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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings predictions, Jan 21, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Wednesday,

Score, Highlights

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In what promises to be an exciting matchup, the Toronto Maple Leafs will face off against the Detroit Red Wings on January 21, 2026, at the Toronto Maple Leafs’ home arena. Both teams have been in good form recently, with Toronto winning 3 out of their last 5 matches and Detroit winning 4 out of their last 5.

The bookmakers have slightly favored the home team with odds of 2.39, but the Red Wings are not far behind with odds of 2.54. Our model predicts a close game, with a 42.3% chance of a Toronto win, a 25.1% chance of a draw, and a 34.7% chance of a Detroit victory. The predicted final score is 3:2 in favor of the Maple Leafs according to the odds.

Both teams have shown strength in their tactics and gameplay in recent matches, so this game could truly go either way. With the teams being evenly matched and both in good form, it’s likely to be a thrilling and closely contested encounter.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-19T15:52:03+00:00.

Toronto
39.5%		 Draw
23.3%		 Detroit
37.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

Outrights of NHL Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.04% Detroit Red Wings: 1.5%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.46 4.16 2.61
2.39 4.04 2.54

Latest Results

17.01.26 Winnipeg Jets – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:4 OT
15.01.26 Vegas Golden Knights – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:5 OT
13.01.26 Utah Mammoth – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:1
12.01.26 Colorado Avalanche – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:4 OT
10.01.26 Toronto Maple Leafs – Vancouver Canucks – 5:0		 18.01.26 Detroit Red Wings – Ottawa Senators – 4:3 OT
16.01.26 Detroit Red Wings – San Jose Sharks – 4:2
13.01.26 Boston Bruins – Detroit Red Wings – 3:0
12.01.26 Detroit Red Wings – Carolina Hurricanes – 4:3 OT
10.01.26 Montreal Canadiens – Detroit Red Wings – 0:4

Facts

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
  • Recent performances by Toronto have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Detroit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Detroit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:63. (average 3:3.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.12.25 Detroit Red Wings – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:2 OT
    13.10.25 Toronto Maple Leafs – Detroit Red Wings – 2:3
    11.10.25 Detroit Red Wings – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:3
    04.10.25 Detroit Red Wings – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:5 OT
    02.10.25 Toronto Maple Leafs – Detroit Red Wings – 1:3

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 46 30 3 8 5 185:110 74
    2 Dallas Stars 49 23 4 9 13 163:139 63
    3 Minnesota Wild 49 18 9 9 13 155:140 63
    4 Vegas Golden Knights 47 17 7 12 11 160:145 60
    5 Edmonton Oilers 50 20 5 8 17 170:158 58
    6 Utah Mammoth 49 19 6 4 20 153:135 54
    7 San Jose Sharks 47 13 11 3 20 148:168 51
    8 Seattle Kraken 47 15 6 9 17 130:141 51
    9 Anaheim Ducks 48 14 10 3 21 158:172 51
    10 Los Angeles Kings 48 12 7 13 16 125:136 51
    11 Nashville Predators 48 16 7 4 21 138:161 50
    12 Calgary Flames 48 17 4 4 23 126:143 46
    13 St. Louis Blues 49 18 1 8 22 120:168 46
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 48 15 4 7 22 133:154 45
    15 Winnipeg Jets 47 17 2 6 22 144:148 44
    16 Vancouver Canucks 48 10 6 5 27 126:176 37

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tampa Bay Lightning 47 24 6 4 13 166:120 64
    2 Carolina Hurricanes 49 21 9 4 15 171:144 64
    3 Detroit Red Wings 50 21 9 4 16 157:153 64
    4 Montreal Canadiens 49 17 10 7 15 168:164 61
    5 Boston Bruins 49 21 7 2 19 164:150 58
    6 Buffalo Sabres 47 20 6 5 16 157:148 57
    7 New York Islanders 48 17 9 5 17 141:134 57
    8 Toronto Maple Leafs 48 17 7 8 16 162:158 56
    9 Pittsburgh Penguins 47 18 4 11 14 150:144 55
    10 Washington Capitals 49 21 3 6 19 157:143 54
    11 Florida Panthers 47 22 3 3 19 145:156 53
    12 Philadelphia Flyers 47 15 7 8 17 141:149 52
    13 Ottawa Senators 48 17 5 7 19 159:163 51
    14 Columbus Blue Jackets 48 13 9 7 19 148:160 51
    15 New Jersey Devils 48 16 8 2 22 127:149 50
    16 New York Rangers 49 14 7 6 22 132:150 48

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.35 (25%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 7.75 (10.81%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 8.88 (9.44%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 9.75 (8.59%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 10 (8.38%)

    6. Florida Panthers: 11.5 (7.28%)

    7. Dallas Stars: 17 (4.93%)

    8. Minnesota Wild: 21 (3.99%)

    9. Washington Capitals: 30 (2.79%)

    10. Toronto Maple Leafs: 41 (2.04%)

    11. Los Angeles Kings: 43.5 (1.93%)

    12. Montreal Canadiens: 51 (1.64%)

    13. Detroit Red Wings: 56 (1.5%)

    14. Buffalo Sabres: 61 (1.37%)

    15. New Jersey Devils: 71 (1.18%)

    16. Utah Mammoth: 71 (1.18%)

    17. New York Islanders: 71.5 (1.17%)

    18. Ottawa Senators: 78.5 (1.07%)

    19. Anaheim Ducks: 101 (0.83%)

    20. Pittsburgh Penguins: 101 (0.83%)

    21. Philadelphia Flyers: 126 (0.66%)

    22. Winnipeg Jets: 151 (0.55%)

    23. Nashville Predators: 151 (0.55%)

    24. Boston Bruins: 176 (0.48%)

    25. Columbus Blue Jackets: 251 (0.33%)

    26. New York Rangers: 301 (0.28%)

    27. Seattle Kraken: 326 (0.26%)

    28. Calgary Flames: 326 (0.26%)

    29. San Jose Sharks: 401 (0.21%)

    30. St. Louis Blues: 501 (0.17%)

    31. Chicago Blackhawks: 501 (0.17%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 626 (0.13%)

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