Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United predictions, May 11, 2026

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As Tottenham Hotspur prepares to host Leeds United at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on May 11, 2026, both teams come into the match with contrasting recent performances. Spurs have secured only 2 victories in their past 5 outings, indicating challenges in maintaining consistency. Their tactical approach, centered around possession and attacking wing play, may need to be sharpened to exploit the defensive vulnerabilities exhibited during recent fixtures.

In contrast, Leeds United arrives with a more favorable track record, having won 3 of their last 5 matches. Their strategy often emphasizes high pressing and quick transitions, which has proven effective in unsettling opposition defenses. This method can take advantage of any lapses in Spurs’ backline, particularly if the home side struggles to maintain focus.

The bookmakers have priced Tottenham as favorites, with odds at 2.07 for a home win, while Leeds stands at 3.39 for an away victory. Our probability model suggests a 49.1% chance for a Spurs win, a 26.9% likelihood of a draw, and a 26.7% probability for an away success. This match promises to be closely contested, with both teams capable of influencing the outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-05T05:52:02+00:00.

Tottenham 53.6%

Draw 23.5%

Leeds 22.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Watch and Bet Tottenham – Leeds available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.33	4.25
	1.75	4.2	4.25
	1.83	4.27	4.27	Watch and Bet
	1.75	3.9	3.9
	1.83	4.03	4.21

Latest Results

03.05.26 Aston Villa – Tottenham Hotspur – 1:2 25.04.26 Wolverhampton Wanderers – Tottenham Hotspur – 0:1 18.04.26 Tottenham Hotspur – Brighton & Hove Albion – 2:2 12.04.26 Sunderland AFC – Tottenham Hotspur – 1:0 22.03.26 Tottenham Hotspur – Nottingham Forest – 0:3

01.05.26 Leeds United – Burnley FC – 3:1 26.04.26 Chelsea – Leeds United – 1:0 22.04.26 AFC Bournemouth – Leeds United – 2:2 18.04.26 Leeds United – Wolverhampton Wanderers – 3:0 13.04.26 Manchester United – Leeds United – 1:2

Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 5.

Tottenham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leeds is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tottenham is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

04.10.25 Leeds United – Tottenham Hotspur – 1:2 28.05.23 Leeds United – Tottenham Hotspur – 1:4 12.11.22 Tottenham Hotspur – Leeds United – 4:3 26.02.22 Leeds United – Tottenham Hotspur – 0:4 21.11.21 Tottenham Hotspur – Leeds United – 2:1

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal ✔	35	23	7	5	67:26	41	76
2	Manchester City ✔	34	21	8	5	69:32	37	71
3	Manchester Utd ✔	35	18	10	7	63:48	15	64
4	Liverpool	35	17	7	11	59:47	12	58
5	Aston Villa	35	17	7	11	48:44	4	58
6	Bournemouth	35	12	16	7	55:52	3	52
7	Brentford	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
8	Brighton	35	13	11	11	49:42	7	50
9	Chelsea	35	13	9	13	54:48	6	48
10	Everton	35	13	9	13	44:44	0	48
11	Fulham	35	14	6	15	44:49	-5	48
12	Sunderland	35	12	11	12	37:46	-9	47
13	Newcastle	35	13	6	16	49:51	-2	45
14	Leeds	35	10	13	12	47:52	-5	43
15	Crystal Palace	34	11	10	13	36:42	-6	43
16	Nottingham	35	11	9	15	44:46	-2	42
17	Tottenham	35	9	10	16	45:54	-9	37
18	West Ham	35	9	9	17	42:61	-19	36
19	Burnley ✔	35	4	8	23	35:71	-36	20
20	Wolves ✔	35	3	9	23	25:63	-38	18

English Premier League Outrights

1. Arsenal: 1.24 (76.97%)

2. Manchester City: 4.13 (23.03%)

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