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The match between Vitoria Guimarães and Nacional on December 23, 2024, is expected to be a close one according to the bookmakers. Vitoria Guimarães, the home team, has won 2 out of their last 5 matches while Nacional has also won 2 out of their last 5 matches. The bookmakers have given Vitoria Guimarães the edge with coefficients of 1.51, while Nacional has coefficients of 6.44.
According to our ML estimation, Vitoria Guimarães has a 64.2% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw is at 22.3% and Nacional has a 14.2% chance of winning. The most likely result according to the bookmakers is a 1:0 victory for Vitoria Guimarães.
Overall, this match is expected to be a closely contested one with Vitoria Guimarães being the slight favorites. It will be interesting to see how both teams perform on the day and if they can secure the much-needed victory.
| Guimarães 62.8% | Draw 22.7% | Nacional 14.5% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0
Outrights of Liga Portugal Vitoria Guimaraes: 0.34% Nacional: 0.04%
Watch and Bet Guimarães – Nacional available at: Bet Now (Full Screen) William Hill
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.5 | 4.23 | 6.72 | |
 |
1.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 | |
 |
1.51 | 4.25 | 6.45 | Watch and Bet |
 |
1.5 | 4 | 6.5 | Watch and Bet |
 |
1.49 | 4.19 | 6.47 | |
 |
1.5 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
Latest Results
| 16.12.24 Rio Ave FC – Vitoria Guimarães – 2:2 12.12.24 FC St. Gallen – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:4 07.12.24 SL Benfica – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:0 02.12.24 Vitoria Guimarães – Gil Vicente – 4:0 28.11.24 FC Astana – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:1 |
14.12.24 Atletico Nacional – Moreirense FC – 1:0 07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Atletico Nacional – 2:1 30.11.24 Atletico Nacional – Boavista FC – 0:0 10.11.24 Estrela da Amadora – Atletico Nacional – 2:0 04.11.24 Atletico Nacional – CD Santa Clara – 2:0 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 26.04.21 Atletico Nacional – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:0 21.01.21 Vitoria Guimarães – Atletico Nacional – 3:1 05.05.19 Vitoria Guimarães – Atletico Nacional – 2:2 02.01.19 Atletico Nacional – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:0 31.03.17 Atletico Nacional – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:2 |
Standings
2024/25
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Sporting CP | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43:10 | 33 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33:9 | 24 | 34 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:8 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 16 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 | Estoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Boavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Arouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8:23 | -15 | 11 |
| 18 | SC Farense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7:20 | -13 | 9 |
Liga Portugal Outrights
1. Sporting Lisbon: 1.78 (48%)
2. Benfica: 3.25 (26.21%)
3. FC Porto: 3.63 (23.5%)
4. Santa Clara: 219.5 (0.39%)
5. Braga: 225.75 (0.38%)
6. Vitoria Guimaraes: 250.75 (0.34%)
7. Moreirense: 417.33 (0.2%)
8. Famalicao: 438.25 (0.19%)
9. Casa Pia: 750.67 (0.11%)
10. Gil Vicente: 750.67 (0.11%)
11. Estoril: 917.33 (0.09%)
12. Boavista: 917.33 (0.09%)
13. Rio Ave: 1084 (0.08%)
14. AVS: 1250.67 (0.07%)
15. Arouca: 1250.67 (0.07%)
16. Estrela da Amadora: 1250.67 (0.07%)
17. Nacional: 1917.33 (0.04%)
18. SC Farense: 1917.33 (0.04%)
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