Chapecoense vs Grêmio predictions, Mar 16, 2026

Mar 10, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Brazilian Serie A, on Monday,

Chapecoense

Grêmio

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Chapecoense prepares to host Grêmio in their upcoming clash on March 16, 2026, the match promises to be a key contest in the Brazilian Serie A. Chapecoense comes into this fixture with a mixed recent record, having won 2 of their last 5 matches. Their performance at home will be critical, as they look to capitalize on the support of their fans while solidifying their position in the league.

In contrast, Grêmio enters this game in stronger form, boasting 3 victories in their last 5 outings. This momentum may provide them with the psychological edge needed to secure an away win. The odds suggest a tightly contested match, with bookmakers favoring Grêmio at 2.4 while Chapecoense sits at 2.83.

Our model indicates a 32.5% probability of a home win, a 29.6% chance of a draw, and a 38% likelihood of an away win for Grêmio. Both teams have exhibited tactical resilience, but the away side’s current form may prove decisive. While Chapecoense will aim to leverage their home advantage, Grêmio’s robust performance in recent weeks could tilt the scales in their favor. Ultimately, fans can expect a hard-fought encounter with no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-09T22:52:03+00:00.

Chapecoense
32.4%		 Draw
29.4%		 Grêmio
38.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A Gremio: 2.05% Chapecoense-SC: 0.49%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.99 3.23 2.51 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.9 3 2.4
Pinnacle 2.91 3.28 2.48

Latest Results

08.03.26 Chapecoense-SC – Barra Santa Catarina – 1:0
01.03.26 Barra Santa Catarina – Chapecoense-SC – 3:1
22.02.26 Chapecoense-SC – Brusque FC – 3:0
14.02.26 Brusque FC – Chapecoense-SC – 1:0
11.02.26 Chapecoense-SC – Coritiba – 3:3		 08.03.26 Internacional RS – Grêmio RS – 1:1
01.03.26 Grêmio RS – Internacional RS – 3:0
25.02.26 Grêmio RS – Atlético Mineiro – 2:1
22.02.26 EC Juventude – Grêmio RS – 1:2 penalties
15.02.26 Grêmio RS – EC Juventude – 1:1

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
  • Recent performances by Chapecoense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Grêmio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.2:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).

    Latest Head To Head

    26.07.22 Chapecoense-SC – Grêmio RS – 0:0
    15.04.22 Grêmio RS – Chapecoense-SC – 0:1
    20.11.21 Chapecoense-SC – Grêmio RS – 1:3
    09.08.21 Grêmio RS – Chapecoense-SC – 2:1
    10.11.19 Chapecoense-SC – Grêmio RS – 0:1

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Palmeiras 4 3 1 0 12:5 7 10
    2 Sao Paulo 4 3 1 0 6:2 4 10
    3 Corinthians 4 2 1 1 5:3 2 7
    4 Bahia 3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
    5 Fluminense 4 2 1 1 5:4 1 7
    6 Athletico-PR 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
    7 Bragantino 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
    8 Gremio 4 2 0 2 8:8 0 6
    9 Chapecoense-SC 3 1 2 0 8:6 2 5
    10 Mirassol 3 1 2 0 6:5 1 5
    11 Flamengo RJ 3 1 1 1 4:4 0 4
    12 Coritiba 4 1 1 2 5:6 -1 4
    13 Santos 4 1 1 2 6:8 -2 4
    14 Botafogo RJ 3 1 0 2 7:6 1 3
    15 Vitoria 3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
    16 Remo 4 0 3 1 6:8 -2 3
    17 Atletico-MG 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
    18 Internacional 4 0 2 2 3:6 -3 2
    19 Cruzeiro 4 0 2 2 4:9 -5 2
    20 Vasco 4 0 1 3 3:6 -3 1

    Brazilian Serie A Outrights

    1. Palmeiras: 2.75 (30.55%)

    2. Flamengo RJ: 3.25 (25.85%)

    3. Fluminense: 11 (7.64%)

    4. Bahia: 11.8 (7.12%)

    5. Botafogo RJ: 17 (4.94%)

    6. Cruzeiro: 18.6 (4.52%)

    7. Sao Paulo: 21 (4%)

    8. Corinthians: 26 (3.23%)

    9. Gremio: 41 (2.05%)

    10. Atletico-MG: 50.4 (1.67%)

    11. Santos: 50.4 (1.67%)

    12. Mirassol: 65.8 (1.28%)

    13. Internacional: 100.4 (0.84%)

    14. Athletico-PR: 100.4 (0.84%)

    15. Bragantino: 100.4 (0.84%)

    16. Coritiba: 120.4 (0.7%)

    17. Vitoria: 120.4 (0.7%)

    18. Vasco: 120.4 (0.7%)

    19. Chapecoense-SC: 170.4 (0.49%)

    20. Remo: 220.4 (0.38%)

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