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TPS vs HPK predictions, Feb 10, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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As TPS prepares to host HPK on February 10, 2026, both teams enter the match with contrasting recent performances. TPS has struggled significantly, failing to secure a victory in their last five outings. This slump may signal tactical issues and a potential lack of momentum heading into this crucial encounter. Conversely, HPK has shown a marked improvement, managing to win two of their last five matches, indicating a more stable form and perhaps stronger psychological preparedness.

TPS will need to bolster their defensive strategies and capitalize on home advantage to turn their fortunes around. Their ability to control the pace of the game and maintain possession could be crucial to breaking down HPK’s defenses. On the other hand, HPK’s recent successes suggest they have harnessed effective offensive tactics, likely focusing on quick transitions and exploiting gaps left by an unsettled TPS defense.

Bookmakers offer closely matched odds, with TPS at 2.55 and HPK at 2.5, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture. According to predictive models, TPS has a 39.3% chance of winning at home, while HPK’s chances are slightly strong at 34.9%. With both teams vying for crucial points, fans can expect a tightly contested showdown, where pre-match form may not ultimately dictate the outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-08T02:52:03+00:00.

TPS
36.9%		 Draw
25.5%		 HPK
37.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga TPS Turku: 0.96% Hameenlinna: 0.88%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.52 3.32 2.47
2.45 4.1 2.48
2.38 3.5 2.3
2.59 3.53 2.49
2.55 3.6 2.5

Latest Results

07.02.26 Pelicans Hockey – TPS hockey – 2:0
06.02.26 Lukko Hockey – TPS hockey – 3:2
03.02.26 KalPa hockey – TPS hockey – 7:3
31.01.26 KooKoo – TPS hockey – 5:1
30.01.26 JYP Hockey – TPS hockey – 2:1 OT		 07.02.26 HPK Hockey – Ässät hockey – 3:1
05.02.26 JYP Hockey – HPK Hockey – 4:5 penalties
31.01.26 HPK Hockey – Lukko Hockey – 0:1 OT
24.01.26 HPK Hockey – HIFK Hockey – 0:4
22.01.26 KalPa hockey – HPK Hockey – 3:1

Facts

  • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4.
  • TPS has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • In recent matches, HPK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 59:38. (average 3:1.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 3.1:2.2).

    Latest Head To Head

    16.01.26 HPK Hockey – TPS hockey – 3:1
    29.10.25 TPS hockey – HPK Hockey – 1:0
    09.09.25 HPK Hockey – TPS hockey – 2:3 penalties
    16.08.25 TPS hockey – HPK Hockey – 2:0
    17.01.25 HPK Hockey – TPS hockey – 1:5

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 47 28 2 3 14 173:118 91
    2 Lukko 48 24 6 3 15 150:123 87
    3 JYP 46 22 8 4 12 159:132 86
    4 KooKoo 46 23 7 1 15 162:114 84
    5 Ilves 48 22 7 4 15 148:121 84
    6 KalPa 47 23 5 4 15 141:134 83
    7 SaiPa 47 22 5 7 13 156:133 83
    8 Assat 48 21 6 3 18 136:128 78
    9 IFK Helsinki 48 18 4 4 22 113:153 66
    10 Kiekko-Espoo 47 16 4 7 20 119:138 63
    11 Pelicans 46 14 7 6 19 95:117 62
    12 Hameenlinna 47 13 6 8 20 112:130 59
    13 TPS Turku 49 12 7 8 22 113:140 58
    14 Jukurit 46 14 3 6 23 102:122 54
    15 Karpat 48 13 5 5 25 140:157 54
    16 Vaasan Sport 46 9 1 10 26 96:155 39

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.54 (34.79%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 4.5 (19.64%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 6.56 (13.47%)

    4. JYP Jyvaskyla: 15 (5.89%)

    5. Saipa: 16.6 (5.32%)

    6. KooKoo: 17 (5.2%)

    7. Kalpa Kuopio: 17.8 (4.96%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 23.4 (3.78%)

    9. Karpat Oulu: 58.2 (1.52%)

    10. Assat Pori: 74.2 (1.19%)

    11. TPS Turku: 92.2 (0.96%)

    12. Pelicans Lahti: 100.2 (0.88%)

    13. Hameenlinna: 100.2 (0.88%)

    14. Kiekko-Espoo: 110.2 (0.8%)

    15. Jukurit: 180.2 (0.49%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 380.2 (0.23%)

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