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Vaasan Sport vs Kärpät predictions, Mar 17, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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As Vaasan Sport prepares to host Kärpät Oulu in their upcoming Finnish SM-liiga clash on March 17, 2026, recent form trends indicate a challenging fixture for the home side. Vaasan Sport is entering this match on a dismal streak, having failed to secure a victory in their last five games. Their struggle in finding the back of the net has been evident, and they will need to significantly improve their offensive output to compete effectively against a Kärpät side that, while also inconsistent, has managed to secure one win in their last five encounters.

Kärpät, favorites with bookmakers offering odds of 1.54 for an away win, will be looking to capitalize on their opponent’s vulnerabilities. They possess a more experienced roster that has previously demonstrated the ability to exploit defensive weaknesses, a crucial asset as they face a Vaasan Sport team in desperate need of points.

Tactically, Kärpät’s speed and transition play could overwhelm Vaasan Sport, particularly if they can stifle the home team’s attacking movements early in the game. With our model assigning a 57.9% probability of an away victory and predicting a final score of 1:4, the odds favor Kärpät significantly. However, in sports, outcomes can be unpredictable, and Vaasan Sport will undoubtedly aim to turn their fortunes around on home ice.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-14T22:52:04+00:00.

Vaasa
18.3%		 Draw
20.5%		 Kärpät
61.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:4

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
4.89 4.34 1.54
5.28 4.95 1.49
5.13 4.37 1.55

Latest Results

13.03.26 Kiekko-Espoo – Vaasan Sport – 7:0
11.03.26 TPS hockey – Vaasan Sport – 3:0
07.03.26 Vaasan Sport – JYP Hockey – 0:3
04.03.26 Vaasan Sport – KalPa hockey – 1:6
28.02.26 Vaasan Sport – Kiekko-Espoo – 1:5		 14.03.26 Kärpat Oulu – HIFK Hockey – 4:5
13.03.26 HIFK Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:1
07.03.26 HPK Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 6:3
06.03.26 HPK Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:2 OT
04.03.26 Kärpat Oulu – KooKoo – 4:3 penalties

Facts

  • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 2.
  • Vaasa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Kärpät is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Kärpät is the team to beat.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 34:65. (average 1.7:3.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 2:2.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    03.01.26 Kärpat Oulu – Vaasan Sport – 6:0
    17.09.25 Vaasan Sport – Kärpat Oulu – 1:2
    09.09.25 Kärpat Oulu – Vaasan Sport – 0:3
    07.08.25 Vaasan Sport – Kärpat Oulu – 4:7
    01.02.25 Vaasan Sport – Kärpat Oulu – 5:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara ✔ 59 35 3 5 16 224:146 116
    2 KooKoo ✔ 59 32 7 2 18 213:152 112
    3 SaiPa ✔ 59 31 6 7 15 203:158 112
    4 Ilves 59 28 8 4 19 182:151 104
    5 Lukko 59 28 8 4 19 179:152 104
    6 KalPa 59 28 7 5 19 180:173 103
    7 JYP 59 25 11 6 17 197:176 103
    8 Assat ✔ 59 26 6 4 23 166:160 94
    9 Kiekko-Espoo ✔ 59 22 5 11 21 154:155 87
    10 IFK Helsinki ✔ 59 24 4 5 26 145:183 85
    11 Pelicans ✔ 59 20 9 7 23 137:152 85
    12 Hameenlinna 59 16 8 9 26 141:165 73
    13 TPS Turku 59 16 7 9 27 138:173 71
    14 Jukurit 59 15 6 7 31 131:168 64
    15 Karpat 59 15 6 6 32 172:196 63
    16 Vaasan Sport 59 9 1 11 38 107:209 40

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.17 (40.59%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 4.46 (19.74%)

    3. Saipa: 9.55 (9.22%)

    4. KooKoo: 10.15 (8.68%)

    5. Lukko Rauman: 11.38 (7.74%)

    6. JYP Jyvaskyla: 23.25 (3.79%)

    7. IFK Helsinki: 30.5 (2.89%)

    8. Kalpa Kuopio: 31.75 (2.77%)

    9. Kiekko-Espoo: 72.75 (1.21%)

    10. Pelicans Lahti: 100.25 (0.88%)

    11. TPS Turku: 100.25 (0.88%)

    12. Assat Pori: 106.5 (0.83%)

    13. Hameenlinna: 112.75 (0.78%)

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