Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen predictions, Feb 21, 2026

Dutch Eredivisie, on Saturday,

Ajax

Nijmegen

Score, Highlights

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As Ajax Amsterdam gears up to host NEC Nijmegen on February 21, 2026, both teams will come into the match with differing recent performances that could impact the outcome. Ajax has secured only 2 wins from their last 5 matches, suggesting some inconsistency that may be a concern for fans. In contrast, NEC Nijmegen is riding a wave of form, with an impressive 4 victories in their last 5 fixtures, highlighting their current competitive edge.

Ajax will look to utilize their attacking prowess and home advantage at the Johan Cruijff Arena. Their tactical approach often centers around maintaining possession and quick ball movement, aiming to create opportunities through their dynamic midfield and forward line.

On the other hand, NEC Nijmegen will likely adopt a more disciplined defensive strategy, focusing on counter-attacking football to exploit any lapses from Ajax’s backline. With bookmakers offering odds of 1.78 for a home win and 3.88 for an away victory, the match could be tightly contested. The model predicts a 54.4% chance of an Ajax win and forecasts a final score of 2:1. However, given NEC’s form and motivation, this encounter may not yield a straightforward outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-14T21:52:03+00:00.

Ajax
52.6%
Draw
23.4%
Nijmegen
23.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 1.8 4.1 3.9
MarathonBet 1.8 4.03 4.21 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.75 3.7 3.9
Pinnacle 1.77 4.07 4.03
Best for US Customers 1.76 4 3.66

Latest Results

14.02.26 Ajax Amsterdam – Fortuna Sittard – 4:1
08.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax Amsterdam – 1:1
01.02.26 Excelsior Rotterdam – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:2
28.01.26 Ajax Amsterdam – FC Olympiacos Piraeus – 1:2
24.01.26 Ajax Amsterdam – FC Volendam – 2:0
11.02.26 NEC Nijmegen – FC Utrecht – 1:3
07.02.26 NEC Nijmegen – Heracles Almelo – 4:1
04.02.26 NEC Nijmegen – FC Volendam – 1:0
31.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – NEC Nijmegen – 1:3
24.01.26 NEC Nijmegen – PEC Zwolle – 2:1

Facts

  • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2.
  • In recent matches, Ajax has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Nijmegen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.
  • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 51:21. (average 2.7:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 2.7:1.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    20.12.25 NEC Nijmegen – Ajax Amsterdam – 2:2
    11.05.25 Ajax Amsterdam – NEC Nijmegen – 0:3
    01.12.24 NEC Nijmegen – Ajax Amsterdam – 1:2
    18.02.24 Ajax Amsterdam – NEC Nijmegen – 2:2
    03.12.23 NEC Nijmegen – Ajax Amsterdam – 1:2

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 PSV 23 19 2 2 67:28 39 59
    2 Feyenoord 22 13 3 6 52:32 20 42
    3 Ajax 23 11 9 3 46:30 16 42
    4 Nijmegen 22 12 5 5 57:38 19 41
    5 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 29:36 -7 36
    6 AZ Alkmaar 23 10 6 7 39:37 2 36
    7 Twente 22 8 10 4 36:24 12 34
    8 Groningen 23 9 4 10 30:30 0 31
    9 Utrecht 23 8 6 9 35:30 5 30
    10 Heerenveen 22 7 7 8 35:37 -2 28
    11 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 31:45 -14 26
    12 Sittard 23 7 5 11 34:42 -8 26
    13 Excelsior 23 7 5 11 25:39 -14 26
    14 FC Volendam 23 6 6 11 26:38 -12 24
    15 G.A. Eagles 22 4 11 7 33:38 -5 23
    16 NAC Breda 23 4 7 12 24:36 -12 19
    17 Telstar 22 3 8 11 26:38 -12 17
    18 Heracles 23 5 2 16 31:58 -27 17

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