VPS Vaasa vs Gnistan predictions, May 09, 2026

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On May 9, 2026, VPS Vaasa will host IF Gnistan in what promises to be an intriguing matchup in the Finnish Veikkausliiga. VPS Vaasa comes into the game with a modest but positive trend, having secured two victories in their last five outings. Their recent form indicates a resilience that could prove vital against a struggling Gnistan side.

In contrast, IF Gnistan has had a challenging run, failing to register a win in their last five matches. This lack of form raises concerns about their tactical cohesion and scoring ability. VPS Vaasa, playing at home, is expected to leverage their familiar surroundings to assert early pressure and capitalize on any defensive lapses from the visitors.

Looking at the bookmakers’ odds, VPS Vaasa is favored at 1.97, while Gnistan sits at 3.37. The model prediction assigns a 48.6% chance of a home victory, suggesting that VPS Vaasa is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, with a 24.8% probability for a draw and 26.4% for an away win, the match remains open-ended. This game may ultimately hinge on VPS Vaasa’s ability to maintain their momentum against a Gnistan team in desperate need of points.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T09:52:02+00:00.

VPS 46%

Draw 26.1%

Gnistan 28%

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga VPS: 2.47% Gnistan: 0.84%

Watch and Bet VPS – Gnistan available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.6	3.37	Watch and Bet
	2	3.4	3.15

Latest Results

02.05.26 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 0:1 24.04.26 VPS Vaasa – FC Ilves – 3:2 18.04.26 AC Oulu – VPS Vaasa – 1:0 10.04.26 VPS Vaasa – FF Jaro – 0:0 04.04.26 Inter Turku – VPS Vaasa – 0:0

24.04.26 TPS – IF Gnistan – 1:1 18.04.26 IF Gnistan – HJK Helsinki – 0:3 11.04.26 KuPS Kuopio – IF Gnistan – 1:0 04.04.26 IF Gnistan – AC Oulu – 1:5 28.03.26 KTP Kotka – IF Gnistan – 1:1

Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.

In recent matches, VPS has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gnistan‘s performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

VPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

VPS could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, VPS won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Latest Head To Head

15.08.25 IF Gnistan – VPS Vaasa – 0:0 18.06.25 VPS Vaasa – IF Gnistan – 0:0 23.10.24 VPS Vaasa – IF Gnistan – 0:1 04.08.24 IF Gnistan – VPS Vaasa – 3:0 20.04.24 VPS Vaasa – IF Gnistan – 3:2

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AC Oulu	6	4	0	2	12:6	6	12
2	Inter Turku	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11
3	KuPS	6	3	2	1	9:7	2	11
4	TPS	5	2	3	0	8:5	3	9
5	HJK	5	2	2	1	8:3	5	8
6	VPS	5	2	2	1	4:3	1	8
7	Lahti	4	2	0	2	4:5	-1	6
8	SJK	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
9	Jaro	5	0	4	1	4:5	-1	4
10	Ilves	5	0	2	3	7:11	-4	2
11	Mariehamn	5	0	2	3	3:8	-5	2
12	Gnistan	4	0	1	3	2:10	-8	1

Finnish Veikkausliiga Outrights

1. HJK: 2.63 (31.96%)

2. Inter Turku: 3.25 (25.87%)

3. KuPS: 4 (21.02%)

4. AC Oulu: 13 (6.47%)

5. Ilves: 17 (4.94%)

6. SJK: 29 (2.9%)

7. VPS: 34 (2.47%)

8. Lahti: 65.4 (1.29%)

9. Gnistan: 100.2 (0.84%)

10. TPS: 100.2 (0.84%)

11. Jaro: 110.2 (0.76%)

12. Mariehamn: 130.2 (0.65%)

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