Ayacucho vs FBC Melgar predictions, Mar 15, 2025

Peruvian Liga 1, on Saturday,

Ayacucho

FBC Melgar

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming match between Ayacucho FC and FBC Melgar in the Peruvian Liga 1 on March 15, 2025, promises to be an exciting encounter. Ayacucho FC, the home team, has struggled in their recent matches, winning only 1 out of their last 5 games. On the other hand, FBC Melgar has been in excellent form, winning 4 out of their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have set the coefficients at 3.91 for Ayacucho FC and 2.02 for FBC Melgar, indicating that FBC Melgar are the favorites to win this match. Our ML estimation suggests that FBC Melgar is indeed the more likely winner with a probability of 47.7%, while a draw has a probability of 28.4% and an Ayacucho FC win is the least likely outcome at 23.8%.

Based on the bookmakers’ prediction of a 1-1 draw, we can expect a closely contested match with both teams fighting hard for the win. Ayacucho FC will be looking to improve their recent form and secure a much-needed victory, while FBC Melgar will be aiming to continue their winning streak and maintain their position at the top of the league table. Overall, this match has all the makings of a thrilling encounter for soccer fans.

Ayacucho 24.4% Draw 28.7% Melgar 47%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:1

Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar: 18.34% Ayacucho: 0.23%

Watch Watch and Bet Ayacucho – Melgar available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 3.72 3.31 2.13 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 3.62 3.21 2.01

Latest Results

07.03.25 Alianza Lima – Ayacucho FC – 2:0
02.03.25 Ayacucho FC – Sport Huancayo – 1:1
22.02.25 Sport Boys Association – Ayacucho FC – 2:1
17.02.25 Ayacucho FC – Alianza Universidad de Huánuco – 3:2
08.02.25 Atlético Grau – Ayacucho FC – 1:0
08.03.25 FBC Melgar – Sporting Cristal – 1:0
05.03.25 FBC Melgar – Cerro Porteño – 0:1
27.02.25 FBC Melgar – Deportes Tolima – 1:0
23.02.25 FBC Melgar – Alianza Atlético – 2:1
20.02.25 Deportes Tolima – FBC Melgar – 0:1

Facts

  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 1.
  • Ayacucho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Melgar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
  • Melgar will have a mini benefit in this match.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 13:31 (average 0.7:1.6).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    08.10.22 FBC Melgar – Ayacucho FC – 3:0
    22.05.22 Ayacucho FC – FBC Melgar – 0:1
    17.09.21 FBC Melgar – Ayacucho FC – 1:1
    12.04.21 FBC Melgar – Ayacucho FC – 0:0
    31.10.20 Ayacucho FC – FBC Melgar – 2:0

    Standings

    2025

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 FBC Melgar 4 4 0 0 7:1 6 12
    2 Alianza Lima 5 4 0 1 9:4 5 12
    3 Deportivo Garcilaso 5 3 2 0 9:5 4 11
    4 U. de Deportes 4 3 1 0 10:3 7 10
    5 Sport Huancayo 5 3 1 1 6:4 2 10
    6 AD Tarma 5 2 2 1 12:11 1 8
    7 Alianza Atl 5 2 1 2 9:6 3 7
    8 Sporting Cristal 5 2 1 2 6:6 0 7
    9 Sport Boys 5 2 1 2 6:7 -1 7
    10 Cienciano 4 1 1 2 9:10 -1 4
    11 Ayacucho 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
    12 Cusco 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 4
    13 Binacional 3 1 0 2 6:6 0 3
    14 Grau 3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
    15 Los Chankas 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
    16 Comerciantes Unidos 4 0 2 2 5:7 -2 2
    17 Alianza Huanuco 5 0 2 3 6:12 -6 2
    18 Cajamarca 4 0 2 2 1:8 -7 2
    19 Juan Pablo II 3 0 0 3 0:3 -3 0

    Peruvian Liga 1 Outrights

    1. A. Lima: 2.88 (27.58%)

    2. Universitario de Deportes: 3.25 (24.44%)

    3. FBC Melgar: 4.33 (18.34%)

    4. Sporting Cristal: 6.5 (12.22%)

    5. Cienciano: 34 (2.34%)

    6. Atletico Grau: 34 (2.34%)

    7. AD Tarma: 34 (2.34%)

    8. Deportivo Garcilaso: 34 (2.34%)

    9. Sport Huancayo: 41 (1.94%)

    10. Cusco: 67 (1.19%)

    11. Sport Boys: 67 (1.19%)

    12. Cajamarca: 101 (0.79%)

    13. Alianza Atl.: 101 (0.79%)

    14. Los Chankas: 101 (0.79%)

    15. Binacional: 126 (0.63%)

    16. Ayacucho: 351 (0.23%)

    17. Alianza Huanuco: 351 (0.23%)

    18. Juan Pablo II: 501 (0.16%)

    19. Comerciantes Unidos: 501 (0.16%)

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  • Peruvian Liga 1

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