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Vitória Salvador vs Vasco da Gama predictions, Jul 16, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Brazilian Serie A, on Thursday,

Score, Highlights

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On July 16, 2026, EC Vitória Salvador will host Vasco da Gama in what promises to be an intriguing fixture in the Brazilian Serie A. EC Vitória arrives in strong form, having secured victories in 4 of their last 5 matches. This momentum has imbued them with confidence, showcasing a robust attacking play complemented by a resilient defense. Their home ground advantage will be a significant factor as they aim to continue their winning streak.

On the other hand, Vasco da Gama has struggled recently, winning only 1 of their last 5 encounters. Their performance appears inconsistent, with tactical issues potentially impacting their effectiveness on both ends of the pitch. Despite this, they possess the capability to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Vitória, making them a team to watch for counter-attacking opportunities.

According to bookmaker odds, Vitória is slightly favored to win at 2.5, while Vasco’s odds stand at 2.9. Model predictions indicate a 37.4% chance of a home win, a 29.7% chance of a draw, and a 33.3% chance of an away victory. With both teams showing contrasting forms, the match could go either way, highlighting the unpredictable nature of soccer.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-07-10T17:52:02+00:00.

Vitória
39.5%		 Draw
28.9%		 Vasco
31.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A Vasco: 0.28% Vitoria: 0.22%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.40 3.30 2.90
2.39 3.33 3.18
2.45 3.20 2.90
2.41 3.34 3.06 Watch and Bet
2.30 3.25 3.00
2.5 3.26 2.9
2.38 3.25 3.00

Latest Results

06.06.26 EC Vitória Salvador – Fortaleza EC – 2:1
02.06.26 Fortaleza EC – EC Vitória Salvador – 1:2
30.05.26 Santos FC – EC Vitória Salvador – 3:1
27.05.26 ABC FC – EC Vitória Salvador – 3:4
23.05.26 EC Vitória Salvador – Internacional RS – 2:0		 31.05.26 Vasco da Gama – Atlético Mineiro – 0:1
27.05.26 Vasco da Gama – Barracas Central – 3:0
24.05.26 Vasco da Gama – Red Bull Bragantino – 0:3
20.05.26 Olimpia Asuncion – Vasco da Gama – 3:1
16.05.26 Internacional RS – Vasco da Gama – 4:1

Facts

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
  • Vitória is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Vasco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • We predict that Vitória will win today’s game, with odds of 2.39.
  • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.5:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    05.10.25 Vasco da Gama – EC Vitória Salvador – 4:3
    10.05.25 EC Vitória Salvador – Vasco da Gama – 2:1
    01.09.24 EC Vitória Salvador – Vasco da Gama – 0:1
    12.05.24 Vasco da Gama – EC Vitória Salvador – 2:1
    10.11.21 Vasco da Gama – EC Vitória Salvador – 0:3

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Palmeiras 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
    2 Flamengo RJ 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
    3 Fluminense 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
    4 Athletico-PR 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
    5 Bragantino 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
    6 Bahia 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
    7 Coritiba 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
    8 Sao Paulo 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
    9 Atletico-MG 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
    10 Corinthians 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
    11 Cruzeiro 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
    12 Botafogo RJ 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
    13 Vitoria 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
    14 Internacional 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
    15 Santos 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
    16 Gremio 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
    17 Vasco 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
    18 Remo 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
    19 Mirassol 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
    20 Chapecoense-SC 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9

    Brazilian Serie A Outrights

    1. Palmeiras: 1.76 (51.07%)

    2. Flamengo RJ: 2.45 (36.67%)

    3. Fluminense: 21.5 (4.17%)

    4. Athletico-PR: 97 (0.92%)

    5. Bahia: 104.5 (0.86%)

    6. Bragantino: 105.33 (0.85%)

    7. Sao Paulo: 117 (0.77%)

    8. Cruzeiro: 133.67 (0.67%)

    9. Botafogo RJ: 167 (0.54%)

    10. Corinthians: 167 (0.54%)

    11. Atletico-MG: 175.33 (0.51%)

    12. Internacional: 233.67 (0.38%)

    13. Santos: 233.67 (0.38%)

    14. Coritiba: 233.67 (0.38%)

    15. Gremio: 317 (0.28%)

    16. Vasco: 317 (0.28%)

    17. Vitoria: 400.33 (0.22%)

    18. Mirassol: 483.67 (0.19%)

    19. Remo: 483.67 (0.19%)

    20. Chapecoense-SC: 733.67 (0.12%)

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