Francis Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino predictions, May 11, 2026

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As Francis Tiafoe prepares to face Andrea Pellegrino in the ATP Roma on May 11, 2026, fans can expect an engaging matchup between two players in comparable form. Tiafoe enters this contest having secured victories in three of his last five outings, showcasing a robust baseline game complemented by an aggressive serve. His ability to dictate play and create pressure on his opponents will be crucial as he takes on Pellegrino.

Pellegrino, matching Tiafoe’s recent form with three wins in his last five matches, brings a tactical approach that emphasizes consistent groundstrokes and strategic shot placement. He aims to exploit any lapses in Tiafoe’s concentration, particularly during crucial moments of the match.

According to bookmakers, Tiafoe is favored with odds of 1.5, while Pellegrino stands at 2.6, reflecting the home advantage and recent performance. Models indicate a 60.2% probability of a home win for Tiafoe, suggesting he will leverage the support of the crowd. However, Pellegrino’s resilience cannot be underestimated, highlighting that both players possess the ability to sway the match in their favor. As such, this encounter promises to be closely contested, making predicting a definitive outcome challenging.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-09T21:52:02+00:00.

Tiafoe 63.2%

Pellegrino 36.8%

Watch and Bet Tiafoe – Pellegrino available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.51		2.62	Watch and Bet
	1.50		2.56

Latest Results

09.05.26 Francis Tiafoe – Ignacio Buse – 2:1 06.04.26 Terence Atmane – Francis Tiafoe – Canceled 04.04.26 Tommy Paul – Francis Tiafoe – Canceled 03.04.26 Alexei Popyrin – Francis Tiafoe – 1:2 02.04.26 Rinky Hijikata – Francis Tiafoe – 1:2

09.05.26 Andrea Pellegrino – Arthur Fils – Fils A. Retired 07.05.26 Andrea Pellegrino – Luca Nardi – 2:1 05.05.26 Martin Landaluce – Andrea Pellegrino – 1:2 04.05.26 Andrea Pellegrino – Hugo Gaston – 2:0 30.04.26 Roman Andres Burruchaga – Andrea Pellegrino – 2:1

Facts

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 22. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 155.

In recent matches, Tiafoe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pellegrino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Standings

Draw

Singles – Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Ofner S.	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
3	Popyrin A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Mensik J. (26)
5	Tiafoe F. (20)	Bye
6	Sonego L.	Buse I.	0 : 2
7	Pellegrino A. (Q)	Nardi L. (WC)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Fils A. (15)
9	Rublev A. (12)	Bye
10	Svrcina D. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
11	Garin C. (Q)	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
13	Nakashima B. (30)	Bye
14	Bautista-Agut R.	Maestrelli F. (WC)	2 : 0
15	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	2 : 1
16	Bye	Shelton B. (5)
17	Auger-Aliassime F. (4)	Bye
18	Shapovalov D.	Navone M.	0 : 2
19	Medjedovic H.	Royer V.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Fonseca J. (27)
21	Etcheverry T. M. (24)	Bye
22	Burruchaga R. A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
23	Giron M.	Cilic M.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Landaluce M. (LL)
25	Cobolli F. (10)	Bye
26	Bergs Z.	Atmane T.	0 : 2
27	Tirante T. A.	Cadenasso G. (WC)	2 : 1
28	Bye	Norrie C. (17)
29	Moutet C. (28)	Bye
30	Quinn E.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	1 : 2
31	Tsitsipas S.	Machac T.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Medvedev D. (7)
33	Musetti L. (8)	Bye
34	Fearnley J. (Q)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	1 : 2
35	Carreno-Busta P. (Q)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Cerundolo F. (25)
37	Ruud C. (23)	Bye
38	Trungelliti M.	Svajda Z.	1 : 2
39	Struff J-L.	Comesana F. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Lehecka J. (11)
41	Khachanov K. (13)	Bye
42	Ugo Carabelli C.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
43	Muller A.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Kovacevic A. (LL)
45	Humbert U. (31)	Bye
46	Marozsan F.	Kopriva V.	0 : 2
47	Fucsovics M.	Prizmic D. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (3)
49	De Minaur A. (6)	Bye
50	Arnaldi M. (WC)	Munar J.	2 : 1
51	De Jong J. (Q)	Borges N.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Jodar R. (32)
53	Tien L. (19)	Bye
54	Dzumhur D.	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
55	Brooksby J.	Baez S.	0 : 2
56	Bye	Bublik A. (9)
57	Paul T. (16)	Bye
58	Vukic A.	Kypson P. (Q)	2 : 1
59	Hurkacz H.	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Darderi L. (18)
61	Griekspoor T. (29)	Bye
62	Cina F. (WC)	Blockx A.	1 : 2
63	Zhang Z. (PR)	Altmaier D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Zverev A. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Ofner S.	2 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Mensik J. (26)	2 : 1
3	Tiafoe F. (20)	Buse I.	2 : 1
4	Pellegrino A.	Fils A. (RET.) (15)	0 : 0
5	Rublev A. (12)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
6	Garin C.	Davidovich Fokina A. (21)	0 : 2
7	Nakashima B. (30)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
8	Basilashvili N.	Shelton B. (5)	2 : 1
9	Auger-Aliassime F. (4)	Navone M.	0 : 2
10	Medjedovic H.	Fonseca J. (27)	2 : 1
11	Etcheverry T. M. (24)	Bellucci M.	1 : 2
12	Cilic M.	Landaluce M. (LL)	0 : 2
13	Cobolli F. (10)	Atmane T.	2 : 0
14	Tirante T. A.	Norrie C. (17)	2 : 0
15	Moutet C. (28)	Llamas Ruiz P.	1 : 2
16	Machac T.	Medvedev D. (WO.) (7)
17	Musetti L. (8)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
18	Tabilo A.	Cerundolo F. (25)	0 : 2
19	Ruud C. (23)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
20	Struff J-L.	Lehecka J. (11)	0 : 2
21	Khachanov K. (13)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
22	Van De Zandschulp B.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
23	Humbert U. (31)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
24	Prizmic D.	Djokovic N. (3)	2 : 1
25	De Minaur A. (6)	Arnaldi M.	1 : 2
26	Borges N.	Jodar R. (32)	0 : 2
27	Tien L. (19)	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Bublik A. (9)	0 : 2
29	Paul T. (16)	Vukic A.	2 : 0
30	Hanfmann Y.	Darderi L. (18)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (29)	Blockx A.	1 : 2
32	Altmaier D.	Zverev A. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.
2	Tiafoe F. (20)	Pellegrino A.
3	Rublev A. (12)	Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
4	Nakashima B. (30)	Basilashvili N.
5	Navone M.	Medjedovic H.
6	Bellucci M.	Landaluce M.
7	Cobolli F. (10)	Tirante T. A.
8	Llamas Ruiz P.	Medvedev D. (7)
9	Musetti L. (8)	Cerundolo F. (25)
10	Ruud C. (23)	Lehecka J. (11)
11	Khachanov K. (13)	Van De Zandschulp B.
12	Humbert U. (31)	Prizmic D.
13	Arnaldi M.	Jodar R. (32)
14	Tien L. (19)	Bublik A. (9)
15	Paul T. (16)	Darderi L. (18)
16	Blockx A.	Zverev A. (2)

1/8-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

ATP Roma Outrights

1. Sinner Jannik: 1.28 (52.54%)

2. Zverev Alexander: 7.5 (8.98%)

3. Jodar Rafael: 12.6 (5.35%)

4. Ruud Casper: 17.2 (3.92%)

5. Musetti Lorenzo: 18.8 (3.58%)

6. Medvedev Daniil: 24.6 (2.74%)

7. Cerundolo Francisco: 38.8 (1.74%)

8. Cobolli Flavio: 48.2 (1.4%)

9. Paul Tommy: 50.2 (1.34%)

10. Lehecka Jiri: 50.2 (1.34%)

11. Blockx Alexander: 53.2 (1.27%)

12. Medjedovic Hamad: 58.2 (1.16%)

13. Rublev Andrey: 62.2 (1.08%)

14. Bublik Alexander: 68.2 (0.99%)

15. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 68.2 (0.99%)

16. Tiafoe Frances: 85.2 (0.79%)

17. Popyrin Alexei: 85.4 (0.79%)

18. Khachanov Karen: 88.2 (0.76%)

19. Navone Mariano: 88.2 (0.76%)

20. Prizmic Dino: 90.2 (0.75%)

21. Bellucci Mattia: 96.2 (0.7%)

22. Darderi Luciano: 97.2 (0.69%)

23. Landaluce Martin: 100 (0.67%)

24. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 100.2 (0.67%)

25. Pellegrino Andrea: 100.2 (0.67%)

26. Humbert Ugo: 105.2 (0.64%)

27. Tien Learner: 105.2 (0.64%)

28. Arnaldi Matteo: 110.2 (0.61%)

29. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 110.2 (0.61%)

30. Nakashima Brandon: 110.2 (0.61%)

31. Llamas Ruiz Pablo: 110.2 (0.61%)

32. Basilashvili Nikoloz: 110.2 (0.61%)

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