IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Vaasa predictions, May 02, 2026

Finnish Veikkausliiga, on Saturday,

IFK Mariehamn

VPS Vaasa

Score, Highlights

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On May 2, 2026, IFK Mariehamn hosts VPS Vaasa in a crucial match within the Finnish Veikkausliiga. Both teams enter this matchup struggling for form, with IFK Mariehamn winless in their last five outings, while VPS Vaasa has managed to secure a solitary victory in the same timeframe.

Mariehamn’s recent performances indicate difficulties in both attacking and defensive phases, as they have consistently failed to find the back of the net. This could impact their morale as they seek to improve on home soil. On the other hand, VPS Vaasa, while not in the best of form, displays a slight edge with a more favorable recent record, suggesting they may carry a degree of confidence into this contest.

Strategically, VPS Vaasa’s ability to capitalize on counter-attacks could pose a challenge for Mariehamn’s defense, which has shown vulnerability. The bookmakers favor VPS with odds at 2.4 for an away win compared to Mariehamn’s 2.97 for a home victory, reflecting a challenging landscape for the home side.

Our model predicts a closely contested match with a probability distribution suggesting a 32.4% chance of a home win, 29.8% for a draw, and 38.3% for an away victory. The predicted scoreline of 1:1 indicates that this matchup could be finely balanced, offering no guarantees for either side.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-25T16:52:03+00:00.

Mariehamn
31.9%
Draw
29%
VPS
39%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch Watch and Bet Mariehamn – VPS available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.99 3.29 2.43
MarathonBet 2.93 3.24 2.4 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.9 3.1 2.38
Pinnacle 2.94 3.3 2.41

Latest Results

25.04.26 Inter Turku – IFK Mariehamn – 1:0
18.04.26 IFK Mariehamn – FC Ilves – 2:2
10.04.26 SJK Seinajoki – IFK Mariehamn – 3:0
04.04.26 IFK Mariehamn – TPS – 1:1
21.03.26 Sandvikens IF – IFK Mariehamn – 1:1
24.04.26 VPS Vaasa – FC Ilves – 3:2
18.04.26 AC Oulu – VPS Vaasa – 1:0
10.04.26 VPS Vaasa – FF Jaro – 0:0
04.04.26 Inter Turku – VPS Vaasa – 0:0
27.03.26 VPS Vaasa – FC Haka – 1:1

Facts

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
  • Mariehamn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • VPS‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • VPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    21.09.25 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 2:1
    01.08.25 VPS Vaasa – IFK Mariehamn – 1:1
    14.06.25 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 1:5
    28.07.24 VPS Vaasa – IFK Mariehamn – 2:1
    12.06.24 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 0:0

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 KuPS 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
    2 Inter Turku 4 3 1 0 5:1 4 10
    3 AC Oulu 5 3 0 2 10:6 4 9
    4 TPS 4 2 2 0 6:3 3 8
    5 HJK 3 2 0 1 6:1 5 6
    6 Lahti 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
    7 VPS 4 1 2 1 3:3 0 5
    8 SJK 4 1 1 2 4:6 -2 4
    9 Jaro 4 0 3 1 2:3 -1 3
    10 Mariehamn 4 0 2 2 3:7 -4 2
    11 Ilves 4 0 1 3 6:10 -4 1
    12 Gnistan 4 0 1 3 2:10 -8 1

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