German 3 Bundesliga, on Friday,
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On May 8, 2026, Erzgebirge Aue will face MSV Duisburg at home in a pivotal matchup in the German 3. Bundesliga. Recent form indicates a stark contrast between the two sides: Erzgebirge Aue has struggled, claiming victory in just 1 of their last 5 matches. In contrast, MSV Duisburg has found their rhythm, securing 4 wins in the same period, showcasing a more effective attack and solid defensive organization.
Bookmakers reflect this disparity with odds of 3.82 for a home win and 1.68 for an away victory, positioning Duisburg as the clear favorite. Statistical models suggest a 55.9% probability of an away win, while Aue’s chances are rated at 23.8% for a home win. The predicted final score is 1:2, aligning with Duisburg’s recent scoring form and Aue’s struggles to maintain consistency.
Tactically, Aue will need to focus on defensive solidity and capitalize on counterattacking opportunities to unsettle Duisburg’s momentum. Meanwhile, Duisburg will aim to leverage their attacking prowess and maintain pressure throughout the match. With both teams’ contrasting current forms, this encounter promises to be an intriguing battle, though outcomes remain uncertain.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-04T14:52:02+00:00.
| Aue 24.1% |
Draw 21% |
Duisburg 54.9% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
4.05 | 4.59 | 1.68 | |
 |
3.9 | 4.15 | 1.72 | |
 |
3.85 | 4.15 | 1.67 | |
 |
3.6 | 4 | 1.7 | |
 |
3.77 | 5.06 | 1.63 |
Latest Results
| 03.05.26 FC Ingolstadt 04 – Erzgebirge Aue – 3:5 25.04.26 Erzgebirge Aue – Wehen Wiesbaden – 2:2 19.04.26 VfB Stuttgart II – Erzgebirge Aue – 2:2 12.04.26 Erzgebirge Aue – SC Verl – 1:1 07.04.26 Jahn Regensburg – Erzgebirge Aue – 1:0 |
03.05.26 MSV Duisburg – Energie Cottbus – 2:1 24.04.26 Alemannia Aachen – MSV Duisburg – 3:1 18.04.26 MSV Duisburg – Hoffenheim II – 3:1 11.04.26 Waldhof Mannheim – MSV Duisburg – 1:4 07.04.26 MSV Duisburg – VfL Osnabrück – 1:0 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 13.12.25 MSV Duisburg – Erzgebirge Aue – 0:0 12.05.24 MSV Duisburg – Erzgebirge Aue – 2:2 09.12.23 Erzgebirge Aue – MSV Duisburg – 1:1 05.05.23 MSV Duisburg – Erzgebirge Aue – 3:0 08.11.22 Erzgebirge Aue – MSV Duisburg – 0:2 |
Standings
2025/26
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
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