Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory, May 18, 2024

May 13, 2024 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Australian A-League, on Saturday,

Wellington

Melbourne Victory

Score, Highlights

Wellington 34.4% Draw 27.5% Melbourne Victory 38%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Australian A-League Melbourne Victory: 24.09% Wellington Phoenix: 19.96%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.75 3.4 2.5
MarathonBet 2.75 3.52 2.46
WilliamHill 2.62 3.5 2.4
Pinnacle 2.84 3.4 2.55
Best for US Customers 2.7 3.3 2.45

Latest Results

12.05.24 Melbourne Victory – Wellington Phoenix – 0:0
27.04.24 Wellington Phoenix – Macarthur FC – 3:0
19.04.24 Newcastle Jets – Wellington Phoenix – 1:1
12.04.24 Wellington Phoenix – Melbourne Victory – 1:0
06.04.24 Central Coast Mariners – Wellington Phoenix – 2:1		 12.05.24 Melbourne Victory – Wellington Phoenix – 0:0
05.05.24 Melbourne Victory – Melbourne City – 2:1 penalties
27.04.24 Melbourne Victory – Western Sydney Wanderers – 3:4
20.04.24 Melbourne Victory – Brisbane Roar – 0:0
12.04.24 Wellington Phoenix – Melbourne Victory – 1:0

Facts

  • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 1.
  • Two teams are playing changeable.
  • Melbourne Victory could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Recently Melbourne Victory have a series of home games.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-29.
  • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

    Latest Head To Head

    12.05.24 Melbourne Victory – Wellington Phoenix – 0:0
    12.04.24 Wellington Phoenix – Melbourne Victory – 1:0
    19.01.24 Wellington Phoenix – Melbourne Victory – 1:1
    10.11.23 Melbourne Victory – Wellington Phoenix – 1:1
    31.03.23 Wellington Phoenix – Melbourne Victory – 1:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals

    1 Central Coast Mariners (1) Bye
    2 Sydney FC (4) Macarthur FC (5) 4 : 0
    3 Wellington Phoenix (2) Bye
    4 Melbourne Victory (3) Melbourne City (6) 2 : 1

    Semi-finals

    1 Central Coast Mariners (1) Sydney FC (4) 2 : 1
    2 Wellington Phoenix (2) Melbourne Victory (3) 0 : 0

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    Australian A-League Outrights

    1. Central Coast: 2.07 (43.37%)

    2. Melbourne Victory: 3.73 (24.09%)

    3. Wellington Phoenix: 4.5 (19.96%)

    4. Sydney FC: 7.14 (12.58%)

    Short Preview

    The upcoming match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory in the Australian A-League on May 18, 2024, is expected to be a closely contested affair.

    Wellington Phoenix, who are playing at home, have won 2 out of their last 5 matches, while Melbourne Victory have only won 1 out of their last 5 matches. This suggests that Wellington Phoenix may have a slight advantage going into the match.

    According to the bookmakers, the coefficients are quite evenly matched, with slightly higher odds for Melbourne Victory to win. However, our ML estimation gives a slight edge to Melbourne Victory with a probability of 39.1%, compared to Wellington Phoenix’s 33%.

    The most likely result according to the bookmakers is a draw, so it is expected to be a closely fought match with both teams having a chance to come away with a positive result. It will be interesting to see how the match unfolds and which team comes out on top.

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