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TPS vs Ilves predictions, Mar 07, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As TPS prepares to host Ilves on March 7, 2026, fans can expect a closely contested matchup in the Finnish SM-liiga. Both teams come into this game with differing recent forms; TPS has managed to secure 2 victories in their last 5 outings, while Ilves has been more consistent, winning 3 of their last 5 matches.

TPS will be looking to leverage their home advantage to boost their performance, although their recent form indicates occasional struggles to find the back of the net. In contrast, Ilves has shown resilience and attacking prowess, which could pose a significant challenge for the TPS defense.

Current bookmakers have set the odds with TPS at 2.87 and Ilves at 2.04, reflecting a slight confidence in the visiting team. Our model suggests probabilities of 35% for a home win, 24.8% for a draw, and 41.4% for an away win, predicting a final score of 2:3 in favor of Ilves.

With both teams eager to secure points in the standings, fans should expect a tactical battle that could sway in favor of either side, making it an intriguing matchup to watch.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-06T12:52:02+00:00.

TPS
31.7%		 Draw
22.9%		 Ilves
45.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga TPS Turku: 0.88%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.15 4.05 2.04
2.92 4.1 2.1
2.75 3.9 2
2.9 4.2 2.05

Latest Results

04.03.26 TPS hockey – Lukko Hockey – 3:4 penalties
25.02.26 TPS hockey – SaiPa hockey – 1:3
21.02.26 TPS hockey – JYP Hockey – 3:8
14.02.26 Vaasan Sport – TPS hockey – 1:4
13.02.26 TPS hockey – Vaasan Sport – 3:1		 28.02.26 KooKoo – Ilves hockey – 5:1
25.02.26 Pelicans Hockey – Ilves hockey – 2:1
21.02.26 KalPa hockey – Ilves hockey – 3:4
17.02.26 Ilves hockey – Lukko Hockey – 3:2
14.02.26 Ilves hockey – Mikkelin Jukurit – 6:2

Facts

  • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, TPS has had a series of home games.
  • Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 45:47. (average 2.3:2.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 2.7:1.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    03.01.26 Ilves hockey – TPS hockey – 5:2
    18.10.25 TPS hockey – Ilves hockey – 4:3 OT
    17.10.25 Ilves hockey – TPS hockey – 4:3 OT
    22.08.25 Ilves hockey – TPS hockey – 3:2 penalties
    25.01.25 Ilves hockey – TPS hockey – 1:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 54 34 2 3 15 205:128 109
    2 KooKoo 55 30 7 2 16 198:139 106
    3 SaiPa 56 29 6 7 14 192:148 106
    4 KalPa 56 27 6 5 18 169:163 98
    5 JYP 54 24 11 4 15 183:157 98
    6 Lukko 55 26 8 3 18 168:141 97
    7 Ilves 54 25 7 4 18 164:139 93
    8 Assat 55 23 6 4 22 152:151 85
    9 Kiekko-Espoo 56 20 4 11 21 141:154 79
    10 Pelicans 54 18 8 7 21 123:140 77
    11 IFK Helsinki 54 19 4 5 26 124:175 70
    12 TPS Turku 55 15 7 9 24 130:158 68
    13 Hameenlinna 54 15 7 8 24 128:150 67
    14 Karpat 55 15 6 5 29 162:179 62
    15 Jukurit 55 15 5 7 28 122:150 62
    16 Vaasan Sport 56 9 1 11 35 107:196 40

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.44 (36.15%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 4.35 (20.28%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 8.4 (10.5%)

    4. Saipa: 13 (6.78%)

    5. KooKoo: 13.75 (6.41%)

    6. JYP Jyvaskyla: 15.75 (5.6%)

    7. Kalpa Kuopio: 20.5 (4.3%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 27.75 (3.18%)

    9. Assat Pori: 72.75 (1.21%)

    10. Karpat Oulu: 91.5 (0.96%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 95.25 (0.93%)

    12. Vaasan Sport: 100 (0.88%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 100.25 (0.88%)

    14. TPS Turku: 100.25 (0.88%)

    15. Hameenlinna: 112.75 (0.78%)

    16. Jukurit: 325.25 (0.27%)

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