Derby County vs Birmingham City predictions, Mar 21, 2026

Mar 15, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English League Championship, on Saturday,

Derby County

Birmingham City

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Derby County prepares to host Birmingham City in the English League Championship, both teams are looking to capitalize on their respective trends. Derby County comes into this matchup with a mixed recent form, having secured victories in 2 of their last 5 matches. They will aim to leverage their home advantage, where they have historically performed better, but consistency remains a concern.

Birmingham City, on the other hand, has struggled, managing only 1 win in their last 5 outings. Their performances suggest difficulties in both attacking creativity and defensive stability, which may be exacerbated as they travel to Pride Park. The bookmakers have set odds reflecting a tight contest, favoring the away side slightly at 2.46 compared to Derby’s odds of 2.75.

According to our model, Derby County has a 34.8% probability of winning, while Birmingham City edges slightly ahead with a 37.8% chance. With both teams eager for points, this encounter could hinge on tactical execution and the ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. While Derby looks to make home field count, Birmingham will need to find their rhythm quickly to turn the tide in their favor.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-15T00:52:03+00:00.

Derby
33.4%		 Draw
28%		 Birmingham
38.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English League Championship Derby: 0.84% Birmingham: 0.84%

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Watch Watch and Bet Derby – Birmingham available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.79 3.32 2.43 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.75 3.2 2.45
Pinnacle 2.82 3.43 2.43

Latest Results

10.03.26 Millwall – Derby County – 1:0
07.03.26 Derby County – Sheffield Wednesday – 2:1
28.02.26 Derby County – Blackburn Rovers – 3:1
24.02.26 Hull City – Derby County – 4:2
21.02.26 Watford FC – Derby County – 2:0		 14.03.26 Birmingham City – Sheffield United – 1:1
11.03.26 Birmingham City – Queens Park Rangers – 1:0
07.03.26 Charlton Athletic – Birmingham City – 1:0
02.03.26 Birmingham City – Middlesbrough FC – 1:3
25.02.26 Millwall – Birmingham City – 3:0

Facts

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
  • Recent performances by Derby have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derby won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    26.12.25 Birmingham City – Derby County – 1:1
    30.01.22 Derby County – Birmingham City – 2:2
    10.09.21 Birmingham City – Derby County – 2:0
    24.04.21 Derby County – Birmingham City – 1:2
    29.12.20 Birmingham City – Derby County – 0:4

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Coventry 38 23 8 7 78:40 38 77
    2 Middlesbrough 38 20 10 8 59:37 22 70
    3 Ipswich 37 19 11 7 66:38 28 68
    4 Millwall 38 20 8 10 52:43 9 68
    5 Hull 38 19 6 13 59:56 3 63
    6 Wrexham 37 16 12 9 57:47 10 60
    7 Southampton 37 15 12 10 60:48 12 57
    8 Derby 37 15 9 13 54:48 6 54
    9 Birmingham 38 14 11 13 48:48 0 53
    10 Watford 37 13 13 11 47:45 2 52
    11 Swansea 38 15 7 16 44:46 -2 52
    12 Norwich 37 15 6 16 51:45 6 51
    13 Stoke 38 14 9 15 45:40 5 51
    14 Bristol City 38 14 9 15 49:49 0 51
    15 Sheffield Utd 38 15 5 18 53:52 1 50
    16 QPR 38 14 8 16 49:60 -11 50
    17 Preston 38 12 13 13 42:48 -6 49
    18 Charlton 38 12 12 14 36:45 -9 48
    19 Blackburn 38 11 9 18 36:49 -13 42
    20 Portsmouth 36 10 10 16 36:47 -11 40
    21 West Brom 38 10 10 18 39:54 -15 40
    22 Oxford Utd 38 9 12 17 36:49 -13 39
    23 Leicester 38 11 11 16 51:60 -9 38
    24 Sheffield Wed ✔ 38 1 9 28 23:76 -53 -6

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Coventry: 1.07 (78.77%)

    2. Ipswich: 11.53 (7.3%)

    3. Middlesbrough: 13.53 (6.22%)

    4. Millwall: 85.25 (0.99%)

    5. Southampton: 100 (0.84%)

    6. Wrexham: 100 (0.84%)

    7. Watford: 100 (0.84%)

    8. Derby: 100 (0.84%)

    9. Bristol City: 100 (0.84%)

    10. Birmingham: 100 (0.84%)

    11. Norwich: 100 (0.84%)

    12. Hull City: 100 (0.84%)

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