Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Sebastian Baez predictions, Apr 07, 2026

Apr 06, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Monte Carlo, on Tuesday,

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

Baez

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Carlos Alcaraz Garfia prepares to face Sebastian Baez at the ATP Monte Carlo event on April 8, 2026, tennis fans can expect an intriguing showdown. Alcaraz, currently in solid form with three victories in his last five matches, will enjoy the advantage of playing at home, where he has historically performed well. His aggressive baseline play, combined with powerful groundstrokes and exceptional athleticism, makes him a formidable opponent, particularly on clay courts.

Conversely, Sebastian Baez has had a more challenging run, securing just two wins from his last five encounters. While Baez is known for his strategic shot placement and ability to construct points, he will need to elevate his level significantly to contend with the home crowd and Alcaraz’s dynamic style of play.

Bookmakers favor Alcaraz with odds of 1.04 for a home victory, reflecting strong confidence in his abilities. The predicted final score of 2:0 underscores the anticipated one-sided nature of the match, yet Baez’s resilience and tactical approach could pose challenges. Ultimately, while Alcaraz appears to be the clear favorite, tennis can yield unpredictable results, making this match one to watch closely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-06T13:52:03+00:00.

Alcaraz Garfia
92.9%		 Baez
7.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.05 14.23
betsson 1.03 13
MarathonBet 1.03 15 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 1.02 10.62

Latest Results

22.03.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Sebastian Korda – 1:2
20.03.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Joao Fonseca – 2:0
14.03.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Daniil Medvedev – 0:2
12.03.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Cameron Norrie – 2:0
11.03.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Casper Ruud – 2:0		 06.04.26 Sebastian Baez – Stanislas Wawrinka – 2:0
03.04.26 Sebastian Baez – Titouan Droguet – 0:2
31.03.26 Sebastian Baez – Vilius Gaubas – 2:0
20.03.26 Adam Walton – Sebastian Baez – 2:0
09.03.26 Daniil Medvedev – Sebastian Baez – 2:0

Facts

  • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Baez is ranked ATP: 65.
  • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
  • Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

    Latest Head To Head

    25.09.25 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Sebastian Baez – 2:0
    30.08.22 Sebastian Baez – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Baez S. retired
    12.11.21 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Sebastian Baez – 3:0

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/32-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Bye
    2 Baez S. Wawrinka S. (WC) 2 : 0
    3 Etcheverry T. M. Dimitrov G.
    4 Atmane T. Quinn E. (LL)
    5 Lehecka J. (11) Nava E. (Q) 2 : 1
    6 Fucsovics M. Tabilo A. 0 : 2
    7 Monfils G. (WC) Griekspoor T. 2 : 1
    8 Bye Bublik A. (8)
    9 Musetti L. (4) Bye
    10 Vacherot V. Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11 Mensik J. Marozsan F.
    12 Hurkacz H. (PR) Darderi L. (15)
    13 Cobolli F. (10) Comesana F. (Q)
    14 Shapovalov D. Blockx A. (Q)
    15 Norrie C. Kecmanovic M. 2 : 1
    16 Bye De Minaur A. (5)
    17 Medvedev D. (7) Bye
    18 Bautista-Agut R. (LL) Berrettini M. (WC)
    19 Fonseca J. Diallo G. 2 : 0
    20 Rinderknech A. Khachanov K. (12) 2 : 0
    21 Rublev A. (13) Borges N. 2 : 1
    22 Bergs Z. Mannarino A. 2 : 0
    23 Garin C. (Q) Arnaldi M. (LL) 2 : 0
    24 Bye Zverev A. (3)
    25 Auger-Aliassime F. (6) Bye
    26 Cilic M. Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27 Moutet C. Muller A. (Q)
    28 Popyrin A. Ruud C. (9)
    29 Cerundolo F. (16) Tsitsipas S. 2 : 0
    30 Altmaier D. Machac T. 1 : 2
    31 Kouame M. (WC) Humbert U. 0 : 2
    32 Bye Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Baez S.
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 Lehecka J. (11) Tabilo A.
    4 Monfils G. Bublik A. (8)
    5 Musetti L. (4) TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 Norrie C. De Minaur A. (5)
    9 Medvedev D. (7) TBD #18
    10 Fonseca J. Rinderknech A.
    11 Rublev A. (13) Bergs Z.
    12 Garin C. Zverev A. (3)
    13 Auger-Aliassime F. (6) TBD #26
    14 TBD #27 TBD #28
    15 Cerundolo F. (16) Machac T.
    16 Humbert U. Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

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