Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rębecki predictions, May 09, 2026

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As the MMA lightweight clash between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rębecki approaches on May 9, 2026, fans can expect an intriguing matchup showcasing two skilled athletes. Dawson, fighting at home, will rely on his grappling prowess and well-rounded striking. Known for his ability to control the pace of fights, he will aim to implement his wrestling background early on, looking to take Rębecki down and keep the fight on the ground, where he excels.

On the other hand, Rębecki, while also untested in recent matches, brings a striking-heavy offense and notable resilience. His ability to adapt and counterattack makes him a dangerous opponent, especially if he can keep the fight standing and utilize his striking combinations. With both fighters currently unscathed in their recent form statistics, the stakes are high, as both aim to secure their first victory in a high-intensity environment.

Bookmakers have set the odds favoring Dawson at 1.67 compared to Rębecki’s 2.19, reflecting a slight edge for the home fighter. However, given the unpredictable nature of the sport, it’s crucial to consider each fighter’s tactical strengths. Overall, this welterweight showdown promises to deliver an exciting contest, with both athletes eager to break their winless streaks.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-04T07:52:03+00:00.

Dawson 58.4%

Rębecki 41.6%

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.62		2.38
	1.61		2.35
	1.62		2.18

Latest Results

06.12.25 Grant Dawson – Manuel Torres – Torres M. – 1st Round TKO 18.01.25 Grant Dawson – Carlos Diego Ferreira – Dawson G. win 12.10.24 Grant Dawson – Rafa García – Dawson G. – 2nd Round TKO 01.06.24 Grant Dawson – Joe Solecki – Dawson G. win 07.10.23 Grant Dawson – Bobby Green – Green B. – 1st Round KO

25.10.25 Ľudovít Klein – Mateusz Rębecki – Klein L. win 02.08.25 Mateusz Rębecki – Chris Duncan – Duncan C. win 26.10.24 Mateusz Rębecki – Myktybek Orolbai – Rebecki M. win 11.05.24 Carlos Diego Ferreira – Mateusz Rębecki – Ferreira D. – 3rd Round TKO 27.04.24 Joel Alvarez – Mateusz Rębecki – Canceled

Facts

Dawson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

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