Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Macará predictions, Apr 30, 2026

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As Alianza Atlético prepares to host Deportivo Macará in the Copa Sudamericana on April 30, 2026, the matchup presents an intriguing scenario. Alianza Atlético enters the match struggling with their recent form, failing to secure a victory in their last five outings, which could impact their confidence and tactical execution at home. Conversely, Deportivo Macará comes off a relatively stronger run, having won two of their last five matches, suggesting they might harness positive momentum heading into this contest.

Bookmakers currently favor Alianza Atlético slightly, with odds of 2.38 for a home win compared to 3.31 for an away victory, reflecting the team’s desire to capitalize on home advantage despite their recent struggles. Statistical probabilities indicate a 39.5% chance of a home win, a 32.4% likelihood for a draw, and a 28.2% chance of an away victory, outlining a competitive landscape.

Tactically, Alianza Atlético will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on set pieces, while Deportivo Macará’s blend of pace and counter-attacking prowess may pose challenges for the home side. While predictions suggest a narrow 1:0 finish favors the home team, the match remains balanced, with no guaranteed outcomes given the volatility of knock-out stage football.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-24T09:52:02+00:00.

Alianza Atlético 39.5%

Draw 32.3%

Macará 28.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana Macara: 0.58% Alianza Atl.: 0.36%

Watch and Bet Alianza Atlético – Macará available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.39	2.86	3.36
	2.36	2.86	3.34	Watch and Bet
	2.38	2.7	3.3
	2.37	2.96	3.34

Latest Results

22.04.26 Comerciantes Unidos – Alianza Atlético – 1:0 19.04.26 Alianza Atlético – Sport Boys Association – 0:1 15.04.26 América de Cali – Alianza Atlético – 2:1 07.04.26 Alianza Atlético – CA Tigre – 1:1 03.04.26 Alianza Atlético – Atlético Grau – 2:2

23.04.26 Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Deportivo Macará – 4:0 19.04.26 Deportivo Macará – Barcelona Guayaquil – 3:1 16.04.26 CA Tigre – Deportivo Macará – 0:1 12.04.26 Guayaquil City FC – Deportivo Macará – 2:1 09.04.26 Deportivo Macará – América de Cali – 1:1

Facts

Alianza Atlético is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alianza Atlético will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Group Stage

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
2	Macara	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Alianza Atl	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
4	Tigre	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cienciano	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
2	Puerto Cabello	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
3	Atletico-MG	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
4	Juventud	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Group C

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	O’Higgins	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
3	Millonarios	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Boston River	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Group D

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Lorenzo	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
2	Dep. Cuenca	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
3	Recoleta	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
4	Santos	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Group E

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
2	Caracas	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Racing Club	2	1	0	1	5:4	1	3
4	Independiente	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group F

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Montevideo City	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Gremio	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
3	Dep. Riestra	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
4	Palestino	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1

Group G

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
2	A. Italiano	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
3	Barracas Central	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
4	Vasco	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Group H

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	River Plate	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	Carabobo	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
3	Bragantino	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
4	Blooming	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1

Copa Sudamericana Outrights

1. Atletico-MG: 6 (10.68%)

2. Sao Paulo: 7 (9.15%)

3. Racing Montevideo: 7 (9.15%)

4. River Plate: 7 (9.15%)

5. Racing Club: 7 (9.15%)

6. Botafogo RJ: 8 (8.01%)

7. Gremio: 10 (6.41%)

8. Santos: 15 (4.27%)

9. Vasco: 17 (3.77%)

10. Bragantino: 17 (3.77%)

11. America De Cali: 17 (3.77%)

12. Olimpia Asuncion: 26 (2.46%)

13. Olimpia: 26 (2.46%)

14. San Lorenzo: 29 (2.21%)

15. Montevideo City: 29 (2.21%)

16. Millonarios: 29 (2.21%)

17. Tigre: 50.2 (1.28%)

18. A. Italiano: 50.2 (1.28%)

19. Cienciano: 80.2 (0.8%)

20. Dep. Cuenca: 80.2 (0.8%)

21. O Higgins: 80.25 (0.8%)

22. Palestino: 100.2 (0.64%)

23. Barracas Central: 100.2 (0.64%)

24. Macara: 110.2 (0.58%)

25. Carabobo: 112.75 (0.57%)

26. Juventud: 112.75 (0.57%)

27. Deportivo Riestra: 120.2 (0.53%)

28. Caracas: 120.2 (0.53%)

29. Boston River: 180.2 (0.36%)

30. Independiente: 180.2 (0.36%)

31. Alianza Atl.: 180.2 (0.36%)

32. Academia Puerto Cabello: 180.2 (0.36%)

33. Recoleta: 180.2 (0.36%)

34. Blooming: 180.2 (0.36%)

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