Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad predictions, Feb 11, 2026

Feb 07, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Spanish Copa del Rey, on Wednesday,

Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Athletic Bilbao prepares to host Real Sociedad in the Spanish Copa del Rey on February 11, 2026, the match promises to be a tightly contested affair. Athletic Bilbao enters the fixture having secured 2 wins in their last 5 outings, although their recent form suggests vulnerability, especially in critical moments. Their tactical approach often relies on strong defensive organization coupled with quick transitions, which they will need to execute effectively against a potent Sociedad attack.

In contrast, Real Sociedad has demonstrated impressive form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Their recent success can be attributed to a balanced combination of solid midfield control and clinical finishing, allowing them to capitalize on offensive opportunities. Sociedad’s tactical flexibility enables them to adjust their style based on the opposition, posing a significant challenge for Bilbao.

Bookmakers have priced the match with odds of 2.45 for a home win and 3.01 for an away victory, indicating a competitive matchup. Probabilistic models suggest a 40% chance of victory for Bilbao, a 30.3% likelihood of a draw, and a 30.8% chance for Sociedad. Given these factors, a predicted final score of 1:1 reflects the anticipated balance in play. Ultimately, fans can expect an engaging clash where tactics and form will be pivotal, but outcomes remain uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-06T21:52:03+00:00.

Athletic
38.9%		 Draw
29.4%		 Real Sociedad
31.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Spanish Copa del Rey Real Sociedad: 16.49% Ath Bilbao: 13.85%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.5 3.35 3.01
Best for US Customers 2.4 3.14 3

Latest Results

04.02.26 CF Valencia – Athletic Bilbao – 1:2
01.02.26 Athletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad – 1:1
28.01.26 Athletic Bilbao – Sporting Lisbon – 2:3
24.01.26 Sevilla FC – Athletic Bilbao – 2:1
21.01.26 Atalanta – Athletic Bilbao – 2:3		 04.02.26 Deportivo Alavés – Real Sociedad – 2:3
01.02.26 Athletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad – 1:1
25.01.26 Real Sociedad – Celta de Vigo – 3:1
18.01.26 Real Sociedad – FC Barcelona – 2:1
13.01.26 Real Sociedad – Osasuna – 3:2 penalties

Facts

  • First leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
  • In recent matches, Athletic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Real Sociedad is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.02.26 Athletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad – 1:1
    01.11.25 Real Sociedad – Athletic Bilbao – 3:2
    04.05.25 Real Sociedad – Athletic Bilbao – 0:0
    24.11.24 Athletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad – 1:0
    13.01.24 Athletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad – 2:1

    Standings

    Draw

    2025/26

    1/128-finals

    1 Mutilvera Bye
    2 Bye Zaragoza
    3 Atl. Tordesillas Bye
    4 Bye Burgos CF
    5 Navalcarnero Bye
    6 Bye AD Merida
    7 Inter de Valdemoro Univ. Julio Suarez 3 : 1, 1 : 1
    8 Bye Getafe
    9 Atl. Astorga Bye
    10 Bye Mirandes
    11 Caudal Deportivo Bye
    12 Bye Gijon
    13 Puente Genil Bye
    14 Bye FC Cartagena SAD
    15 Sporting Ceuta Maracena 0 : 2, 1 : 1
    16 Bye Valencia
    17 Tropezon Bye
    18 Bye Cultural Leonesa
    19 Valle Egues Bye
    20 Bye Andorra
    21 Ciudad Cieza Bye
    22 Bye Cordoba
    23 Orihuela Bye
    24 Bye Levante
    25 Ourense CF Bye
    26 Bye Oviedo
    27 Constancia Bye
    28 Bye Girona
    32 Bye Ath Bilbao
    33 Portugalete Bye
    34 Bye Valladolid
    35 Deportivo Getxo Betis Valladolid 2 : 1, 0 : 0
    36 Bye Alaves
    37 CD Extremadura Bye
    38 Bye Las Palmas
    39 Toledo Bye
    40 Bye Sevilla
    41 RSD Alcala Bye
    42 Bye Tenerife
    43 Roda Bye
    44 Bye Granada CF
    45 Real Avila Bye
    46 Bye Real Aviles
    47 Campanario CD Yuncos 0 : 2, 0 : 0
    48 Bye Rayo Vallecano
    49 Jaen Bye
    50 Bye Eldense
    51 Lorca Deportiva Bye
    52 Bye Almeria
    53 Reus FCR Bye
    54 Bye CE Europa
    55 Textil Escudo SD Negreira 0 : 4, 2 : 1
    56 Bye Real Sociedad
    57 Langreo Bye
    58 Bye Racing Club Ferrol
    59 Utebo FC Bye
    60 Bye Huesca
    61 Ebro Bye
    62 Bye Tarazona
    63 CD Sant Jordi Lourdes 3 : 1, 1 : 0
    64 Bye Osasuna
    65 Azuaga Bye
    66 Bye Leganes
    67 San Fernando Bye
    68 Bye Albacete
    69 Sant Andreu Bye
    70 Bye Teruel
    71 Puerto de Vega CCD Alberite 1 : 1, 4 : 0
    72 Bye Celta Vigo
    73 Rayo Majadahonda Bye
    74 Bye CF Talavera
    75 CD Estepona Bye
    76 Bye Malaga
    80 Bye Real Madrid
    81 UD Logrones Bye
    82 Bye Ponferradina
    83 SD Logrones Bye
    84 Bye Racing Santander
    85 Antoniano Bye
    86 Bye Castellon
    87 Ciudad de Lucena Bye
    88 Bye Villarreal
    89 Guadalajara Bye
    90 Bye Cacereno
    91 La Union Bye
    92 Bye Ceuta
    96 Bye Barcelona
    97 Murcia Bye
    98 Bye Antequera
    99 UCAM Murcia Bye
    100 Bye Cadiz CF
    101 Torrent Bye
    102 Bye Torremolinos
    103 Atletico Melilla Palma del Rio 0 : 5, 0 : 5
    104 Bye Betis
    105 UD Ourense Bye
    106 Bye Pontevedra
    107 Naxara Bye
    108 Bye Eibar
    109 Quintanar del Rey Bye
    110 Bye UD Ibiza
    111 Manises UD Los Garres 0 : 4, 2 : 0
    112 Bye Elche
    113 Poblense Bye
    114 Bye Sabadell
    115 UD Samano Bye
    116 Bye Dep. La Coruna
    117 Numancia Bye
    118 Bye Arenas Getxo
    119 Sant Just Atletico Calatayud 4 : 1, 3 : 0
    120 Bye Mallorca
    121 Baleares Bye
    122 Bye Gimnastic
    123 Atletic Lleida Bye
    124 Bye Espanyol
    128 Bye Atl. Madrid

    1/64-finals

    1 Mutilvera Zaragoza 1 : 3
    2 Atl. Tordesillas Burgos CF 1 : 2
    3 Navalcarnero AD Merida 2 : 1
    4 Inter de Valdemoro Getafe 0 : 11
    5 Atl. Astorga Mirandes 1 : 2
    6 Caudal Deportivo Gijon 0 : 1
    7 Puente Genil FC Cartagena SAD 0 : 1
    8 Maracena Valencia 0 : 5
    9 Tropezon Cultural Leonesa 1 : 3
    10 Valle Egues Andorra 1 : 5
    11 Ciudad Cieza Cordoba 1 : 0
    12 Orihuela Levante 3 : 4
    13 Ourense CF Oviedo 4 : 2
    14 Constancia Girona 2 : 3
    16 Bye Ath Bilbao
    17 Portugalete Valladolid 1 : 0
    18 Deportivo Getxo Alaves 0 : 7
    19 CD Extremadura Las Palmas 3 : 1
    20 Toledo Sevilla 1 : 4
    21 RSD Alcala Tenerife 0 : 4
    22 Roda Granada CF 1 : 5
    23 Real Avila Real Aviles 1 : 0
    24 CD Yuncos Rayo Vallecano 1 : 6
    25 Jaen Eldense 1 : 3
    26 Lorca Deportiva Almeria 0 : 2
    27 Reus FCR CE Europa 3 : 2
    28 SD Negreira Real Sociedad 0 : 3
    29 Langreo Racing Club Ferrol 0 : 1
    30 Utebo FC Huesca 0 : 3
    31 Ebro Tarazona 2 : 1
    32 CD Sant Jordi Osasuna 0 : 5
    33 Azuaga Leganes 1 : 4
    34 San Fernando Albacete 0 : 3
    35 Sant Andreu Teruel 2 : 1
    36 Puerto de Vega Celta Vigo 0 : 2
    37 Rayo Majadahonda CF Talavera 1 : 4
    38 CD Estepona Malaga 1 : 3
    40 Bye Real Madrid
    41 UD Logrones Ponferradina 1 : 3
    42 SD Logrones Racing Santander 0 : 4
    43 Antoniano Castellon 1 : 0
    44 Ciudad de Lucena Villarreal 0 : 6
    45 Guadalajara Cacereno 2 : 1
    46 La Union Ceuta 0 : 2
    48 Bye Barcelona
    49 Murcia Antequera 2 : 1
    50 UCAM Murcia Cadiz CF 1 : 3
    51 Torrent Torremolinos 3 : 1
    52 Palma del Rio Betis 1 : 7
    53 UD Ourense Pontevedra 1 : 2
    54 Naxara Eibar 2 : 4
    55 Quintanar del Rey UD Ibiza 2 : 1
    56 UD Los Garres Elche 0 : 4
    57 Poblense Sabadell 1 : 2
    58 UD Samano Dep. La Coruna 1 : 5
    59 Numancia Arenas Getxo 3 : 0
    60 Sant Just Mallorca 0 : 2
    61 Baleares Gimnastic 2 : 0
    62 Atletic Lleida Espanyol 1 : 2
    64 Bye Atl. Madrid

    1/32-finals

    1 Zaragoza Burgos CF 0 : 1
    2 Navalcarnero Getafe 2 : 3
    3 Mirandes Gijon 0 : 2
    4 FC Cartagena SAD Valencia 1 : 2
    5 Cultural Leonesa Andorra 4 : 2
    6 Ciudad Cieza Levante 0 : 1
    7 Ourense CF Girona 2 : 1
    8 Bye Ath Bilbao
    9 Portugalete Alaves 0 : 3
    10 CD Extremadura Sevilla 1 : 2
    11 Tenerife Granada CF 0 : 1
    12 Real Avila Rayo Vallecano 1 : 2
    13 Eldense Almeria 2 : 1
    14 Reus FCR Real Sociedad 0 : 2
    15 Racing Club Ferrol Huesca 0 : 2
    16 Ebro Osasuna 3 : 5
    17 Leganes Albacete 1 : 2
    18 Sant Andreu Celta Vigo 1 : 2
    19 CF Talavera Malaga 2 : 1
    20 Bye Real Madrid
    21 Ponferradina Racing Santander 1 : 2
    22 Antoniano Villarreal 1 : 2
    23 Guadalajara Ceuta 1 : 0
    24 Bye Barcelona
    25 Murcia Cadiz CF 3 : 2
    26 Torrent Betis 1 : 4
    27 Pontevedra Eibar 0 : 3
    28 Quintanar del Rey Elche 1 : 2
    29 Sabadell Dep. La Coruna 0 : 2
    30 Numancia Mallorca 2 : 3
    31 Baleares Espanyol 1 : 0
    32 Bye Atl. Madrid

    1/16-finals

    1 Burgos CF Getafe 3 : 1
    2 Gijon Valencia 0 : 2
    3 Cultural Leonesa Levante 1 : 0
    4 Ourense CF Ath Bilbao 0 : 1
    5 Alaves Sevilla 1 : 0
    6 Granada CF Rayo Vallecano 1 : 3
    7 Eldense Real Sociedad 1 : 2
    8 Huesca Osasuna 2 : 4
    9 Albacete Celta Vigo 3 : 2
    10 CF Talavera Real Madrid 2 : 3
    11 Racing Santander Villarreal 2 : 1
    12 Guadalajara Barcelona 0 : 2
    13 Murcia Betis 0 : 2
    14 Eibar Elche 0 : 1
    15 Dep. La Coruna Mallorca 1 : 0
    16 Baleares Atl. Madrid 2 : 3

    1/8-finals

    1 Burgos CF Valencia 0 : 2
    2 Cultural Leonesa Ath Bilbao 3 : 4
    3 Alaves Rayo Vallecano 2 : 0
    4 Real Sociedad Osasuna 3 : 2
    5 Albacete Real Madrid 3 : 2
    6 Racing Santander Barcelona 0 : 2
    7 Betis Elche 2 : 1
    8 Dep. La Coruna Atl. Madrid 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals

    1 Valencia Ath Bilbao 1 : 2
    2 Alaves Real Sociedad 2 : 3
    3 Albacete Barcelona 1 : 2
    4 Betis Atl. Madrid 0 : 5

    Semi-finals

    1 Ath Bilbao Real Sociedad
    2 Barcelona Atl. Madrid

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    Spanish Copa del Rey Outrights

    1. Barcelona: 1.76 (51.53%)

    2. Atl. Madrid: 5 (18.14%)

    3. Real Sociedad: 5.5 (16.49%)

    4. Ath Bilbao: 6.55 (13.85%)

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