Heidenheim vs Mainz predictions, May 16, 2026

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Heidenheim

Mainz

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the German Bundesliga clash approaches, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 will host Mainz 05 on May 16, 2026. Both teams enter this match with contrasting recent performances, which could influence the outcome significantly. Heidenheim has secured victories in 2 of their last 5 matches, displaying a fighting spirit and resilience essential for home games. However, their ability to consistently convert chances has been a concern.

On the other hand, Mainz is struggling with only 1 win in their last 5 outings, pointing to potential defensive fragility. Their recent form suggests they might be vulnerable, especially when playing away, where they often concede early.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.67 for a Heidenheim victory and 2.25 for Mainz, reflecting a slightly favorable view towards the visitors. Probabilities from predictive models indicate a 35.3% chance of a home win, a 22.3% likelihood of a draw, and a 42.7% probability of an away win. The predicted final score stands at 1:1, suggesting a closely contested match could unfold.

With tactical adjustments likely from both sides, fans can anticipate a strategic battle that may tip either way.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-10T07:52:03+00:00.

Heidenheim
34.7%
Draw
23.6%
Mainz
41.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch Watch and Bet Heidenheim – Mainz available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.78 3.95 2.32
MarathonBet 2.83 4.21 2.36 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 2.74 4.12 2.25

Latest Results

02.05.26 Bayern Munich – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 3:3
25.04.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – FC St. Pauli – 2:0
19.04.26 SC Freiburg – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 2:1
11.04.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Union Berlin – 3:1
04.04.26 Borussia Mönchengladbach – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 2:2
03.05.26 FC St. Pauli – Mainz 05 – 1:2
25.04.26 Mainz 05 – Bayern Munich – 3:4
19.04.26 Borussia Mönchengladbach – Mainz 05 – 1:1
16.04.26 RC Strasbourg – Mainz 05 – 4:0
12.04.26 Mainz 05 – SC Freiburg – 0:1

Facts

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).
  • Heidenheim has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Mainz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    13.01.26 Mainz 05 – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 2:1
    16.02.25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Mainz 05 – 0:2
    28.09.24 Mainz 05 – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 0:2
    05.05.24 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Mainz 05 – 1:1
    16.12.23 Mainz 05 – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 0:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich ✔ 33 27 5 1 117:35 82 86
    2 Dortmund ✔ 33 21 7 5 68:34 34 70
    3 RB Leipzig ✔ 33 20 5 8 65:43 22 65
    4 Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 69:47 22 61
    5 Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 65:48 17 61
    6 Bayer Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 67:46 21 58
    7 Freiburg 32 12 8 12 45:53 -8 44
    8 Eintracht Frankfurt 33 11 10 12 59:63 -4 43
    9 Augsburg 33 12 7 14 45:57 -12 43
    10 Mainz 32 9 10 13 41:50 -9 37
    11 B. Monchengladbach 33 8 11 14 38:53 -15 35
    12 Hamburger SV 32 8 10 14 36:51 -15 34
    13 Union Berlin 32 8 9 15 37:57 -20 33
    14 FC Koln 32 7 11 14 47:55 -8 32
    15 Werder Bremen 33 8 8 17 37:58 -21 32
    16 Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 42:68 -26 26
    17 St. Pauli 33 6 8 19 28:57 -29 26
    18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 38:69 -31 23

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