Derby County vs Swansea City predictions, Feb 14, 2026

Feb 08, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English League Championship, on Saturday,

Derby

Swansea

Score, Highlights

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As Derby County prepares to host Swansea City in an upcoming English League Championship clash on February 14, 2026, both teams will look to capitalize on their recent form to secure vital points. Derby County has shown resilience, winning three of their last five matches, showcasing effective attacking play and a solid defense. Their home advantage will be crucial, as they aim to maintain momentum in front of their supporters.

In contrast, Swansea City has managed to secure two wins in their last five outings, indicating a mixed bag of performances. Their tactical approach often emphasizes possession and swift build-up play, but consistency has been an issue. With odds favoring the home side at 2.24 compared to 3.31 for the away team, bookmakers indicate that Derby County is the slight favorite for this matchup.

Model predictions suggest a 43% chance of a home win, underscoring Derby’s advantages, while the likelihood of a draw is pegged at 29.2%. The predicted final score of 1:0 reflects a tightly contested encounter, as both teams aim to assert dominance in this pivotal fixture. As with any match, the unpredictable nature of soccer makes it essential not to assume guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-07T23:52:02+00:00.

Derby
41.9%		 Draw
30.1%		 Swansea
28%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of English League Championship Swansea: 0.45% Derby: 0.45%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.27 3.2 3.34
MarathonBet 2.25 3.05 3.39 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.25 2.9 3.3
Pinnacle 2.23 3.17 3.4
Best for US Customers 2.16 3.2 3.4

Latest Results

07.02.26 Derby County – Ipswich Town – 1:2
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby County – 0:5
23.01.26 Derby County – West Bromwich Albion – 1:1
20.01.26 Charlton Athletic – Derby County – 1:2
17.01.26 Preston North End – Derby County – 0:1		 31.01.26 Watford FC – Swansea City – 0:2
24.01.26 Hull City – Swansea City – 2:1
20.01.26 Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers – 3:1
17.01.26 Swansea City – Birmingham City – 1:1
11.01.26 Swansea City – West Bromwich Albion – 2:3 penalties

Facts

  • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 9 and 16).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
  • Derby is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Derby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    25.11.25 Swansea City – Derby County – 1:2
    05.04.25 Swansea City – Derby County – 1:0
    27.11.24 Derby County – Swansea City – 1:2
    09.04.22 Swansea City – Derby County – 2:1
    02.10.21 Derby County – Swansea City – 0:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Coventry 31 17 8 6 63:35 28 59
    2 Middlesbrough 30 17 7 6 47:29 18 58
    3 Ipswich 30 15 9 6 51:29 22 54
    4 Hull 31 16 6 9 50:43 7 54
    5 Millwall 31 15 8 8 39:36 3 53
    6 Wrexham 31 12 11 8 44:39 5 47
    7 Preston 31 12 11 8 38:34 4 47
    8 Bristol City 31 13 7 11 43:38 5 46
    9 Derby 31 12 9 10 45:39 6 45
    10 Birmingham 31 12 9 10 43:39 4 45
    11 Watford 31 11 11 9 39:36 3 44
    12 QPR 31 12 8 11 42:43 -1 44
    13 Stoke 31 12 7 12 34:28 6 43
    14 Southampton 31 11 10 10 44:41 3 43
    15 Sheffield Utd 30 12 3 15 43:43 0 39
    16 Swansea 30 11 6 13 34:37 -3 39
    17 Norwich 31 10 6 15 39:42 -3 36
    18 Charlton 30 9 9 12 29:38 -9 36
    19 Portsmouth 29 8 9 12 27:38 -11 33
    20 West Brom 31 9 6 16 32:47 -15 33
    21 Leicester 31 10 8 13 41:47 -6 32
    22 Blackburn 31 8 8 15 27:40 -13 32
    23 Oxford Utd 31 6 10 15 28:41 -13 28
    24 Sheffield Wed 30 1 8 21 18:58 -40 -7

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Coventry: 2.41 (33.58%)

    2. Middlesbrough: 2.96 (27.41%)

    3. Ipswich: 3.48 (23.28%)

    4. Millwall: 33 (2.46%)

    5. Hull City: 35.4 (2.29%)

    6. Wrexham: 100 (0.81%)

    7. Blackburn: 100 (0.81%)

    8. Portsmouth: 100 (0.81%)

    9. West Brom: 100 (0.81%)

    10. Leicester: 100 (0.81%)

    11. Birmingham: 100 (0.81%)

    12. Oxford Utd: 100 (0.81%)

    13. Charlton: 100 (0.81%)

    14. Southampton: 180.2 (0.45%)

    15. QPR: 180.2 (0.45%)

    16. Preston: 180.2 (0.45%)

    17. Sheffield Utd: 180.2 (0.45%)

    18. Watford: 180.2 (0.45%)

    19. Stoke City: 180.2 (0.45%)

    20. Swansea: 180.2 (0.45%)

    21. Derby: 180.2 (0.45%)

    22. Bristol City: 180.2 (0.45%)

    23. Norwich: 180.2 (0.45%)

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