Wrexham vs Chelsea predictions, Mar 07, 2026

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As Wrexham AFC prepares to host Chelsea in the English FA Cup on March 7, 2026, the team faces a challenging match against a Premier League giant. Recent form suggests Wrexham is in decent shape, securing wins in 3 of their last 5 fixtures, showcasing a resilient attacking play that could pose problems for the visitors.

Chelsea, however, arrives with the weight of expectations, having won only 2 of their last 5 matches and facing scrutiny over their inconsistent performances. Despite this, the Blues maintain a tactical edge with a robust defense and a wealth of top-tier experience that can tilt the match in their favor.

Bookmakers make Wrexham the underdogs with odds reflecting a 13.6% chance of victory, while Chelsea is favored at 71.6% to emerge victorious. Our model predicts a tight affair, with a likely final score of 1:2 in favor of the away team.

Wrexham will need to leverage their home advantage and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Chelsea, while the visitors must navigate the pressure of expectation. With cup matches often yielding surprises, both teams will need to be at their best to secure progression in this prestigious tournament.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-28T22:52:02+00:00.

Wrexham 14.6%

Draw 19.5%

Chelsea 65.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of English FA Cup Chelsea: 12.67% Wrexham: 0.86%

Watch and Bet Wrexham – Chelsea available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	6.34	4.92	1.44
	6.9	4.7	1.44
	6.8	5	1.45	Watch and Bet
	6	4.5	1.4
	6.33	4.97	1.44

Latest Results

28.02.26 Charlton Athletic – Wrexham AFC – 0:1 24.02.26 Wrexham AFC – Portsmouth FC – 2:1 21.02.26 Wrexham AFC – Ipswich Town – 5:3 17.02.26 Bristol City – Wrexham AFC – 2:2 13.02.26 Wrexham AFC – Ipswich Town – 1:0

21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley FC – 1:1 13.02.26 Hull City – Chelsea – 0:4 10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds United – 2:2 07.02.26 Wolverhampton Wanderers – Chelsea – 1:3 03.02.26 Arsenal FC – Chelsea – 1:0

Facts

Wrexham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelsea has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Latest Head To Head

24.07.24 Chelsea – Wrexham AFC – 2:2 19.07.23 Chelsea – Wrexham AFC – 5:0

Standings

Draw

Main

1/128-finals

1	Stoke	Bye
4	Bye	Coventry
5	Fulham	Bye
8	Bye	Middlesbrough
9	Stevenage	Chesterfield	0 : 1
10	Crewe	Doncaster	1 : 2
12	Bye	Southampton
13	Cheltenham	Bradford City	1 : 0
14	Buxton	Chatham	2 : 1
16	Bye	Leicester
17	Tottenham	Bye
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Newcastle	Bye
24	Bye	Bournemouth
25	Manchester City	Bye
27	FC Halifax	Exeter	0 : 2
28	Wycombe	Plymouth	2 : 0
29	Salford	Lincoln	2 : 1
30	Tamworth	Leyton Orient	0 : 1
31	Rotherham	Swindon	1 : 2
32	Bolton	Huddersfield	2 : 1
33	Boreham Wood	Crawley	3 : 0
34	Newport	Gillingham	3 : 2
35	Brackley Town	Notts Co	3 : 2
36	Burton	St. Albans	6 : 0
37	West Ham	Bye
40	Bye	QPR
41	Slough	Altrincham	2 : 1
42	Macclesfield	AFC Totton	6 : 3
44	Bye	Crystal Palace
45	Sheffield Wed	Bye
48	Bye	Brentford
49	Burnley	Bye
52	Bye	Millwall
53	Sheffield Utd	Bye
55	Gainsborough	Accrington	1 : 2
56	Mansfield	Harrogate	3 : 2
57	Portsmouth	Bye
60	Bye	Arsenal
61	Preston	Bye
63	Wigan	Hemel Hempstead	2 : 1
64	Spennymoor	Barrow	0 : 2
65	Grimsby	Ebbsfleet	3 : 1
66	Wealdstone	Southend	1 : 0
67	Chelmsford	Braintree	4 : 1
68	Weston-super-Mare	Aldershot	2 : 1
69	Wolves	Bye
71	Sutton	AFC Telford	2 : 1
72	South Shields	Shrewsbury	1 : 3
73	Liverpool	Bye
75	Peterborough	Cardiff	1 : 0
76	Barnsley	York City	3 : 2
77	Manchester Utd	Bye
80	Bye	Brighton
81	Port Vale	Maldon & Tiptree	5 : 1
82	Bromley	Bristol Rovers	1 : 2
83	Fleetwood	Barnet	2 : 1
84	Luton	Forest Green	4 : 3
85	Bristol City	Bye
88	Bye	Watford
89	Colchester	MK Dons	2 : 3
90	Oldham	Northampton	3 : 1
92	Bye	Oxford Utd
93	Everton	Bye
96	Bye	Sunderland
97	Wrexham	Bye
100	Bye	Nottingham
101	Ipswich	Bye
103	Blackpool	Scunthorpe	1 : 0
104	Reading	Carlisle	2 : 3
105	Hull	Bye
108	Bye	Blackburn
109	Charlton	Bye
112	Bye	Chelsea
113	Tranmere	Stockport County	1 : 3
114	Cambridge Utd	Chester	3 : 0
116	Bye	Birmingham
117	Derby	Bye
120	Bye	Leeds
121	Norwich	Bye
123	AFC Wimbledon	Gateshead	0 : 2
124	Eastleigh	Walsall	0 : 3
125	Swansea	Bye
128	Bye	West Brom

1/64-finals

1	Stoke	Bye
2	Bye	Coventry
3	Fulham	Bye
4	Bye	Middlesbrough
5	Chesterfield	Doncaster	1 : 2
6	Bye	Southampton
7	Cheltenham	Buxton	6 : 2
8	Bye	Leicester
9	Tottenham	Bye
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Newcastle	Bye
12	Bye	Bournemouth
13	Manchester City	Bye
14	Exeter	Wycombe	4 : 0
15	Salford	Leyton Orient	4 : 0
16	Swindon	Bolton	4 : 0
17	Boreham Wood	Newport	3 : 0
18	Brackley Town	Burton	1 : 3
19	West Ham	Bye
20	Bye	QPR
21	Slough	Macclesfield	1 : 3
22	Bye	Crystal Palace
23	Sheffield Wed	Bye
24	Bye	Brentford
25	Burnley	Bye
26	Bye	Millwall
27	Sheffield Utd	Bye
28	Accrington	Mansfield	2 : 3
29	Portsmouth	Bye
30	Bye	Arsenal
31	Preston	Bye
32	Wigan	Barrow	3 : 2
33	Grimsby	Wealdstone	4 : 0
34	Chelmsford	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 2
35	Wolves	Bye
36	Sutton	Shrewsbury	1 : 2
37	Liverpool	Bye
38	Peterborough	Barnsley	0 : 1
39	Manchester Utd	Bye
40	Bye	Brighton
41	Port Vale	Bristol Rovers	1 : 0
42	Fleetwood	Luton	3 : 2
43	Bristol City	Bye
44	Bye	Watford
45	MK Dons	Oldham	3 : 1
46	Bye	Oxford Utd
47	Everton	Bye
48	Bye	Sunderland
49	Wrexham	Bye
50	Bye	Nottingham
51	Ipswich	Bye
52	Blackpool	Carlisle	4 : 1
53	Hull	Bye
54	Bye	Blackburn
55	Charlton	Bye
56	Bye	Chelsea
57	Stockport County	Cambridge Utd	0 : 1
58	Bye	Birmingham
59	Derby	Bye
60	Bye	Leeds
61	Norwich	Bye
62	Gateshead	Walsall	0 : 2
63	Swansea	Bye
64	Bye	West Brom

1/32-finals

1	Stoke	Coventry	1 : 0
2	Fulham	Middlesbrough	3 : 1
3	Doncaster	Southampton	2 : 3
4	Cheltenham	Leicester	0 : 2
5	Tottenham	Aston Villa	1 : 2
6	Newcastle	Bournemouth	4 : 3
7	Manchester City	Exeter	10 : 1
8	Salford	Swindon	3 : 2
9	Boreham Wood	Burton	0 : 5
10	West Ham	QPR	2 : 1
11	Macclesfield	Crystal Palace	2 : 1
12	Sheffield Wed	Brentford	0 : 2
13	Burnley	Millwall	5 : 1
14	Sheffield Utd	Mansfield	3 : 4
15	Portsmouth	Arsenal	1 : 4
16	Preston	Wigan	0 : 1
17	Grimsby	Weston-super-Mare	3 : 2
18	Wolves	Shrewsbury	6 : 1
19	Liverpool	Barnsley	4 : 1
20	Manchester Utd	Brighton	1 : 2
21	Port Vale	Fleetwood	1 : 0
22	Bristol City	Watford	5 : 1
23	MK Dons	Oxford Utd	1 : 2
24	Everton	Sunderland	1 : 2
25	Wrexham	Nottingham	4 : 3
26	Ipswich	Blackpool	2 : 1
27	Hull	Blackburn	1 : 0
28	Charlton	Chelsea	1 : 5
29	Cambridge Utd	Birmingham	2 : 3
30	Derby	Leeds	1 : 3
31	Norwich	Walsall	5 : 1
32	Swansea	West Brom	2 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Stoke	Fulham	1 : 2
2	Southampton	Leicester	2 : 1
3	Aston Villa	Newcastle	1 : 3
4	Manchester City	Salford	2 : 0
5	Burton	West Ham	0 : 1
6	Macclesfield	Brentford	0 : 1
7	Burnley	Mansfield	1 : 2
8	Arsenal	Wigan	4 : 0
9	Grimsby	Wolves	0 : 1
10	Liverpool	Brighton	3 : 0
11	Port Vale	Bristol City
12	Oxford Utd	Sunderland	0 : 1
13	Wrexham	Ipswich	1 : 0
14	Hull	Chelsea	0 : 4
15	Birmingham	Leeds	1 : 2
16	Norwich	West Brom	3 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Fulham	Southampton
2	Newcastle	Manchester City
3	West Ham	Brentford
4	Mansfield	Arsenal
5	Wolves	Liverpool
6	TBD #11	Sunderland
7	Wrexham	Chelsea
8	Leeds	Norwich

English FA Cup Outrights

1. Arsenal: 3.95 (21.33%)

2. Manchester City: 4.5 (18.72%)

3. Liverpool: 5.78 (14.59%)

4. Chelsea: 6.65 (12.67%)

5. Newcastle Utd: 10.9 (7.73%)

6. Leeds: 16.25 (5.18%)

7. Brentford: 17.75 (4.75%)

8. Sunderland: 24.25 (3.47%)

9. Fulham: 25 (3.37%)

10. West Ham: 32.75 (2.57%)

11. Wolves: 51 (1.65%)

12. Southampton: 84.5 (1%)

13. Norwich: 98 (0.86%)

14. Wrexham: 98 (0.86%)

15. Bristol City: 119.25 (0.71%)

16. Mansfield: 238 (0.35%)

17. Port Vale: 425.5 (0.2%)

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