Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest predictions, May 07, 2026

UEFA Europa League, on Thursday,

Aston Villa

Nottingham

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Aston Villa prepares to host Nottingham Forest on May 7, 2026, in a UEFA Europa League clash, both teams arrive with contrasting recent performances that could significantly influence the outcome. Aston Villa has experienced a mixed bag lately, securing two victories in their last five outings. They will look to leverage their home advantage at Villa Park, where the atmosphere often provides an edge.

Conversely, Nottingham Forest has been in impressive form, winning four of their last five matches. Their recent resurgence showcases a robust attacking strategy combined with a resilient defense, making them a formidable challenge for any opposition. The odds reflect a favor towards Aston Villa at 1.83 for a home win, while Nottingham Forest stands at 4.18 for an away win, indicating a tight competition.

Our model assigns a 55.6% probability of a home victory, while the draw and away win probabilities sit at 27.1% and 21.2%, respectively. Given the tactical strengths of both sides, fans and bettors alike should brace for a closely contested match where either team could emerge victorious. As always in football, the final outcome remains uncertain until the final whistle.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-01T17:52:03+00:00.

Aston Villa
52.2%
Draw
25.8%
Nottingham
21.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League Aston Villa: 33.66% Nottingham: 31.82%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.84 3.79 4.4
betsson 1.82 3.75 4.5
MarathonBet 1.87 3.86 4.52
WilliamHill 1.83 3.5 4
Pinnacle 1.8 3.87 4.19

Latest Results

30.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:0
25.04.26 Fulham FC – Aston Villa – 1:0
19.04.26 Aston Villa – Sunderland AFC – 4:3
16.04.26 Aston Villa – Bologna FC – 4:0
12.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:1
30.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:0
24.04.26 Sunderland AFC – Nottingham Forest – 0:5
19.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Burnley FC – 4:1
16.04.26 Nottingham Forest – FC Porto – 1:0
12.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:1

Facts

  • First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
  • Recent performances by Aston Villa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Nottingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Recently, Nottingham has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.
  • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.8:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.9:1.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    30.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:0
    12.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:1
    03.01.26 Aston Villa – Nottingham Forest – 3:1
    05.04.25 Aston Villa – Nottingham Forest – 2:1
    14.12.24 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 2:1

    Standings

    Draw

    Play Offs

    1/16-finals

    1 Ludogorets (22) Ferencvaros (12) 0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2 Braga (6) Bye
    3 Panathinaikos (20) Plzen (14) 2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4 Betis (4) Bye
    5 Din. Zagreb (23) Genk (9) 3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6 Freiburg (7) Bye
    7 PAOK (17) Celta Vigo (16) 0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8 Lyon (1) Bye
    9 Celtic (21) Stuttgart (11) 1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10 FC Porto (5) Bye
    11 Fenerbahce (19) Nottingham (13) 2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12 Midtjylland (3) Bye
    13 Brann (24) Bologna (10) 0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14 AS Roma (8) Bye
    15 Lille (18) Crvena zvezda (15) 2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16 Aston Villa (2) Bye

    1/8-finals

    1 Ferencvaros (12) Braga (6) 0 : 4, 2 : 0
    2 Panathinaikos (20) Betis (4) 0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3 Genk (9) Freiburg (7) 1 : 5, 1 : 0
    4 Celta Vigo (16) Lyon (1) 2 : 0, 1 : 1
    5 Stuttgart (11) FC Porto (5) 0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6 Nottingham (13) Midtjylland (3) 3 : 1, 0 : 1
    7 Bologna (10) AS Roma (8) 4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8 Lille (18) Aston Villa (2) 0 : 2, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals

    1 Braga (6) Betis (4) 4 : 2, 1 : 1
    2 Freiburg (7) Celta Vigo (16) 3 : 1, 3 : 0
    3 FC Porto (5) Nottingham (13) 0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4 Bologna (10) Aston Villa (2) 0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals

    1 Braga (6) Freiburg (7) 2 : 1
    2 Nottingham (13) Aston Villa (2) 1 : 0

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    UEFA Europa League Outrights

    1. Aston Villa: 2.72 (33.66%)

    2. Nottingham: 2.88 (31.82%)

    3. Braga: 4.91 (18.64%)

    4. Freiburg: 5.77 (15.87%)

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