Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders predictions, Mar 17, 2026

Mar 15, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Tuesday,

Toronto Maple Leafs

New York Islanders

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the Toronto Maple Leafs prepare to host the New York Islanders on March 17, 2026, both teams enter the matchup with contrasting recent form. The Maple Leafs have struggled, managing to secure victory in just 1 of their last 5 games, indicating potential issues in both offense and defense. In contrast, the Islanders have found some rhythm, winning 3 of their last 5, demonstrating a stronger tactical cohesion and effectiveness in their gameplay.

Looking at bookmakers’ odds, the home side is slightly favored at 2.49, compared to the Islanders’ odds of 2.39 for an away win. The model prediction further emphasizes the tight contest, as it allocates a 40.6% chance of a Maple Leafs win, 24.2% for a draw, and 36.9% for an Islanders victory.

Toronto will need to leverage its home advantage and elevate its performance levels to turn the tide, while New York will aim to capitalize on their current momentum and tactical strengths. With both teams having distinct motivations, this matchup promises to be competitive, though outcomes remain uncertain as the players take to the ice.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-15T09:52:02+00:00.

Toronto
38.7%		 Draw
22.5%		 NY Islanders
38.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:4

Outrights of NHL New York Islanders: 1.56% Toronto Maple Leafs: 0.07%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.46 4.32 2.55
Pinnacle 2.49 4.18 2.39

Latest Results

14.03.26 Buffalo Sabres – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:2 penalties
12.03.26 Toronto Maple Leafs – Anaheim Ducks – 6:4
10.03.26 Montreal Canadiens – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:1
07.03.26 Toronto Maple Leafs – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:5
05.03.26 New York Rangers – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:2		 14.03.26 New York Islanders – Calgary Flames – 3:2
13.03.26 New York Islanders – Los Angeles Kings – 2:3
10.03.26 St. Louis Blues – New York Islanders – 3:4 OT
07.03.26 San Jose Sharks – New York Islanders – 1:2 OT
05.03.26 Los Angeles Kings – New York Islanders – 5:3

Facts

  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
  • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • NY Islanders has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:61. (average 2.9:3.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.9:2.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    03.01.26 New York Islanders – Toronto Maple Leafs – 4:3 OT
    02.01.25 New York Islanders – Toronto Maple Leafs – 1:2
    31.12.24 Toronto Maple Leafs – New York Islanders – 3:1
    21.12.24 Toronto Maple Leafs – New York Islanders – 3:6
    05.02.24 Toronto Maple Leafs – New York Islanders – 2:3

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 65 39 5 9 12 247:163 97
    2 Dallas Stars 66 33 9 10 14 232:178 94
    3 Minnesota Wild 67 25 13 12 17 224:192 88
    4 Vegas Golden Knights 67 23 8 14 22 220:209 76
    5 Anaheim Ducks 66 21 15 3 27 219:230 75
    6 Utah Mammoth 67 26 8 6 27 208:188 74
    7 Edmonton Oilers 67 24 8 9 26 235:231 73
    8 San Jose Sharks 64 20 12 6 26 200:222 70
    9 Seattle Kraken 65 24 6 9 26 185:197 69
    10 Los Angeles Kings 66 17 10 15 24 176:200 69
    11 Nashville Predators 65 22 7 9 27 194:222 67
    12 Winnipeg Jets 65 22 5 10 28 185:200 64
    13 St. Louis Blues 66 24 3 10 29 175:219 64
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 66 18 7 11 30 175:213 61
    15 Calgary Flames 66 22 4 7 33 165:207 59
    16 Vancouver Canucks 66 13 7 8 38 171:246 48

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes 66 31 11 6 18 234:192 90
    2 Buffalo Sabres 67 34 7 6 20 235:200 88
    3 Tampa Bay Lightning 65 31 9 4 21 231:182 84
    4 Montreal Canadiens 65 25 11 10 19 230:216 82
    5 Pittsburgh Penguins 66 28 5 15 18 223:202 81
    6 New York Islanders 67 24 14 5 24 197:191 81
    7 Boston Bruins 66 27 10 6 23 219:207 80
    8 Detroit Red Wings 67 25 11 8 23 195:201 80
    9 Columbus Blue Jackets 66 23 11 11 21 212:208 79
    10 Ottawa Senators 65 27 6 9 23 218:201 75
    11 Philadelphia Flyers 66 20 11 12 23 191:205 74
    12 Washington Capitals 68 28 5 8 27 212:203 74
    13 Florida Panthers 65 26 7 3 29 197:214 69
    14 New Jersey Devils 66 22 11 2 31 176:201 68
    15 Toronto Maple Leafs 67 20 8 12 27 211:236 68
    16 New York Rangers 66 19 9 8 30 189:205 64

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.95 (21.09%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5.38 (15.5%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6.5 (12.82%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 11 (7.57%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 11.5 (7.25%)

    6. Minnesota Wild: 13.5 (6.17%)

    7. Dallas Stars: 15 (5.55%)

    8. Buffalo Sabres: 19 (4.39%)

    9. Montreal Canadiens: 32.5 (2.56%)

    10. Utah Mammoth: 35 (2.38%)

    11. Anaheim Ducks: 41 (2.03%)

    12. Ottawa Senators: 46 (1.81%)

    13. Detroit Red Wings: 53.5 (1.56%)

    14. New York Islanders: 53.5 (1.56%)

    15. Pittsburgh Penguins: 53.5 (1.56%)

    16. Columbus Blue Jackets: 64 (1.3%)

    17. Los Angeles Kings: 71 (1.17%)

    18. Boston Bruins: 101 (0.82%)

    19. Florida Panthers: 138.5 (0.6%)

    20. Washington Capitals: 151 (0.55%)

    21. San Jose Sharks: 176 (0.47%)

    22. Winnipeg Jets: 301 (0.28%)

    23. Nashville Predators: 351 (0.24%)

    24. Seattle Kraken: 451 (0.18%)

    25. New Jersey Devils: 626 (0.13%)

    26. Philadelphia Flyers: 751 (0.11%)

    27. St. Louis Blues: 1001 (0.08%)

    28. Toronto Maple Leafs: 1251 (0.07%)

    29. Calgary Flames: 1751 (0.05%)

    30. Chicago Blackhawks: 1751 (0.05%)

    31. New York Rangers: 1751 (0.05%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 3001 (0.03%)

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