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TPS vs Kärpät predictions, Jan 10, 2026

Finnish SM-liiga, Gatorade Center (Turku) on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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In an upcoming Finnish SM-liiga matchup, TPS Hockey will face off against Kärpat Oulu on January 10, 2026. TPS hockey has managed to secure victories in 2 of their last 5 matches, showcasing a somewhat inconsistent form. On the other hand, Kärpat Oulu has only won 1 of their last 5 matches, indicating a similar struggle for consistency.

Looking at the bookmakers’ odds, the home team holds a slight advantage at 2.44, compared to the away team at 2.34. Our model prediction gives TPS hockey a 35% chance of a win, with a 23.9% likelihood of a draw, and a 43.7% chance for Kärpat Oulu to come out on top.

Tactical strengths will play a crucial role in this matchup, with both teams likely to focus on exploiting weaknesses in their opponents’ defense. Ultimately, the outcome of the game remains uncertain, as recent form and bookmakers’ odds suggest a closely contested battle between TPS hockey and Kärpat Oulu.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-09T15:52:03+00:00.

TPS
37.7%
Draw
22.5%
Kärpät
39.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga TPS Turku: 1.29%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.5 4.3 2.38
2.47 4.2 2.36
2.4 3.9 2.25
2.5 4.1 2.35
2.5 4.25 2.35

Latest Results

09.01.26 SaiPa hockey – TPS hockey – 1:4
03.01.26 Ilves hockey – TPS hockey – 5:2
27.12.25 Kiekko-Espoo – TPS hockey – 8:1
26.12.25 TPS hockey – Kiekko-Espoo – 0:1
20.12.25 TPS hockey – HIFK Hockey – 4:3
09.01.26 Lukko Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 4:1
07.01.26 Ässät hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 4:3
03.01.26 Kärpat Oulu – Vaasan Sport – 6:0
30.12.25 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:2 OT
27.12.25 Kärpat Oulu – JYP Hockey – 2:4

Facts

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
  • TPS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Kärpät is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 48:58. (average 2.4:2.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 2.2:3.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    21.11.25 Kärpat Oulu – TPS hockey – 0:4
    04.01.25 Kärpat Oulu – TPS hockey – 4:3
    05.10.24 TPS hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 2:4
    27.01.24 Kärpat Oulu – TPS hockey – 4:3
    28.12.23 TPS hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:5

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 37 23 2 2 10 134:86 75
    2 Lukko 37 20 4 1 12 116:91 69
    3 JYP 35 18 5 2 10 129:105 66
    4 KooKoo 37 17 7 1 12 131:98 66
    5 SaiPa 38 18 3 5 12 126:106 65
    6 Ilves 37 16 6 3 12 114:99 63
    7 Assat 37 17 4 3 13 108:95 62
    8 KalPa 36 17 3 2 14 111:117 59
    9 TPS Turku 38 11 6 6 15 90:103 51
    10 IFK Helsinki 37 14 2 4 17 84:115 50
    11 Kiekko-Espoo 38 13 3 5 17 97:113 50
    12 Jukurit 36 12 3 4 17 82:96 46
    13 Pelicans 35 10 5 5 15 69:88 45
    14 Hameenlinna 39 10 4 7 18 93:113 45
    15 Karpat 38 10 4 4 20 116:128 42
    16 Vaasan Sport 37 8 1 8 20 76:123 34

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.84 (30.9%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 5.04 (17.44%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 6.5 (13.52%)

    4. Saipa: 13 (6.76%)

    5. JYP Jyvaskyla: 13.2 (6.66%)

    6. Kalpa Kuopio: 15.2 (5.78%)

    7. KooKoo: 19 (4.62%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 26 (3.38%)

    9. Assat Pori: 30.8 (2.85%)

    10. Karpat Oulu: 42.6 (2.06%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 62.2 (1.41%)

    12. TPS Turku: 68.2 (1.29%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 85.4 (1.03%)

    14. Hameenlinna: 93.4 (0.94%)

    15. Jukurit: 120.2 (0.73%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 140.2 (0.63%)

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