Aston Villa vs Chelsea predictions, Mar 04, 2026

English Premier League, on Wednesday,

Aston Villa

Chelsea

Score, Highlights

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As Aston Villa prepares to host Chelsea on March 4, 2026, both teams are keen to improve their standing in the English Premier League. Aston Villa has struggled recently, securing just one victory in their last five matches. This inconsistency may expose vulnerabilities in their defensive structure, requiring a tactical shift to reclaim form on their home turf.

In contrast, Chelsea has managed to obtain two wins in the same period, reflecting a slightly more stable performance. Their recent form indicates a capacity to capitalize on opponent errors and maintain possession, which could be pivotal in away encounters. The Blues will likely look to exploit Aston Villa’s defensive frailties while maintaining their attacking momentum.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.67 for a home win and 2.48 for an away victory, indicating a slight favoritism towards Chelsea. Our predictive model assigns a 36.7% chance of an Aston Villa victory, a 25.8% chance of a draw, and a 38% chance of a Chelsea win. Given both teams’ recent form, this clash promises to be competitive, with the potential for any outcome as they vie for crucial league points.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-26T00:52:03+00:00.

Aston Villa
35.3%
Draw
25.8%
Chelsea
38.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English Premier League Aston Villa: 0.86% Chelsea: 0.48%

Watch Watch and Bet Aston Villa – Chelsea available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.71 3.75 2.46
betsson 2.72 3.8 2.42
MarathonBet 2.78 3.82 2.54 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.63 3.5 2.4
Pinnacle 2.7 3.84 2.5

Latest Results

21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds United – 1:1
14.02.26 Aston Villa – Newcastle United – 1:3
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton & Hove Albion – 1:0
07.02.26 AFC Bournemouth – Aston Villa – 1:1
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford FC – 0:1
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley FC – 1:1
13.02.26 Hull City – Chelsea – 0:4
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds United – 2:2
07.02.26 Wolverhampton Wanderers – Chelsea – 1:3
03.02.26 Arsenal FC – Chelsea – 1:0

Facts

  • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of home games.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).

    Latest Head To Head

    27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa – 1:2
    22.02.25 Aston Villa – Chelsea – 2:1
    01.12.24 Chelsea – Aston Villa – 3:0
    27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea – 2:2
    07.02.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea – 1:3

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Arsenal 28 18 7 3 56:21 35 61
    2 Manchester City 27 17 5 5 56:25 31 56
    3 Aston Villa 27 15 6 6 38:28 10 51
    4 Manchester Utd 27 13 9 5 48:37 11 48
    5 Chelsea 27 12 9 6 48:31 17 45
    6 Liverpool 27 13 6 8 42:35 7 45
    7 Brentford 27 12 4 11 40:37 3 40
    8 Bournemouth 27 9 11 7 43:45 -2 38
    9 Everton 27 10 7 10 29:31 -2 37
    10 Fulham 27 11 4 12 38:41 -3 37
    11 Newcastle 27 10 6 11 38:39 -1 36
    12 Sunderland 27 9 9 9 28:33 -5 36
    13 Crystal Palace 27 9 8 10 29:32 -3 35
    14 Brighton 27 8 10 9 36:34 2 34
    15 Leeds 27 7 10 10 37:46 -9 31
    16 Tottenham 27 7 8 12 37:41 -4 29
    17 Nottingham 27 7 6 14 25:39 -14 27
    18 West Ham 27 6 7 14 32:49 -17 25
    19 Burnley 27 4 7 16 29:52 -23 19
    20 Wolves 28 1 7 20 18:51 -33 10

    English Premier League Outrights

    1. Arsenal: 1.49 (62.53%)

    2. Manchester City: 2.72 (34.24%)

    3. Manchester United: 73 (1.27%)

    4. Aston Villa: 108.67 (0.86%)

    5. Liverpool: 150.33 (0.62%)

    6. Chelsea: 192 (0.48%)

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