Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators predictions, Mar 05, 2026

Mar 03, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Thursday,

Calgary Flames

Ottawa Senators

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the Calgary Flames prepare to host the Ottawa Senators on March 5, 2026, both teams are entering the matchup with contrasting recent form. The Flames have secured victories in only 2 of their last 5 matches, struggling to maintain consistency. In contrast, the Senators have been more successful, winning 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a potential momentum advantage heading into this contest.

Tactically, the Flames will need to enhance their offensive output to capitalize on home ice, while also tightening their defensive strategies to limit the Senators’ scoring opportunities. Ottawa’s recent form suggests they are finding their rhythm, likely focusing on exploiting gaps in the Flames’ defense with quick transitions and a disciplined forecheck.

According to bookmakers, the odds favor an away win for the Senators at 2.22 compared to a home win for the Flames at 2.92. Our predictive model reflects a 32% chance of a home win and a compelling 45.3% probability favoring the away side, with a predicted final score of 2-3. While the Flames will look to turn their fortunes around at home, the Senators appear poised to capitalize on their recent success, setting the stage for an intriguing showdown.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-03T11:52:02+00:00.

Calgary
33.5%		 Draw
23%		 Ottawa
43.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of NHL Ottawa Senators: 1.3% Calgary Flames: 0.13%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.89 4.21 2.23
Pinnacle 2.83 4.11 2.17

Latest Results

01.03.26 Anaheim Ducks – Calgary Flames – 3:2 penalties
28.02.26 Los Angeles Kings – Calgary Flames – 2:0
26.02.26 San Jose Sharks – Calgary Flames – 1:4
04.02.26 Calgary Flames – Edmonton Oilers – 4:3
02.02.26 Calgary Flames – Toronto Maple Leafs – 2:4		 28.02.26 Toronto Maple Leafs – Ottawa Senators – 2:5
26.02.26 Ottawa Senators – Detroit Red Wings – 1:2 OT
05.02.26 Philadelphia Flyers – Ottawa Senators – 1:2 OT
03.02.26 Carolina Hurricanes – Ottawa Senators – 4:3
02.02.26 Pittsburgh Penguins – Ottawa Senators – 2:3

Facts

  • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Calgary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 61:64. (average 3.1:3.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 3.9:2.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    30.10.25 Ottawa Senators – Calgary Flames – 4:3 penalties
    19.12.24 Calgary Flames – Ottawa Senators – 2:3 OT
    25.11.24 Ottawa Senators – Calgary Flames – 4:3
    09.01.24 Calgary Flames – Ottawa Senators – 6:3
    11.11.23 Ottawa Senators – Calgary Flames – 4:1

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 59 37 3 9 10 225:148 89
    2 Dallas Stars 60 30 7 9 14 206:164 83
    3 Minnesota Wild 61 22 13 10 16 204:179 80
    4 Vegas Golden Knights 60 21 7 14 18 199:191 70
    5 Anaheim Ducks 59 19 14 3 23 199:206 69
    6 Seattle Kraken 60 23 6 9 22 171:176 67
    7 Utah Mammoth 60 24 7 4 25 190:167 66
    8 Edmonton Oilers 61 22 7 8 24 215:206 66
    9 San Jose Sharks 58 17 12 4 25 179:202 62
    10 Nashville Predators 60 20 7 8 25 177:207 62
    11 Los Angeles Kings 60 15 9 14 22 155:179 62
    12 Winnipeg Jets 59 20 3 10 26 168:184 56
    13 Calgary Flames 59 20 4 7 28 148:175 55
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 60 18 5 9 28 161:192 55
    15 St. Louis Blues 60 21 1 9 29 156:208 53
    16 Vancouver Canucks 60 12 6 7 35 153:224 43

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes 60 28 10 6 16 208:171 82
    2 Tampa Bay Lightning 58 29 9 4 16 209:153 80
    3 Buffalo Sabres 60 29 6 6 19 206:181 76
    4 Detroit Red Wings 61 24 11 6 20 182:183 76
    5 Montreal Canadiens 59 22 11 9 17 208:193 75
    6 Pittsburgh Penguins 59 27 4 13 15 203:173 75
    7 New York Islanders 61 23 12 5 21 182:172 75
    8 Boston Bruins 59 25 8 5 21 200:187 71
    9 Washington Capitals 62 26 5 7 24 197:186 69
    10 Columbus Blue Jackets 59 20 10 8 21 189:189 68
    11 Philadelphia Flyers 60 19 9 11 21 177:188 67
    12 Ottawa Senators 59 23 6 8 22 197:188 66
    13 Toronto Maple Leafs 61 19 8 10 24 195:211 64
    14 Florida Panthers 60 24 6 3 27 185:200 63
    15 New Jersey Devils 60 19 10 2 29 151:182 60
    16 New York Rangers 60 14 9 8 29 160:190 54

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.96 (20.35%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5.04 (15.98%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6.75 (11.93%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 9.33 (8.63%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 11.33 (7.11%)

    6. Dallas Stars: 15.83 (5.09%)

    7. Minnesota Wild: 18.33 (4.39%)

    8. Montreal Canadiens: 29.67 (2.72%)

    9. Florida Panthers: 32.17 (2.5%)

    10. Utah Mammoth: 32.17 (2.5%)

    11. Buffalo Sabres: 32.5 (2.48%)

    12. Los Angeles Kings: 37.33 (2.16%)

    13. Washington Capitals: 49.33 (1.63%)

    14. Detroit Red Wings: 49.33 (1.63%)

    15. Pittsburgh Penguins: 51 (1.58%)

    16. New York Islanders: 57 (1.41%)

    17. Ottawa Senators: 62 (1.3%)

    18. Anaheim Ducks: 68.67 (1.17%)

    19. Columbus Blue Jackets: 77 (1.05%)

    20. Toronto Maple Leafs: 88.67 (0.91%)

    21. Boston Bruins: 134.33 (0.6%)

    22. Nashville Predators: 192.67 (0.42%)

    23. New Jersey Devils: 197.67 (0.41%)

    24. Philadelphia Flyers: 201 (0.4%)

    25. Winnipeg Jets: 209.33 (0.38%)

    26. Seattle Kraken: 234.33 (0.34%)

    27. San Jose Sharks: 251 (0.32%)

    28. Calgary Flames: 634.33 (0.13%)

    29. St. Louis Blues: 634.33 (0.13%)

    30. Chicago Blackhawks: 634.33 (0.13%)

    31. New York Rangers: 634.33 (0.13%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 884.33 (0.09%)

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