Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Lisbon predictions, Jan 28, 2026

UEFA Champions League, on Wednesday,

Athletic

Sporting Lisbon

Score, Highlights

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As Athletic Bilbao prepares to host Sporting Lisbon in the UEFA Champions League on January 28, 2026, both teams come into the match with contrasting recent performances. Athletic Bilbao has struggled recently, managing to secure only one victory in their last five matches, which may raise concerns regarding their current form and consistency. Their defensive setup will be crucial as they look to capitalize on home advantage against a formidable opponent.

Sporting Lisbon, on the other hand, has shown a more potent attacking prowess, winning three out of their last five matches. Their recent success reflects a solid tactical approach, emphasizing swift transitions and effective ball movement, which could exploit Bilbao’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Bookmakers favor a home win with odds of 1.99, suggesting a perceived edge for Athletic Bilbao, despite their recent struggles. The model predictions provide a slight edge to the home side with a 49.7% probability of winning, while Sporting Lisbon’s chance of victory stands at 25%. Given the competitive nature of the tournament and both teams’ current form, a closely contested match is anticipated. As always, the outcome remains uncertain, reinforcing the unpredictable nature of knockout football.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-21T22:52:03+00:00.

Athletic
47.2%
Draw
26.6%
Sporting
26.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Sporting CP: 1.02% Ath Bilbao: 0.6%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 1.9 3.5 4.1
betsson 1.98 3.7 3.8
MarathonBet 2.13 3.83 3.51
Pinnacle 2.03 3.80 3.50

Latest Results

21.01.26 Atalanta – Athletic Bilbao – 2:3
17.01.26 RCD Mallorca – Athletic Bilbao – 3:2
13.01.26 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa – Athletic Bilbao – 3:4 ET
07.01.26 FC Barcelona – Athletic Bilbao – 5:0
03.01.26 Osasuna – Athletic Bilbao – 1:1
20.01.26 Sporting Lisbon – Paris Saint-Germain – 2:1
16.01.26 Sporting Lisbon – Casa Pia – 3:0
06.01.26 Sporting Lisbon – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:2
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sporting Lisbon – 1:1
28.12.25 Sporting Lisbon – Rio Ave FC – 4:0

Facts

  • Recent performances by Athletic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
  • Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.
  • Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
  • Including home match between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

    Latest Head To Head

    27.07.24 Sporting Lisbon – Athletic Bilbao – 3:0
    26.04.12 Athletic Bilbao – Sporting Lisbon – 3:1

    Standings

    League phase

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Arsenal ✔ 7 7 0 0 20:2 18 21
    2 Bayern Munich ✔ 7 6 0 1 20:7 13 18
    3 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 19:8 11 15
    4 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 14:8 6 15
    5 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15:7 8 14
    6 PSG 7 4 1 2 20:10 10 13
    7 Newcastle 7 4 1 2 16:6 10 13
    8 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
    9 Barcelona 7 4 1 2 18:13 5 13
    10 Sporting CP 7 4 1 2 14:9 5 13
    11 Manchester City 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
    12 Atl. Madrid 7 4 1 2 16:13 3 13
    13 Atalanta 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
    14 Inter 7 4 0 3 13:7 6 12
    15 Juventus 7 3 3 1 14:10 4 12
    16 Dortmund 7 3 2 2 19:15 4 11
    17 Galatasaray 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
    18 Qarabag 7 3 1 3 13:15 -2 10
    19 Marseille 7 3 0 4 11:11 0 9
    20 Bayer Leverkusen 7 2 3 2 10:14 -4 9
    21 Monaco 7 2 3 2 8:14 -6 9
    22 PSV 7 2 2 3 15:14 1 8
    23 Ath Bilbao 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
    24 Olympiacos Piraeus 7 2 2 3 8:13 -5 8
    25 Napoli 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
    26 FC Copenhagen 7 2 2 3 11:17 -6 8
    27 Club Brugge KV 7 2 1 4 12:17 -5 7
    28 Bodo/Glimt 7 1 3 3 12:14 -2 6
    29 Benfica 7 2 0 5 6:10 -4 6
    30 Pafos 7 1 3 3 4:10 -6 6
    31 Royale Union SG 7 2 0 5 7:17 -10 6
    32 Ajax 7 2 0 5 7:19 -12 6
    33 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 1 1 5 10:19 -9 4
    34 Slavia Prague 7 0 3 4 4:15 -11 3
    35 Villarreal 7 0 1 6 5:15 -10 1
    36 Kairat Almaty 7 0 1 6 5:19 -14 1

    UEFA Champions League Outrights

    1. Arsenal: 4.6 (16.93%)

    2. Bayern Munich: 5.74 (13.57%)

    3. Manchester City: 8.08 (9.64%)

    4. PSG: 8.16 (9.54%)

    5. Barcelona: 9.56 (8.15%)

    6. Real Madrid: 9.84 (7.91%)

    7. Liverpool: 10.8 (7.21%)

    8. Chelsea: 19 (4.1%)

    9. Inter: 30.6 (2.54%)

    10. Atl. Madrid: 30.6 (2.54%)

    11. Newcastle Utd: 41 (1.9%)

    12. Tottenham: 46.8 (1.66%)

    13. Dortmund: 58.2 (1.34%)

    14. Napoli: 72.2 (1.08%)

    15. Sporting CP: 76.2 (1.02%)

    16. Atalanta: 77.4 (1.01%)

    17. Marseille: 85.4 (0.91%)

    18. Juventus: 92.2 (0.84%)

    19. Bayer Leverkusen: 110.2 (0.71%)

    20. Monaco: 110.2 (0.71%)

    21. PSV: 110.2 (0.71%)

    22. Benfica: 110.2 (0.71%)

    23. Galatasaray: 120.2 (0.65%)

    24. Ath Bilbao: 130.2 (0.6%)

    25. Club Brugge: 140.2 (0.56%)

    26. Royale Union SG: 180.2 (0.43%)

    27. Bodo/Glimt: 180.2 (0.43%)

    28. Olympiacos Piraeus: 180.2 (0.43%)

    29. Qarabag Agdam: 180.2 (0.43%)

    30. Pafos: 180.2 (0.43%)

    31. FC Copenhagen: 180.2 (0.43%)

    32. Ajax: 230.2 (0.34%)

    33. Villarreal: 501 (0.16%)

    34. Eintracht Frankfurt: 501 (0.16%)

    35. Slavia Prague: 501 (0.16%)

    36. Kairat Almaty: 1001 (0.08%)

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