Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar predictions, Mar 09, 2026

Mar 04, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Peruvian Liga 1, on Monday,

Alianza Lima

Melgar

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Alianza Lima prepares to host FBC Melgar on March 9, 2026, both teams arrive with positive momentum, having each secured 3 victories in their last 5 matches. Alianza Lima, boasting the home advantage, looks to capitalize on their recent form, which reflects a solid performance and an aggressive style of play. With their attacking capabilities, they have demonstrated an ability to create goal-scoring opportunities, making them a formidable opponent on their home turf.

FBC Melgar, however, should not be underestimated. Their recent successes indicate a resilient tactical setup that has been effective in both defending against and countering opposing attacks. They possess the ability to exploit any weaknesses in Alianza’s defense, making this clash highly competitive.

Bookmakers favor Alianza Lima with odds of 1.63 for a home win, suggesting a strong belief in their capability to secure all three points. The model predicts a 59.2% chance of a home victory, alongside a 25% probability for a draw and a 16.4% chance for an away win.

In this tightly contested matchup, while Alianza Lima holds an edge, FBC Melgar’s form and tactical prowess could challenge expectations, underscoring that no outcome is guaranteed.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-03T21:52:03+00:00.

Alianza Lima
56.4%		 Draw
26.2%		 Melgar
17.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar: 4.12%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 1.63 3.3 4.8
bet_at_home 1.61 3.65 5.43
betsson 1.65 3.6 5.25
MarathonBet 1.64 3.6 5.44
WilliamHill 1.65 3.4 5
Pinnacle 1.63 3.63 5.53

Latest Results

28.02.26 UTC De Cajamarca – Alianza Lima – 0:1
20.02.26 Alianza Lima – Sport Boys Association – 1:0
14.02.26 Alianza Atlético – Alianza Lima – 0:0
11.02.26 Alianza Lima – CS 2 de Mayo – 1:1
08.02.26 Alianza Lima – Comerciantes Unidos – 2:1		 27.02.26 FBC Melgar – CD Los Chankas – 1:2
21.02.26 FC Cajamarca – FBC Melgar – 3:1
15.02.26 FBC Melgar – Deportivo Moquegua – 4:0
08.02.26 Sporting Cristal – FBC Melgar – 1:2
31.01.26 FBC Melgar – Cienciano – 2:0

Facts

  • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 5).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
  • Alianza Lima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Melgar‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • In this match, Alianza Lima is seen as the favorite.
  • We predict that Alianza Lima will win today’s game, with odds of 1.64.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    31.10.25 Alianza Lima – FBC Melgar – 2:2
    28.06.25 FBC Melgar – Alianza Lima – 0:1
    28.09.24 Alianza Lima – FBC Melgar – 1:1
    28.04.24 FBC Melgar – Alianza Lima – 1:0
    28.09.23 Alianza Lima – FBC Melgar – 0:0

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Alianza Lima 5 4 1 0 6:2 4 13
    2 U. de Deportes 5 3 2 0 8:4 4 11
    3 Los Chankas 5 3 2 0 8:5 3 11
    4 Cajamarca 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
    5 FBC Melgar 5 3 0 2 10:6 4 9
    6 Cienciano 5 2 1 2 11:8 3 7
    7 Sport Huancayo 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
    8 Comerciantes Unidos 5 2 1 2 7:7 0 7
    9 Juan Pablo II 5 2 1 2 8:13 -5 7
    10 Alianza Atl 5 1 3 1 2:2 0 6
    11 Sporting Cristal 5 1 2 2 7:7 0 5
    12 FC Cajamarca 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
    13 Deportivo Garcilaso 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
    14 Sport Boys 5 1 2 2 2:3 -1 5
    15 AD Tarma 5 1 2 2 3:5 -2 5
    16 Cusco 5 1 1 3 5:6 -1 4
    17 Moquegua 5 1 1 3 3:8 -5 4
    18 Grau 5 0 1 4 2:8 -6 1

    Peruvian Liga 1 Outrights

    1. A. Lima: 2.25 (34.8%)

    2. Universitario de Deportes: 2.5 (31.32%)

    3. Sporting Cristal: 5 (15.66%)

    4. FBC Melgar: 19 (4.12%)

    5. Cienciano: 41 (1.91%)

    6. Cusco: 50 (1.57%)

    7. Sport Huancayo: 65 (1.2%)

    8. Los Chankas: 65 (1.2%)

    9. Alianza Atl.: 65 (1.2%)

    10. Sport Boys: 65 (1.2%)

    11. Cajamarca: 70.5 (1.11%)

    12. Moquegua: 100 (0.78%)

    13. Comerciantes Unidos: 100 (0.78%)

    14. Atletico Grau: 100 (0.78%)

    15. Juan Pablo II: 100 (0.78%)

    16. Deportivo Garcilaso: 100 (0.78%)

    17. AD Tarma: 100 (0.78%)

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