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As Burnley prepares to host Aston Villa at Turf Moor on May 10, 2026, the matchup is shaping up to be an intriguing contest in the English Premier League. Burnley has struggled significantly in recent weeks, failing to secure a victory in their last five matches. This lack of form could pose a considerable challenge against a more confident Aston Villa side, which has managed to secure two wins in their recent five outings.
Aston Villa’s attacking fluidity has been pivotal to their recent success, as they have shown an ability to exploit defensive weaknesses, particularly on the counter-attack. Meanwhile, Burnley will need to elevate their performance, focusing on solidifying their defense to limit Villa’s scoring chances.
The bookmakers reflect Villa’s current form, offering odds of 1.62 for an away win compared to 5.15 for Burnley at home. Our model indicates an 18.2% chance of a home victory, a 22.6% probability of a draw, and a commanding 59.6% likelihood of an Aston Villa win, with a predicted final score of 1:2.
While Aston Villa seems to have the upper hand, Burnley will be eager to turn their fortunes around on home soil, making this an unpredictable clash with no guaranteed outcomes.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T10:52:02+00:00.
| Burnley 18.4% |
Draw 23% |
Aston Villa 58.6% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
5.3 | 4.3 | 1.61 | |
 |
5.2 | 4.25 | 1.62 | |
 |
4.8 | 4 | 1.62 | |
 |
5.26 | 4.27 | 1.65 |
Latest Results
| 01.05.26 Leeds United – Burnley FC – 3:1 22.04.26 Burnley FC – Manchester City – 0:1 19.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Burnley FC – 4:1 11.04.26 Burnley FC – Brighton & Hove Albion – 0:2 21.03.26 Fulham FC – Burnley FC – 3:1 |
30.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:0 25.04.26 Fulham FC – Aston Villa – 1:0 19.04.26 Aston Villa – Sunderland AFC – 4:3 16.04.26 Aston Villa – Bologna FC – 4:0 12.04.26 Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa – 1:1 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley FC – 2:1 30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley FC – 3:2 27.08.23 Burnley FC – Aston Villa – 1:3 19.05.22 Aston Villa – Burnley FC – 1:1 07.05.22 Burnley FC – Aston Villa – 1:3 |
Standings
2025/26
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:46 | 14 | 61 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 13 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 5 | 58 |
| 6 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
English Premier League Outrights
1. Arsenal: 1.65 (58.21%)
2. Manchester City: 2.3 (41.79%)
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