home soil, has shown remarkable consistency lately. His aggressive baseline play and effective serve make him a formidable opponent, allowing him to dominate rallies and dictate tempo on his favorite surfaces. Meanwhile, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina brings a versatile playing style, capable of counter-punching and maintaining impressive baseline exchanges. He can challenge opponents with his speed and shot variety, making him a tough competitor.
Bookmakers favor Paul, offering odds of 1.48 for a home win against 2.67 for Davidovich Fokina, reflecting the slight edge in home advantage and recent performance trends. Our model suggests a 63.6% probability of a home victory, although the likelihood of an away win stands at 36.4%.
As both players are riding high on confidence, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair. While Paul may have the edge, Davidovich Fokina’s resilience could prove crucial, ensuring that fans can expect a thrilling encounter with no guaranteed outcome.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-21T09:52:02+00:00.
| Paul 63.4% |
Davidovich Fokina 36.6% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 3:0
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.5 | 2.6 | ||
 |
1.48 | 2.69 | |
|
 |
1.53 | 2.5 | ||
 |
1.49 | 2.61 | ||
 |
1.5 | 2.54 |
Latest Results
| 20.01.26 Tommy Paul – Thiago Augustin Tirante – 3:0 18.01.26 Tommy Paul – Aleksandar Kovacevic – 3:0 15.01.26 Tomas Machac – Tommy Paul – 2:1 15.01.26 Aleksandar Vukic – Tommy Paul – 0:2 13.01.26 Reilly Opelka – Tommy Paul – 0:2 |
20.01.26 Reilly Opelka – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 2:3 18.01.26 Filip Misolic – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 0:3 16.01.26 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Ugo Humbert – 1:2 15.01.26 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Valentin Vacherot – 2:0 14.01.26 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Rinky Hijikata – 2:0 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 18.01.25 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Tommy Paul – 0:3 01.09.23 Tommy Paul – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 3:1 26.03.23 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Tommy Paul – 0:2 18.01.23 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Tommy Paul – 2:3 |
Standings
Draw
Singles – Main
1/64-finals
| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Svajda Z. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Zheng M. (Q) | Korda S. | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Schoolkate T. | Moutet C. (32) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Paul T. (19) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Tirante T. A. | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Brooksby J. | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Kecmanovic M. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Fery A. (Q) | Cobolli F. (20) | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Kubler J. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Kypson P. (WC) | Comesana F. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Medjedovic H. | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | McDonald M. (LL) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Diallo G. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Popyrin A. | Muller A. | 2 : 3 |
| 19 | Nava E. | Jacquet K. (WC) | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bonzi B. | Norrie C. (26) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Zhang Z. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Draxl L. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Blockx A. (LL) | Faria J. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Rublev A. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | De Jong J. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Halys Q. | Tabilo A. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Majchrzak K. | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. (24) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Tien L. (25) | Giron M. | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Ymer E. (Q) | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Cerundolo J. M. | Thompson J. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Borges N. | Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Collignon R. (RET.) | 2 : 1 |
| 34 | Sonego L. | Taberner C. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Dimitrov G. | Machac T. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Mochizuki S. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (17) | Gea A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 38 | Djere L. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Struff J-L. | 3 : 2 |
| 40 | Royer V. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Mensik J. (16) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 2 |
| 42 | Sakamoto R. (Q) | Jodar R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 43 | Hurkacz H. | Bergs Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 44 | Quinn E. | Griekspoor T. (23) | 3 : 0 |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 3 |
| 46 | Shang J. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Atmane T. | Maestrelli F. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 48 | Martinez P. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Humbert U. | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Sweeny D. (Q) | Monfils G. | 3 : 1 |
| 51 | Mannarino A. | Hijikata R. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Damm M. (Q) | Vacherot V. (30) | 0 : 3 |
| 53 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Bu Y. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 54 | Altmaier D. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Munar J. | Svrcina D. | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Bellucci M. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (15) | Michelsen A. | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | O’Connell C. (WC) | Basavareddy N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Baez S. | 2 : 3 |
| 60 | Garin C. | Darderi L. (22) | 0 : 3 |
| 61 | Fonseca J. (28) | Spizzirri E. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Nardi L. | Wu Y. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 63 | Duckworth J. (WC) | Prizmic D. (LL) | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Gaston H. (RET.) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals
| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng M. (RET.) | Moutet C. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Paul T. (19) | Tirante T. A. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Opelka R. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Fery A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Comesana F. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Muller A. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Nava E. | Norrie C. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Dzumhur D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Faria J. | Rublev A. (13) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Halys Q. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tien L. (25) | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Sonego L. | |
| 18 | Machac T. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | |
| 19 | Gea A. | Wawrinka S. | |
| 20 | Kopriva V. | Fritz T. (9) | |
| 21 | Mensik J. (16) | Jodar R. | |
| 22 | Hurkacz H. | Quinn E. | |
| 23 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Shang J. | |
| 24 | Maestrelli F. | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Sweeny D. | |
| 26 | Hijikata R. | Vacherot V. (30) | |
| 27 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Cilic M. | |
| 28 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (15) | Basavareddy N. | |
| 30 | Baez S. | Darderi L. (22) | |
| 31 | Spizzirri E. | Wu Y. | |
| 32 | Duckworth J. | Sinner J. (2) |
1/16-finals
| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Moutet C. (32) | |
| 2 | Paul T. (19) | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Etcheverry T. M. | |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (29) | De Minaur A. (6) | |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Norrie C. (26) | |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Rublev A. (13) | |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Marozsan F. | |
| 8 | Tien L. (25) | Borges N. | |
| 9 | TBD #17 | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | TBD #19 | TBD #20 | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | TBD #29 | TBD #30 | |
| 16 | TBD #31 | TBD #32 |
1/8-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 |
Quarter-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 |
Semi-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 |
ATP Australian Open Outrights
1. Sinner Jannik: 1.71 (43.04%)
2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.62 (28.15%)
3. Djokovic Novak: 12.5 (5.89%)
4. Medvedev Daniil: 17 (4.33%)
5. Zverev Alexander: 27.5 (2.68%)
6. Bublik Alexander: 37.5 (1.96%)
7. Fritz Taylor: 46 (1.6%)
8. Shelton Ben: 59 (1.25%)
9. De Minaur Alex: 76 (0.97%)
10. Hurkacz Hubert: 91 (0.81%)
11. Machac Tomas: 109 (0.68%)
12. Tien Learner: 126 (0.58%)
13. Musetti Lorenzo: 138.5 (0.53%)
14. Rublev Andrey: 138.5 (0.53%)
15. Mensik Jakub: 151 (0.49%)
16. Paul Tommy: 176 (0.42%)
17. Khachanov Karen: 201 (0.37%)
18. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 201 (0.37%)
19. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 226 (0.33%)
20. Ruud Casper: 226 (0.33%)
21. Cerundolo Francisco: 326 (0.23%)
22. Vacherot Valentin: 351 (0.21%)
23. Spizzirri Eliot: 376 (0.2%)
24. Gea Arthur: 376 (0.2%)
25. Tiafoe Frances: 401 (0.18%)
26. Norrie Cameron: 451 (0.16%)
27. Baez Sebastian: 451 (0.16%)
28. Sonego Lorenzo: 501 (0.15%)
29. Shapovalov Denis: 501 (0.15%)
30. Munar Jaume: 501 (0.15%)
31. Darderi Luciano: 501 (0.15%)
32. Comesana Francisco: 501 (0.15%)
33. Kopriva Vit: 501 (0.15%)
34. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 501 (0.15%)
35. Cilic Marin: 501 (0.15%)
36. Shevchenko Alexander: 501 (0.15%)
37. Duckworth James: 501 (0.15%)
38. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 501 (0.15%)
39. Hijikata Rinky: 501 (0.15%)
40. Quinn Ethan: 501 (0.15%)
41. Marozsan Fabian: 501 (0.15%)
42. Wawrinka Stan: 501 (0.15%)
43. Moutet Corentin: 501 (0.15%)
44. Shang Juncheng: 501 (0.15%)
45. Borges Nuno: 501 (0.15%)
46. Basavareddy Nishesh: 501 (0.15%)
47. Maestrelli Francesco: 501 (0.15%)
48. Wu Yibing: 501 (0.15%)
49. Jodar Rafael: 501 (0.15%)
50. Sweeny Dane: 501 (0.15%)
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