Chelsea vs Manchester City predictions, May 16, 2026

May 10, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English FA Cup, on Saturday,

Chelsea

Man City

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

The upcoming FA Cup clash between Chelsea and Manchester City on May 16, 2026, promises to be a compelling encounter at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea enters this match with mixed form, having secured just one victory in their last five outings, which raises concerns about their current competitive edge. Their lack of consistency may be further tested against a formidable Manchester City side that boasts an impressive record, winning four of their last five matches.

Tactically, Manchester City is renowned for their attacking prowess and possession-based football, which has proven effective against various opponents this season. Chelsea will need to tighten their defensive unit to withstand City’s relentless pressure while finding opportunities to exploit any gaps in City’s defense.

Bookmakers’ odds reflect the prevailing sentiment, with Chelsea positioned at 4.41 for a home victory and City favored at 1.75 for an away win. According to predictive models, the probabilities lean heavily towards an away win at 54.9%, with a 24% chance of a draw and only 21.2% likelihood for a home win.

While Chelsea’s home advantage cannot be overlooked, their recent form casts doubt, making this an unpredictable yet intriguing match. Fans should prepare for a tactical showdown where every moment counts, with both teams eager to secure a path to glory in this prestigious cup competition.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-10T09:52:03+00:00.

Chelsea
21.4%		 Draw
24.8%		 Man City
53.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of English FA Cup Manchester City: 69.74% Chelsea: 30.26%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 4.65 4.04 1.78
betsson 4.45 3.7 1.78
MarathonBet 4.57 4.06 1.82 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 4 3.5 1.73
Pinnacle 4.41 4 1.8

Latest Results

09.05.26 Liverpool FC – Chelsea – 1:1
04.05.26 Chelsea – Nottingham Forest – 1:3
26.04.26 Chelsea – Leeds United – 1:0
21.04.26 Brighton & Hove Albion – Chelsea – 3:0
18.04.26 Chelsea – Manchester United – 0:1		 09.05.26 Manchester City – Brentford FC – 3:0
04.05.26 Everton – Manchester City – 3:3
25.04.26 Manchester City – Southampton FC – 2:1
22.04.26 Burnley FC – Manchester City – 0:1
19.04.26 Manchester City – Arsenal FC – 2:1

Facts

  • Neutral location – Wembley Stadium.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 0.
  • Chelsea is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Man City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • In this match, Man City is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:36. (average 0.9:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    12.04.26 Chelsea – Manchester City – 0:3
    04.01.26 Manchester City – Chelsea – 1:1
    25.01.25 Manchester City – Chelsea – 3:1
    18.08.24 Chelsea – Manchester City – 0:2
    03.08.24 Manchester City – Chelsea – 4:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Main

    1/128-finals

    1 Wrexham Bye
    4 Bye Nottingham
    5 Ipswich Bye
    7 Blackpool Scunthorpe 1 : 0
    8 Reading Carlisle 2 : 3
    9 Hull Bye
    12 Bye Blackburn
    13 Charlton Bye
    16 Bye Chelsea
    17 Port Vale Maldon & Tiptree 5 : 1
    18 Bromley Bristol Rovers 1 : 2
    19 Fleetwood Barnet 2 : 1
    20 Luton Forest Green 4 : 3
    21 Bristol City Bye
    24 Bye Watford
    25 Colchester MK Dons 2 : 3
    26 Oldham Northampton 3 : 1
    28 Bye Oxford Utd
    29 Everton Bye
    32 Bye Sunderland
    33 Boreham Wood Crawley 3 : 0
    34 Newport Gillingham 3 : 2
    35 Brackley Town Notts Co 3 : 2
    36 Burton St. Albans 6 : 0
    37 West Ham Bye
    40 Bye QPR
    41 Slough Altrincham 2 : 1
    42 Macclesfield AFC Totton 6 : 3
    44 Bye Crystal Palace
    45 Sheffield Wed Bye
    48 Bye Brentford
    49 Tranmere Stockport County 1 : 3
    50 Cambridge Utd Chester 3 : 0
    52 Bye Birmingham
    53 Derby Bye
    56 Bye Leeds
    57 Norwich Bye
    59 AFC Wimbledon Gateshead 0 : 2
    60 Eastleigh Walsall 0 : 3
    61 Swansea Bye
    64 Bye West Brom
    65 Tottenham Bye
    68 Bye Aston Villa
    69 Newcastle Bye
    72 Bye Bournemouth
    73 Manchester City Bye
    75 FC Halifax Exeter 0 : 2
    76 Wycombe Plymouth 2 : 0
    77 Salford Lincoln 2 : 1
    78 Tamworth Leyton Orient 0 : 1
    79 Rotherham Swindon 1 : 2
    80 Bolton Huddersfield 2 : 1
    81 Grimsby Ebbsfleet 3 : 1
    82 Wealdstone Southend 1 : 0
    83 Chelmsford Braintree 4 : 1
    84 Weston-super-Mare Aldershot 2 : 1
    85 Wolves Bye
    87 Sutton AFC Telford 2 : 1
    88 South Shields Shrewsbury 1 : 3
    89 Liverpool Bye
    91 Peterborough Cardiff 1 : 0
    92 Barnsley York City 3 : 2
    93 Manchester Utd Bye
    96 Bye Brighton
    97 Stoke Bye
    100 Bye Coventry
    101 Fulham Bye
    104 Bye Middlesbrough
    105 Stevenage Chesterfield 0 : 1
    106 Crewe Doncaster 1 : 2
    108 Bye Southampton
    109 Cheltenham Bradford City 1 : 0
    110 Buxton Chatham 2 : 1
    112 Bye Leicester
    113 Burnley Bye
    116 Bye Millwall
    117 Sheffield Utd Bye
    119 Gainsborough Accrington 1 : 2
    120 Mansfield Harrogate 3 : 2
    121 Portsmouth Bye
    124 Bye Arsenal
    125 Preston Bye
    127 Wigan Hemel Hempstead 2 : 1
    128 Spennymoor Barrow 0 : 2

    1/64-finals

    1 Wrexham Bye
    2 Bye Nottingham
    3 Ipswich Bye
    4 Blackpool Carlisle 4 : 1
    5 Hull Bye
    6 Bye Blackburn
    7 Charlton Bye
    8 Bye Chelsea
    9 Port Vale Bristol Rovers 1 : 0
    10 Fleetwood Luton 3 : 2
    11 Bristol City Bye
    12 Bye Watford
    13 MK Dons Oldham 3 : 1
    14 Bye Oxford Utd
    15 Everton Bye
    16 Bye Sunderland
    17 Boreham Wood Newport 3 : 0
    18 Brackley Town Burton 1 : 3
    19 West Ham Bye
    20 Bye QPR
    21 Slough Macclesfield 1 : 3
    22 Bye Crystal Palace
    23 Sheffield Wed Bye
    24 Bye Brentford
    25 Stockport County Cambridge Utd 0 : 1
    26 Bye Birmingham
    27 Derby Bye
    28 Bye Leeds
    29 Norwich Bye
    30 Gateshead Walsall 0 : 2
    31 Swansea Bye
    32 Bye West Brom
    33 Tottenham Bye
    34 Bye Aston Villa
    35 Newcastle Bye
    36 Bye Bournemouth
    37 Manchester City Bye
    38 Exeter Wycombe 4 : 0
    39 Salford Leyton Orient 4 : 0
    40 Swindon Bolton 4 : 0
    41 Grimsby Wealdstone 4 : 0
    42 Chelmsford Weston-super-Mare 0 : 2
    43 Wolves Bye
    44 Sutton Shrewsbury 1 : 2
    45 Liverpool Bye
    46 Peterborough Barnsley 0 : 1
    47 Manchester Utd Bye
    48 Bye Brighton
    49 Stoke Bye
    50 Bye Coventry
    51 Fulham Bye
    52 Bye Middlesbrough
    53 Chesterfield Doncaster 1 : 2
    54 Bye Southampton
    55 Cheltenham Buxton 6 : 2
    56 Bye Leicester
    57 Burnley Bye
    58 Bye Millwall
    59 Sheffield Utd Bye
    60 Accrington Mansfield 2 : 3
    61 Portsmouth Bye
    62 Bye Arsenal
    63 Preston Bye
    64 Wigan Barrow 3 : 2

    1/32-finals

    1 Wrexham Nottingham 4 : 3
    2 Ipswich Blackpool 2 : 1
    3 Hull Blackburn 1 : 0
    4 Charlton Chelsea 1 : 5
    5 Port Vale Fleetwood 1 : 0
    6 Bristol City Watford 5 : 1
    7 MK Dons Oxford Utd 1 : 2
    8 Everton Sunderland 1 : 2
    9 Boreham Wood Burton 0 : 5
    10 West Ham QPR 2 : 1
    11 Macclesfield Crystal Palace 2 : 1
    12 Sheffield Wed Brentford 0 : 2
    13 Cambridge Utd Birmingham 2 : 3
    14 Derby Leeds 1 : 3
    15 Norwich Walsall 5 : 1
    16 Swansea West Brom 2 : 3
    17 Tottenham Aston Villa 1 : 2
    18 Newcastle Bournemouth 4 : 3
    19 Manchester City Exeter 10 : 1
    20 Salford Swindon 3 : 2
    21 Grimsby Weston-super-Mare 3 : 2
    22 Wolves Shrewsbury 6 : 1
    23 Liverpool Barnsley 4 : 1
    24 Manchester Utd Brighton 1 : 2
    25 Stoke Coventry 1 : 0
    26 Fulham Middlesbrough 3 : 1
    27 Doncaster Southampton 2 : 3
    28 Cheltenham Leicester 0 : 2
    29 Burnley Millwall 5 : 1
    30 Sheffield Utd Mansfield 3 : 4
    31 Portsmouth Arsenal 1 : 4
    32 Preston Wigan 0 : 1

    1/16-finals

    1 Wrexham Ipswich 1 : 0
    2 Hull Chelsea 0 : 4
    3 Port Vale Bristol City 1 : 0
    4 Oxford Utd Sunderland 0 : 1
    5 Burton West Ham 0 : 1
    6 Macclesfield Brentford 0 : 1
    7 Birmingham Leeds 1 : 2
    8 Norwich West Brom 3 : 1
    9 Aston Villa Newcastle 1 : 3
    10 Manchester City Salford 2 : 0
    11 Grimsby Wolves 0 : 1
    12 Liverpool Brighton 3 : 0
    13 Stoke Fulham 1 : 2
    14 Southampton Leicester 2 : 1
    15 Burnley Mansfield 1 : 2
    16 Arsenal Wigan 4 : 0

    1/8-finals

    1 Wrexham Chelsea 2 : 4
    2 Port Vale Sunderland 1 : 0
    3 West Ham Brentford 3 : 2
    4 Leeds Norwich 3 : 0
    5 Newcastle Manchester City 1 : 3
    6 Wolves Liverpool 1 : 3
    7 Fulham Southampton 0 : 1
    8 Mansfield Arsenal 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals

    1 Chelsea Port Vale 7 : 0
    2 West Ham Leeds 2 : 3
    3 Manchester City Liverpool 4 : 0
    4 Southampton Arsenal 2 : 1

    Semi-finals

    1 Chelsea Leeds 1 : 0
    2 Manchester City Southampton 2 : 1

    Final

    1 Chelsea Manchester City

    English FA Cup Outrights

    1. Manchester City: 1.35 (69.74%)

    2. Chelsea: 3.1 (30.26%)

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