Ässät vs Kärpät predictions, Jan 07, 2026

Jan 05, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Wednesday,

Ässät

Kärpät

Score, Highlights

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In this highly anticipated match-up between Ässät and Kärpät, both teams will be looking to secure crucial points in the Finnish SM-liiga standings. Ässät hockey, playing at home, have shown inconsistency in their recent form with just one win in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Kärpat Oulu have managed to secure two wins in the same period, indicating a slightly better form going into this clash.

Tactically, Ässät will need to tighten up their defense to prevent Kärpat’s offensive threats from capitalizing on any defensive lapses. On the other hand, Kärpat will look to exploit Ässät’s defensive weaknesses and test their resolve throughout the game.

With bookmakers favoring Ässät as slight favorites at home, this match is shaping up to be a closely contested affair. Our model prediction gives Ässät a 40.2% chance of securing a victory, with a 25% probability of a draw and Kärpat holding a 34.4% chance of an away win. Ultimately, this match could go either way, making it a must-watch for fans of both teams and neutrals alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-04T22:52:02+00:00.

Ässät
40.5%		 Draw
24.1%		 Kärpät
35.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.28 3.96 2.77
MarathonBet 2.27 4.1 2.62
Pinnacle 2.41 3.72 2.67
Best for US Customers 2.35 3.85 2.6

Latest Results

30.12.25 Vaasan Sport – Ässät hockey – 2:1
27.12.25 Ässät hockey – HPK Hockey – 4:3 OT
20.12.25 Pelicans Hockey – Ässät hockey – 2:1 OT
19.12.25 Ässät hockey – Pelicans Hockey – 1:2 penalties
13.12.25 Lukko Hockey – Ässät hockey – 8:3		 03.01.26 Kärpat Oulu – Vaasan Sport – 6:0
30.12.25 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:2 OT
27.12.25 Kärpat Oulu – JYP Hockey – 2:4
26.12.25 JYP Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 5:3
20.12.25 Kärpat Oulu – Mikkelin Jukurit – 3:2 penalties

Facts

  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4.
  • Ässät has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Kärpät‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 40:55. (average 2:2.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 2.3:2.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.10.25 Kärpat Oulu – Ässät hockey – 2:4
    20.09.25 Ässät hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 5:2
    01.03.25 Ässät hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:1
    15.01.25 Kärpat Oulu – Ässät hockey – 5:2
    30.11.24 Kärpat Oulu – Ässät hockey – 1:4

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 35 21 2 2 10 126:83 69
    2 JYP 34 18 5 2 9 128:99 66
    3 Lukko 34 18 4 1 11 107:85 63
    4 KooKoo 35 16 7 1 11 122:93 63
    5 Ilves 35 16 5 3 11 111:96 61
    6 SaiPa 35 16 3 5 11 117:96 59
    7 Assat 35 16 4 3 12 102:86 59
    8 KalPa 34 16 3 2 13 106:109 56
    9 Kiekko-Espoo 37 13 3 5 16 97:111 50
    10 TPS Turku 37 10 6 6 15 86:102 48
    11 Jukurit 35 12 3 4 16 81:94 46
    12 Pelicans 35 10 5 5 15 69:88 45
    13 IFK Helsinki 35 12 2 4 17 78:114 44
    14 Karpat 36 10 4 4 18 112:120 42
    15 Hameenlinna 37 9 4 7 17 90:111 42
    16 Vaasan Sport 35 8 1 7 19 71:116 33

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.84 (30.9%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 5.04 (17.44%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 6.5 (13.52%)

    4. Saipa: 13 (6.76%)

    5. JYP Jyvaskyla: 13.2 (6.66%)

    6. Kalpa Kuopio: 15.2 (5.78%)

    7. KooKoo: 19 (4.62%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 26 (3.38%)

    9. Assat Pori: 30.8 (2.85%)

    10. Karpat Oulu: 42.6 (2.06%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 62.2 (1.41%)

    12. TPS Turku: 68.2 (1.29%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 85.4 (1.03%)

    14. Hameenlinna: 93.4 (0.94%)

    15. Jukurit: 120.2 (0.73%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 140.2 (0.63%)

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