Bahia vs Grêmio predictions, May 17, 2026

May 11, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Brazilian Serie A, on Sunday,

Bahia

Grêmio

Score, Highlights

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As EC Bahia prepares to host Grêmio RS in an intriguing matchup on May 17, 2026, the clash promises to be a pivotal moment in the Brazilian Serie A season. EC Bahia enters the contest struggling, having failed to secure a victory in their last five matches, which has left them seeking a much-needed turnaround on home soil. Their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed, making it imperative for them to tighten up at the back while also maximizing any offensive opportunities.

In contrast, Grêmio RS comes into this match in commendable form, winning three of their last five outings. Their recent success has stemmed from a solid blend of tactical discipline and an effective counter-attacking strategy. With a blend of youth and experience, Grêmio’s attacking unit looks poised to capitalize on any defensive lapses from the hosts.

The bookmakers place Bahia slightly ahead with odds favoring a home victory, reflecting a 56% probability according to our model, while a draw sits at 29.1% and an away win at 19.7%. As both teams vie for points, expect a closely contested encounter where every mistake could be decisive, underscoring the unpredictable nature of soccer.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-11T13:52:02+00:00.

Bahia
52%		 Draw
26.1%		 Grêmio
21.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A Bahia: 1.27% Gremio: 0.55%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.84 3.75 4.33
betsson 1.82 3.55 4.15
MarathonBet 1.82 3.68 4.53 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.8 3.4 4.2
Pinnacle 1.81 3.75 4.29

Latest Results

09.05.26 EC Bahia – Cruzeiro MG – 1:2
03.05.26 São Paulo FC – EC Bahia – 2:2
25.04.26 EC Bahia – Santos FC – 2:2
22.04.26 EC Bahia – Clube Do Remo – 1:3
19.04.26 Flamengo RJ – EC Bahia – 2:0		 10.05.26 Grêmio RS – Flamengo RJ – 0:1
05.05.26 Deportivo Riestra – Grêmio RS – 0:3
02.05.26 Athletico Paranaense – Grêmio RS – 0:0
29.04.26 CD Palestino Santiago – Grêmio RS – 0:0
26.04.26 Grêmio RS – Coritiba – 1:0

Facts

  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
  • Bahia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • In recent matches, Grêmio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    19.10.25 EC Bahia – Grêmio RS – 4:0
    25.05.25 Grêmio RS – EC Bahia – 1:0
    17.08.24 Grêmio RS – EC Bahia – 0:2
    27.04.24 EC Bahia – Grêmio RS – 1:0
    04.11.23 Grêmio RS – EC Bahia – 1:0

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Palmeiras 15 10 4 1 25:12 13 34
    2 Flamengo RJ 14 9 3 2 27:12 15 30
    3 Fluminense 15 8 3 4 25:20 5 27
    4 Sao Paulo 15 7 3 5 21:16 5 24
    5 Athletico-PR 15 7 2 6 20:16 4 23
    6 Bahia 14 6 4 4 20:18 2 22
    7 Bragantino 15 6 2 7 17:18 -1 20
    8 Vasco 15 5 5 5 21:21 0 20
    9 Coritiba 15 5 5 5 18:19 -1 20
    10 Vitoria 14 5 4 5 18:20 -2 19
    11 Cruzeiro 15 5 4 6 20:25 -5 19
    12 Botafogo RJ 14 5 3 6 26:27 -1 18
    13 Atletico-MG 15 5 3 7 18:21 -3 18
    14 Internacional 15 4 6 5 16:16 0 18
    15 Santos 15 4 6 5 21:22 -1 18
    16 Corinthians 15 4 6 5 13:15 -2 18
    17 Gremio 15 4 5 6 15:17 -2 17
    18 Mirassol 14 3 4 7 16:20 -4 13
    19 Remo 15 2 6 7 16:25 -9 12
    20 Chapecoense-SC 14 1 6 7 14:27 -13 9

    Brazilian Serie A Outrights

    1. Flamengo RJ: 1.91 (43.48%)

    2. Palmeiras: 2 (41.52%)

    3. Fluminense: 17 (4.88%)

    4. Bahia: 65.4 (1.27%)

    5. Sao Paulo: 80.2 (1.04%)

    6. Botafogo RJ: 110.2 (0.75%)

    7. Cruzeiro: 110.2 (0.75%)

    8. Athletico-PR: 130.2 (0.64%)

    9. Corinthians: 140.2 (0.59%)

    10. Atletico-MG: 150.2 (0.55%)

    11. Internacional: 150.2 (0.55%)

    12. Gremio: 150.2 (0.55%)

    13. Bragantino: 150.2 (0.55%)

    14. Santos: 150.2 (0.55%)

    15. Vasco: 160.2 (0.52%)

    16. Coritiba: 180.2 (0.46%)

    17. Vitoria: 180.2 (0.46%)

    18. Mirassol: 230.2 (0.36%)

    19. Remo: 280.2 (0.3%)

    20. Chapecoense-SC: 380.2 (0.22%)

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