Heerenveen vs Ajax predictions, May 17, 2026

Dutch Eredivisie, on Sunday,

Heerenveen

Ajax

Score, Highlights

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As SC Heerenveen prepares to host Ajax Amsterdam on May 17, 2026, both teams enter the fixture with distinct recent performances that could influence the outcome. Heerenveen has shown resilience in their recent form, securing victories in three of their last five matches. This uptick in form has likely bolstered their confidence as they face one of the league’s top sides.

On the other hand, Ajax is coming off a less stable run, managing only two wins in their last five outings. Despite their historical superiority in the Eredivisie, the team’s consistency has been in question lately, which may allow Heerenveen to exploit any weaknesses in Ajax’s defense.

The bookmakers reflect this dynamic with odds of 3.33 for a home win and 1.89 for an away victory, placing Ajax as the favored side. Our model suggests a probability distribution of 27.3% for a Heerenveen win, 22.6% for a draw, and a significant 52% likelihood of an away victory for Ajax.

With both teams looking to secure vital points as the season draws to a close, an intriguing contest awaits. While Ajax enters as favorites, Heerenveen’s recent momentum could play a pivotal role, making this a match worth watching closely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-11T04:52:02+00:00.

Heerenveen
30.2%
Draw
22.7%
Ajax
47.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch Watch and Bet Heerenveen – Ajax available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 3.09 4.35 2.04
MarathonBet 3.22 4.22 2.03 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 3.1 3.9 1.95
Pinnacle 3.09 4.21 2.01

Latest Results

03.05.26 FC Volendam – SC Heerenveen – 0:2
25.04.26 SC Heerenveen – Fortuna Sittard – 2:1
12.04.26 AZ Alkmaar – SC Heerenveen – 3:0
05.04.26 SC Heerenveen – Heracles Almelo – 4:1
22.03.26 NEC Nijmegen – SC Heerenveen – 2:2
10.05.26 Ajax Amsterdam – FC Utrecht – 1:2
02.05.26 Ajax Amsterdam – PSV Eindhoven – 2:2
25.04.26 NAC Breda – Ajax Amsterdam – 0:2
11.04.26 Heracles Almelo – Ajax Amsterdam – 0:3
04.04.26 Ajax Amsterdam – FC Twente – 1:2

Facts

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.
  • Heerenveen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • In recent matches, Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Ajax could have a small edge in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 18:62. (average 0.9:3.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.8:2.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.11.25 Ajax Amsterdam – SC Heerenveen – 1:1
    19.01.25 SC Heerenveen – Ajax Amsterdam – 0:2
    11.08.24 Ajax Amsterdam – SC Heerenveen – 1:0
    11.02.24 SC Heerenveen – Ajax Amsterdam – 3:2
    05.11.23 Ajax Amsterdam – SC Heerenveen – 4:1

    Standings

    Draw

    Relegation – Play Offs

    1/8-finals

    1 Roda Waalwijk 1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2 Bye Willem II
    3 Den Bosch Almere City 0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4 Bye De Graafschap

    Quarter-finals

    1 Waalwijk Willem II 1 : 1, 0 : 1
    2 Almere City De Graafschap 2 : 2, 3 : 1

    Semi-finals

    1 Willem II Almere City

    Final

    1 TBD #1 Bye

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