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Tondela vs Alverca predictions, Feb 13, 2026

Liga Portugal, on Friday,

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As CD Tondela prepares to host FC Alverca in their upcoming Liga Portugal clash on February 13, 2026, both teams come into the match with mixed recent form. Tondela has struggled in their last five outings, managing only one victory, which raises concerns about their overall momentum and confidence. In contrast, Alverca has fared slightly better, securing two wins in the same number of matches, suggesting a more stable performance as they look to capitalize on Tondela’s vulnerabilities.

The bookmakers have set the odds closely, with Tondela at 2.74 for a home win and Alverca at 2.79 for an away victory, which reflects the tight nature of this encounter. Tondela will likely rely on solid defensive organization and quick transitions to counter Alverca’s attacks, while the visitors may seek to exploit Tondela’s defensive frailties with dynamic play in the attacking third.

According to our model, Tondela has a 35.5% chance of winning, while Alverca stands at 34.7%, indicating a competitive matchup where both teams have avenues to secure points. While Tondela will be aiming to leverage home advantage, Alverca’s recent form suggests they could provide a stern test. Fans can expect an intriguing battle without clear predilection for either side.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-07T02:52:03+00:00.

Tondela
35.4%
Draw
29.2%
Alverca
35.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Liga Portugal Tondela: 0.88% Alverca: 0.09%

Watch and Bet Tondela – Alverca available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.76 3.29 2.75 Watch and Bet
2.66 3.26 2.66
2.57 3.14 2.6

Latest Results

01.02.26 CD Tondela – SL Benfica – 0:0
25.01.26 FC Famalicão – CD Tondela – 3:0
18.01.26 CD Tondela – SC Braga – 0:1
11.01.26 Moreirense FC – CD Tondela – 1:0
03.01.26 CD Tondela – FC Arouca – 3:1
31.01.26 FC Alverca – Estrela da Amadora – 1:1
25.01.26 SC Braga – FC Alverca – 5:0
17.01.26 FC Alverca – Moreirense FC – 2:1
04.01.26 FC Alverca – FC Famalicão – 1:0
27.12.25 Estoril Praia – FC Alverca – 4:1

Facts

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 10).
  • Recent form of Tondela has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Alverca‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
  • Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

    Latest Head To Head

    12.09.25 FC Alverca – CD Tondela – 1:0
    11.05.25 CD Tondela – FC Alverca – 1:2
    12.01.25 FC Alverca – CD Tondela – 1:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 FC Porto 20 18 1 1 41:6 35 55
    2 Sporting CP 20 16 3 1 54:11 43 51
    3 Benfica 20 13 7 0 42:11 31 46
    4 Braga 20 10 6 4 41:18 23 36
    5 Gil Vicente 20 9 7 4 29:16 13 34
    6 Moreirense 20 9 3 8 26:27 -1 30
    7 Estoril 20 8 5 7 41:33 8 29
    8 Famalicao 20 8 5 7 24:19 5 29
    9 Vitoria Guimaraes 20 8 4 8 21:27 -6 28
    10 Alverca 20 7 3 10 20:34 -14 24
    11 Nacional 20 5 5 10 27:30 -3 20
    12 Estrela 20 4 8 8 24:37 -13 20
    13 Rio Ave 20 4 8 8 22:38 -16 20
    14 Arouca 20 5 5 10 23:44 -21 20
    15 Casa Pia 20 4 6 10 22:39 -17 18
    16 Santa Clara 20 4 5 11 16:25 -9 17
    17 Tondela 20 3 4 13 12:33 -21 13
    18 AFS 20 0 5 15 14:51 -37 5

    Liga Portugal Outrights

    1. FC Porto: 1.26 (70.08%)

    2. Sporting CP: 4.68 (18.87%)

    3. Benfica: 12.72 (6.94%)

    4. AFS: 100 (0.88%)

    5. Tondela: 100 (0.88%)

    6. Aves: 100 (0.88%)

    7. Braga: 280.2 (0.32%)

    8. Gil Vicente: 580.2 (0.15%)

    9. Estoril: 980.2 (0.09%)

    10. Santa Clara: 980.2 (0.09%)

    11. Estrela da Amadora: 980.2 (0.09%)

    12. Rio Ave: 980.2 (0.09%)

    13. Moreirense: 980.2 (0.09%)

    14. Arouca: 980.2 (0.09%)

    15. Nacional: 980.2 (0.09%)

    16. Vitoria Guimaraes: 980.2 (0.09%)

    17. Casa Pia: 980.2 (0.09%)

    18. Famalicao: 980.2 (0.09%)

    19. Alverca: 980.2 (0.09%)

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