Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes predictions, May 02, 2026

Score, Highlights

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As Toronto FC prepares to host the San Jose Earthquakes on May 2, 2026, fans can expect an intriguing clash in the MLS. Toronto FC enters the match with a mixed performance, securing two wins in their last five matches, which highlights their struggle for consistency. In contrast, the Earthquakes boast an impressive record, winning all five of their recent outings, showcasing their formidable attacking prowess and strong defensive organization.

Bookmakers have set odds reflecting a tightly contested match, with Toronto FC at 2.46 and San Jose Earthquakes slightly favored at 2.63. This aligns with our model’s predictions, which estimate a 39% probability for a home win, 27.2% for a draw, and 34.6% for an away victory. The predicted final score of 1:1 suggests a close encounter, underscoring the potential for either team to capitalize on key moments.

Tactically, Toronto will need to shore up their defense while looking to leverage their home advantage, whereas San Jose will aim to continue their winning momentum, confident in their current form. With both teams eager for points, this match promises to deliver competitive football. As always, while the form and statistics provide insights, the outcome remains uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-26T12:52:02+00:00.

Toronto 35%

Draw 26.5%

San Jose 38.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of MLS San Jose Earthquakes: 5.05% Toronto FC: 2.23%

Watch and Bet Toronto – San Jose available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.64	2.44
	2.72	3.55	2.48
	2.8	3.64	2.51	Watch and Bet
	2.63	3.3	2.4
	2.71	3.62	2.42

Latest Results

25.04.26 Toronto FC – Atlanta United – 1:2 22.04.26 Toronto FC – Philadelphia Union – 3:3 18.04.26 Toronto FC – Austin FC – 3:3 11.04.26 Toronto FC – FC Cincinnati – 1:1 04.04.26 Toronto FC – Colorado Rapids – 3:2

25.04.26 St. Louis City SC – San Jose Earthquakes – 2:3 22.04.26 San Jose Earthquakes – Austin FC – 5:1 19.04.26 Los Angeles FC – San Jose Earthquakes – 1:4 15.04.26 San Jose Earthquakes – Phoenix Rising – 2:0 11.04.26 Sporting Kansas City – San Jose Earthquakes – 1:3

Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.

Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Jose is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Latest Head To Head

25.03.23 San Jose Earthquakes – Toronto FC – 0:0 09.07.22 Toronto FC – San Jose Earthquakes – 2:2 29.02.20 San Jose Earthquakes – Toronto FC – 2:2 26.05.19 Toronto FC – San Jose Earthquakes – 1:2 18.08.18 San Jose Earthquakes – Toronto FC – 1:1

Standings

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes	10	9	0	1	25:6	19	27
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	9	8	0	1	25:5	20	24
3	Los Angeles FC	10	6	2	2	17:6	11	20
4	Seattle Sounders	8	6	1	1	12:4	8	19
5	Minnesota United	10	5	2	3	11:14	-3	17
6	Real Salt Lake	8	5	1	2	16:12	4	16
7	Colorado Rapids	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13
8	FC Dallas	10	3	4	3	18:15	3	13
9	Houston Dynamo	9	4	0	5	12:18	-6	12
10	San Diego FC	10	3	2	5	17:17	0	11
11	Portland Timbers	9	3	1	5	13:19	-6	10
12	Austin FC	10	2	4	4	14:19	-5	10
13	Los Angeles Galaxy	9	2	3	4	13:15	-2	9
14	St. Louis City	9	1	3	5	9:16	-7	6
15	Sporting Kansas City	9	1	1	7	7:25	-18	4

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	9	7	1	1	21:6	15	22
2	Inter Miami	10	5	4	1	19:15	4	19
3	Chicago Fire	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
4	New England Revolution	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
5	Charlotte	10	4	2	4	18:18	0	14
6	Toronto FC	10	3	4	3	17:19	-2	13
7	New York City	10	3	3	4	19:16	3	12
8	Columbus Crew	10	3	3	4	14:13	1	12
9	FC Cincinnati	10	3	3	4	19:23	-4	12
10	DC United	10	3	3	4	11:15	-4	12
11	New York Red Bulls	10	3	3	4	16:25	-9	12
12	CF Montreal	9	3	0	6	13:20	-7	9
13	Atlanta Utd	10	2	1	7	9:17	-8	7
14	Orlando City	10	2	1	7	12:29	-17	7
15	Philadelphia Union	10	1	2	7	9:17	-8	5

MLS Outrights

1. Inter Miami: 4.5 (16.84%)

2. Los Angeles FC: 7 (10.82%)

3. Vancouver Whitecaps: 7 (10.82%)

4. Nashville SC: 12 (6.31%)

5. San Jose Earthquakes: 15 (5.05%)

6. FC Cincinnati: 17 (4.46%)

7. New York City: 17 (4.46%)

8. San Diego FC: 17 (4.46%)

9. Seattle Sounders: 17 (4.46%)

10. Columbus Crew: 26 (2.91%)

11. New York Red Bulls: 34 (2.23%)

12. Houston Dynamo: 34 (2.23%)

13. Charlotte FC: 34 (2.23%)

14. Chicago Fire: 34 (2.23%)

15. Minnesota United: 34 (2.23%)

16. Toronto FC: 34 (2.23%)

17. Orlando City: 41 (1.85%)

18. Real Salt Lake: 41 (1.85%)

19. Los Angeles Galaxy: 41 (1.85%)

20. Philadelphia Union: 51 (1.49%)

21. New England Revolution: 51 (1.49%)

22. FC Dallas: 67 (1.13%)

23. Colorado Rapids: 67 (1.13%)

24. DC United: 67 (1.13%)

25. Portland Timbers: 101 (0.75%)

26. Austin FC: 101 (0.75%)

27. CF Montreal: 101 (0.75%)

28. Atlanta United: 101 (0.75%)

29. St. Louis City: 101 (0.75%)

30. Sporting Kansas City: 201 (0.38%)

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