VPS Vaasa vs IFK Mariehamn predictions, Jul 04, 2026

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VPS Vaasa hosts IFK Mariehamn in a crucial Finnish Veikkausliiga clash on July 4, 2026. VPS Vaasa comes into this match in solid form, securing victories in three of their last five encounters, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive resilience. Their recent success at home will likely bolster their confidence as they aim to secure a vital three points.

In stark contrast, IFK Mariehamn is struggling, having failed to win any of their last five matches. This poor run not only affects their morale but also raises concerns over their tactical setup, as they look to find a way back to winning form. Their lack of scoring in recent outings may make it tough against a VPS defense that has shown stability.

The bookmakers favor VPS Vaasa, with odds indicating a strong likelihood of a home win at 1.36 compared to 8.22 for an away victory. Statistical models match this sentiment, projecting a 73.6% probability of a home win, with a predicted final score of 1:0. While VPS Vaasa appears to have the upper hand, surprises can happen in football, making this an intriguing matchup with no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-06-28T08:52:02+00:00.

VPS 72.3%

Draw 17.6%

Mariehamn 10.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga VPS: 4.1% Mariehamn: 0.23%

Watch and Bet VPS – Mariehamn available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.45	9.53
	1.29	5.10	8.50
	1.29	5.30	9.65	Watch and Bet
	1.27	5.30	9.30
	1.31	5.39	9.24

Latest Results

27.06.26 IF Gnistan – VPS Vaasa – 1:1 23.06.26 VPS Vaasa – AC Oulu – 5:1 17.06.26 SJK Seinajoki – VPS Vaasa – 1:2 13.06.26 VPS Vaasa – KuPS Kuopio – 1:1 10.06.26 KuPS Kuopio – VPS Vaasa – 0:1 penalties

27.06.26 IFK Mariehamn – Inter Turku – 0:2 23.06.26 IFK Mariehamn – HJK Helsinki – 0:4 18.06.26 AC Oulu – IFK Mariehamn – 2:1 13.06.26 IFK Mariehamn – IF Gnistan – 0:3 30.05.26 HJK Helsinki – IFK Mariehamn – 1:0

Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 3.

VPS is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mariehamn is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, VPS is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

02.05.26 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 0:1 21.09.25 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 2:1 01.08.25 VPS Vaasa – IFK Mariehamn – 1:1 14.06.25 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 1:5 28.07.24 VPS Vaasa – IFK Mariehamn – 2:1

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27:15	12	30
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23:12	11	30
3	AC Oulu	14	8	2	4	20:15	5	26
4	HJK	14	6	4	4	25:17	8	22
5	VPS	13	5	6	2	17:11	6	21
6	Gnistan	13	5	4	4	19:17	2	19
7	TPS	13	5	4	4	15:13	2	19
8	Ilves	14	4	4	6	24:27	-3	16
9	Lahti	13	3	4	6	15:15	0	13
10	SJK	13	2	5	6	15:21	-6	11
11	Jaro	14	1	5	8	13:31	-18	8
12	Mariehamn	13	0	4	9	6:25	-19	4

Finnish Veikkausliiga Outrights

1. Inter Turku: 2.75 (31.34%)

2. KuPS: 3 (28.73%)

3. HJK: 3.75 (22.98%)

4. AC Oulu: 10 (8.62%)

5. VPS: 21 (4.1%)

6. Gnistan: 100.2 (0.86%)

7. Ilves: 110.2 (0.78%)

8. Lahti: 110.2 (0.78%)

9. TPS: 110.2 (0.78%)

10. SJK: 180.2 (0.48%)

11. Jaro: 280.2 (0.31%)

12. Mariehamn: 380.2 (0.23%)

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