İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor predictions, May 09, 2026

Turkish Super League, on Saturday,

Başakşehir

Samsunspor

Score, Highlights

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In the upcoming clash on May 9, 2026, İstanbul Başakşehir will host Samsunspor in what promises to be a compelling matchup in the Turkish Super League. Başakşehir, playing at home, has secured victory in 2 of their last 5 outings, suggesting a need for consistency as they strive to establish a stronger foothold in the league. Their tactical setup often emphasizes a solid defensive structure followed by quick transitions, which they will likely rely on against Samsunspor.

Contrastingly, Samsunspor is in commendable form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches. This momentum may provide them with the confidence needed to challenge Başakşehir’s home advantage. Their style typically features a more aggressive approach, pressing high and capitalizing on defensive lapses, which could prove advantageous if they can unsettle the home side.

The bookmakers reflect a slight favor towards Başakşehir with odds of 1.89 for a home win, while Samsunspor stands at 4.03. Our predictive model gives a 50.7% probability for a home victory, a 26.1% chance of a draw, and a 23.2% likelihood of an away win. As both teams bring distinct strengths to the pitch, this encounter remains finely balanced, with no guaranteed outcomes in sight.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-02T23:52:02+00:00.

Başakşehir
49.9%
Draw
26.5%
Samsunspor
23.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Watch Watch and Bet Başakşehir – Samsunspor available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.89 3.61 4.06
betsson 1.86 3.52 3.93
MarathonBet 1.95 3.68 4.08 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.85 3.4 3.8
Pinnacle 1.89 3.57 4.03

Latest Results

02.05.26 Fenerbahçe – İstanbul Başakşehir – 3:1
24.04.26 İstanbul Başakşehir – Kasımpaşa – 4:0
19.04.26 Trabzonspor – İstanbul Başakşehir – 1:1
11.04.26 İstanbul Başakşehir – Gençlerbirliği – 3:0
06.04.26 Kocaelispor – İstanbul Başakşehir – 0:0
02.05.26 Samsunspor – Galatasaray – 4:1
27.04.26 Alanyaspor – Samsunspor – 2:3
23.04.26 Samsunspor – Trabzonspor – 0:1 penalties
19.04.26 Samsunspor – Beşiktaş – 2:1
13.04.26 Eyüpspor – Samsunspor – 1:2

Facts

  • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 3.
  • Başakşehir has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Samsunspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Başakşehir is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    14.12.25 Samsunspor – İstanbul Başakşehir – 0:2
    01.02.25 İstanbul Başakşehir – Samsunspor – 4:0
    18.09.24 Samsunspor – İstanbul Başakşehir – 2:0
    03.03.24 İstanbul Başakşehir – Samsunspor – 1:0
    22.10.23 Samsunspor – İstanbul Başakşehir – 0:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Galatasaray 32 23 5 4 73:27 46 74
    2 Fenerbahce 32 20 10 2 71:34 37 70
    3 Trabzonspor 32 19 9 4 59:35 24 66
    4 Besiktas 32 17 8 7 56:36 20 59
    5 Goztepe 32 13 13 6 40:28 12 52
    6 Basaksehir 32 14 9 9 53:34 19 51
    7 Samsunspor 32 12 12 8 43:42 1 48
    8 Rizespor 32 10 10 12 44:46 -2 40
    9 Konyaspor 32 10 10 12 42:45 -3 40
    10 Gaziantep 32 9 10 13 41:54 -13 37
    11 Kocaelispor 31 9 9 13 25:35 -10 36
    12 Alanyaspor 31 6 15 10 37:38 -1 33
    13 Kasimpasa 31 7 10 14 29:45 -16 31
    14 Genclerbirligi 31 7 7 17 30:44 -14 28
    15 Eyupspor 31 7 7 17 25:44 -19 28
    16 Antalyaspor 31 7 7 17 30:51 -21 28
    17 Kayserispor 31 5 11 15 23:57 -34 26
    18 Karagumruk 31 5 6 20 27:53 -26 21

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