ATP Madrid, on Thursday,
Score, Highlights
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As Nicolai Budkov Kjaer prepares to host Reilly Opelka in their ATP Madrid showdown on April 23, 2026, both players bring comparable recent form into the match, having each secured two victories in their last five outings. Budkov Kjaer, playing on home soil, will look to leverage the support of the crowd, while Opelka, known for his powerful serve and solid baseline game, poses a formidable challenge.
Recent performances suggest that Budkov Kjaer has the potential to make an impact, but he will need to enhance his consistency to compete effectively against Opelka’s height and aggressive playstyle. The bookmakers’ odds reflect this balance, with Budkov Kjaer listed at 2.06 for a home win and Opelka favored at 1.75 for an away victory.
Our model indicates a 43.4% probability of a home win for Budkov Kjaer, contrasted with a 56.6% chance for an Opelka win, emphasizing the slight edge held by the visiting player. As both competitors seek to find their rhythm, the outcome remains uncertain, making this matchup an intriguing watch for tennis enthusiasts.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-21T19:52:02+00:00.
| Budkov Kjaer 45.9% |
Opelka 54.1% |
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 1.75 |
Latest Results
| 21.04.26 Moez Echargui – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 0:2 20.04.26 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Francesco Maestrelli – 2:0 11.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 2:1 04.04.26 Damir Dzumhur – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 2:0 30.03.26 Henrique Rocha – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 2:0 |
13.04.26 Reilly Opelka – Ethan Quinn – 0:2 22.03.26 Reilly Opelka – Taylor Harry Fritz – 0:2 20.03.26 Jack Draper – Reilly Opelka – 0:2 19.03.26 Reilly Opelka – Nuno Borges – 2:1 06.03.26 Ben Shelton – Reilly Opelka – 2:1 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 18.01.26 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Reilly Opelka – 0:3 |
Standings
Draw
Singles – Qualification
Semi-finals
| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Gojo B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Harris B. | Merida Aguilar D. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Garin C. (2) | Blanchet U. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Damm M. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svajda Z. (3) | Sakamoto R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Gea A. | Gaubas V. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Prizmic D. (4) | O’Connell C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Piros Z. | Barrios Vera T. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Vukic A. (5) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Moller E. | Gaston H. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Halys Q. (6) | Faria J. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Harris L. | McDonald M. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Kypson P. (7) | Kouame M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Travaglia S. | Basilashvili N. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Vallejo D. (8) | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Kovacevic A. (9) | Echargui M. | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Maestrelli F. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | van Assche L. (10) | Dedura D. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Bonzi B. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Wu Y. (11) | Dhamne M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Virtanen O. | Droguet T. (17) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Hijikata R. (12) | Rodesch C. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Lajovic D. | Arnaldi M. (14) | 2 : 1 |
Final
| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Merida Aguilar D. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Garin C. (2) | Damm M. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sakamoto R. | Gaubas V. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. (4) | Piros Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Moller E. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Faria J. | Harris L. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Kypson P. (7) | Basilashvili N. (20) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Vallejo D. (8) | Rocha H. | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Echargui M. | Budkov Kjaer N. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Dedura D. | Bonzi B. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Wu Y. (11) | Droguet T. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rodesch C. | Lajovic D. | 0 : 2 |
ATP Madrid Outrights
1. Sinner Jannik: 1.53 (41.09%)
2. Zverev Alexander: 9.33 (6.72%)
3. Shelton Ben: 20 (3.14%)
4. Medvedev Daniil: 26.67 (2.35%)
5. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 31.83 (1.97%)
6. Fils Arthur: 32 (1.96%)
7. Bublik Alexander: 35.5 (1.77%)
8. Fonseca Joao: 37.83 (1.66%)
9. Ruud Casper: 45.67 (1.37%)
10. Cobolli Flavio: 50.33 (1.25%)
11. Mensik Jakub: 55.33 (1.13%)
12. De Minaur Alex: 55.33 (1.13%)
13. Darderi Luciano: 62.33 (1.01%)
14. Jodar Rafael: 64.67 (0.97%)
15. Cerundolo Francisco: 64.67 (0.97%)
16. Lehecka Jiri: 64.67 (0.97%)
17. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 64.67 (0.97%)
18. Musetti Lorenzo: 65.67 (0.96%)
19. Khachanov Karen: 68 (0.92%)
20. Tien Learner: 68 (0.92%)
21. Humbert Ugo: 83.67 (0.75%)
22. Rublev Andrey: 87.83 (0.71%)
23. Landaluce Martin: 100.33 (0.63%)
24. Shapovalov Denis: 100.33 (0.63%)
25. Berrettini Matteo: 104.5 (0.6%)
26. Blockx Alexander: 108.67 (0.58%)
27. Paul Tommy: 108.67 (0.58%)
28. Baez Sebastian: 108.67 (0.58%)
29. Hurkacz Hubert: 108.67 (0.58%)
30. Moutet Corentin: 112.83 (0.56%)
31. Machac Tomas: 112.83 (0.56%)
32. Griekspoor Tallon: 112.83 (0.56%)
33. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 112.83 (0.56%)
34. Vacherot Valentin: 113.67 (0.55%)
35. Munar Jaume: 117 (0.54%)
36. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 125.33 (0.5%)
37. Norrie Cameron: 125.33 (0.5%)
38. Michelsen Alex: 125.33 (0.5%)
39. Dimitrov Grigor: 125.33 (0.5%)
40. Nakashima Brandon: 125.33 (0.5%)
41. Tabilo Alejandro: 125.33 (0.5%)
42. Rinderknech Arthur: 125.33 (0.5%)
43. Marozsan Fabian: 125.33 (0.5%)
44. Kecmanovic Miomir: 133.67 (0.47%)
45. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 137.83 (0.46%)
46. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 142 (0.44%)
47. Fucsovics Marton: 142 (0.44%)
48. Sonego Lorenzo: 142 (0.44%)
49. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 142 (0.44%)
50. Navone Mariano: 142 (0.44%)
51. Muller Alexandre: 146.17 (0.43%)
52. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 150.33 (0.42%)
53. Bellucci Mattia: 150.33 (0.42%)
54. Cilic Marin: 150.33 (0.42%)
55. Hanfmann Yannick: 158.67 (0.4%)
56. Buse Ignacio: 158.67 (0.4%)
57. Nava Emilio: 158.67 (0.4%)
58. Bergs Zizou: 158.67 (0.4%)
59. Popyrin Alexei: 158.67 (0.4%)
60. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 158.67 (0.4%)
61. Collignon Raphael: 158.67 (0.4%)
62. Opelka Reilly: 162.83 (0.39%)
63. Diallo Gabriel: 192 (0.33%)
64. Dzumhur Damir: 200.33 (0.31%)
65. Giron Marcos: 208.67 (0.3%)
66. Zhang Zhizhen: 208.67 (0.3%)
67. Brooksby Jenson: 208.67 (0.3%)
68. Borges Nuno: 217 (0.29%)
69. Altmaier Daniel: 225.33 (0.28%)
70. De Jong Jesper: 233.67 (0.27%)
71. Kopriva Vit: 233.67 (0.27%)
72. Cina Federico: 233.67 (0.27%)
73. Quinn Ethan: 233.67 (0.27%)
74. Atmane Terence: 233.67 (0.27%)
75. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 233.67 (0.27%)
76. Mannarino Adrian: 233.67 (0.27%)
77. Walton Adam: 233.67 (0.27%)
78. Comesana Francisco: 233.67 (0.27%)
79. Shevchenko Alexander: 233.67 (0.27%)
80. Monfils Gael: 233.67 (0.27%)
81. Royer Valentin: 233.67 (0.27%)
82. Ofner Sebastian: 233.67 (0.27%)
83. Struff Jan-Lennard: 233.67 (0.27%)
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