AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda predictions, May 17, 2026

Dutch Eredivisie, on Sunday,

AZ Alkmaar

Breda

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As AZ Alkmaar prepares to host NAC Breda on May 17, 2026, they will be looking to leverage their home advantage in a crucial Dutch Eredivisie clash. Recent form indicates that AZ has struggled, securing just one victory in their last five matches. However, their performance at home often adds a significant boost, as they seek to capitalize on their familiar surroundings.

On the other hand, NAC Breda is facing a more daunting challenge, having not won any of their last five encounters. This current streak of poor results could weigh heavily on their morale as they travel to face a team of AZ’s caliber. Despite their recent struggles, NAC Breda will aim to disrupt AZ’s rhythm, potentially employing a more defensive tactic to limit their host’s scoring opportunities.

Bookmakers favor AZ with odds reflecting their position at 1.39 for a home win, while NAC’s odds sit at 6.82, highlighting the perceived disparity in form. The model predicts a 70.8% probability of an AZ win, contrasted by a 17.3% chance of a draw and 13.4% for an away victory. While statistics lean heavily towards a home triumph, anything can happen in football, making this a match worth watching closely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-11T03:52:03+00:00.

AZ
68.1%
Draw
18.1%
Breda
13.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Watch Watch and Bet AZ – Breda available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.4 5.4 7.08
MarathonBet 1.4 5.44 7.05 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.36 4.8 6.5
Pinnacle 1.39 5.27 6.78

Latest Results

10.05.26 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar – 1:1
03.05.26 AZ Alkmaar – FC Twente – 2:2
23.04.26 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar – 0:0
19.04.26 AZ Alkmaar – NEC Nijmegen – 5:1
16.04.26 AZ Alkmaar – Shakhtar Donetsk – 2:2
02.05.26 FC Utrecht – NAC Breda – 2:0
25.04.26 NAC Breda – Ajax Amsterdam – 0:2
12.04.26 Fortuna Sittard – NAC Breda – 1:1
05.04.26 NAC Breda – Sparta Rotterdam – 0:0
21.03.26 PEC Zwolle – NAC Breda – 2:1

Facts

  • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.
  • AZ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Breda is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, AZ won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.7:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    31.08.25 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar – 0:1
    24.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda – 1:1
    15.12.24 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar – 1:2
    12.02.20 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda – 1:3
    08.02.19 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar – 0:3

    Standings

    Draw

    Relegation – Play Offs

    1/8-finals

    1 Roda Waalwijk 1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2 Bye Willem II
    3 Den Bosch Almere City 0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4 Bye De Graafschap

    Quarter-finals

    1 Waalwijk Willem II 1 : 1, 0 : 1
    2 Almere City De Graafschap 2 : 2, 3 : 1

    Semi-finals

    1 Willem II Almere City

    Final

    1 TBD #1 Bye

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