Kärpät vs Ilves predictions, Sep 16, 2026

Finnish SM-liiga, on Wednesday,

Kärpät

Ilves

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Kärpät Oulu prepares to host Ilves in the Finnish SM-liiga on September 16, 2026, fans can anticipate a competitive clash. Kärpät, currently enduring a challenging stretch, has secured just one victory in their last five outings. This recent form raises questions about their offensive and defensive efficiency, as they aim to capitalize on home advantage at their Oulu venue.

In contrast, Ilves enters the matchup with a formidable record, winning four of their last five games. This resurgence reflects their tactical proficiency, with a solid blend of offensive pressure and robust defensive systems, making them a tough opponent. The odds from bookmakers suggest a close contest, with Kärpät at 2.25 for a home win and Ilves slightly favored at 2.85 for an away victory.

Our model assigns a 43.4% probability to a home win for Kärpät, while a draw stands at 25.4%, and Ilves’ chances of an away victory are at 32.3%. With the momentum clearly on Ilves’ side, Kärpät will need to sharpen their strategy and execution to turn the tide in their favor. Fans should expect a closely fought match where both teams will look to assert themselves.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-14T11:52:03+00:00.

Kärpät
39.2%
Draw
23.7%
Ilves
37.1%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.35 3.80 2.65
MarathonBet 2.35 4.15 2.50
Best for US Customers 2.43 3.85 2.40

Latest Results

05.09.26 Kärpat Oulu – JYP Hockey – 3:4
01.09.26 Kärpat Oulu – Ässät hockey – 3:1
27.08.26 Tappara hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 5:1
26.08.26 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 2:0
21.08.26 Kärpat Oulu – Luleå HF – 3:4 OT
08.09.26 HPK Hockey – Ilves hockey – 0:4
04.09.26 Ässät hockey – Ilves hockey – 5:1
01.09.26 Lukko Hockey – Ilves hockey – 0:2
26.08.26 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 2:0
20.08.26 Ilves hockey – KalPa hockey – 1:0 OT

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.
  • Kärpät has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Ilves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • We predict that Ilves will win today’s game, with odds of 2.52.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 50:49. (average 2.5:2.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 2.6:2.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    26.08.26 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 2:0
    07.02.26 Kärpat Oulu – Ilves hockey – 1:2
    30.12.25 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:2 OT
    03.10.25 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 2:7
    12.09.25 Kärpat Oulu – Ilves hockey – 6:2

    Standings

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Pelicans 3 3 0 0 0 10:4 9
    2 Kiekko-Espoo 3 2 0 0 1 12:5 6
    3 JYP 2 2 0 0 0 9:3 6
    4 TPS Turku 3 2 0 0 1 10:5 6
    5 Assat 3 2 0 0 1 9:6 6
    6 Ilves 3 2 0 0 1 7:5 6
    7 Jukurit 4 2 0 0 2 8:9 6
    8 Vaasan Sport 4 1 1 0 2 10:15 5
    9 SaiPa 1 1 0 0 0 4:2 3
    10 Karpat 2 1 0 0 1 6:5 3
    11 Lukko 3 1 0 0 2 7:9 3
    12 KalPa 3 1 0 0 2 5:7 3
    13 Hameenlinna 3 1 0 0 2 7:10 3
    14 IFK Helsinki 3 1 0 0 2 7:11 3
    15 Jokerit 3 0 0 1 2 8:15 1
    16 Tappara 1 0 0 0 1 2:4 0
    17 KooKoo 2 0 0 0 2 4:10 0

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 3.37 (25.03%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 7.52 (11.22%)

    3. JYP Jyvaskyla: 10.18 (8.29%)

    4. Lukko Rauman: 10.37 (8.13%)

    5. IFK Helsinki: 11.37 (7.42%)

    6. Jokerit: 11.69 (7.22%)

    7. Karpat Oulu: 14.29 (5.9%)

    8. Kalpa Kuopio: 17.9 (4.71%)

    9. KooKoo: 18.4 (4.58%)

    10. Saipa: 23.25 (3.63%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 27.14 (3.11%)

    12. Hameenlinna: 30 (2.81%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 35.49 (2.38%)

    14. Assat Pori: 35.49 (2.38%)

    15. TPS Turku: 40.86 (2.06%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 121.71 (0.69%)

    17. Jukurit: 192.47 (0.44%)

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  • Finnish SM-liiga

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