Kärpät vs Vaasan Sport predictions, Sep 19, 2026

Sep 17, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Saturday,

Kärpät

Vaasa

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Kärpät Oulu prepares to host Vaasan Sport in the upcoming Finnish SM-liiga clash on September 19, 2026, both teams are looking to bolster their positions following mixed results in recent fixtures.

Kärpät Oulu heads into this match with a challenging record, having secured just one victory in their last five outings. This form indicates potential vulnerabilities, particularly in their defensive organization and goal-scoring efficiency. Conversely, Vaasan Sport has fared slightly better, managing two wins in their previous five matches, which may lend them a touch of confidence going into this encounter.

Bookmakers favor Kärpät, offering odds of 1.52 for a home win, in line with a model prediction showing a 61.2% probability of a victory for the hosts. Key tactical strengths for Kärpät include their home advantage and historical performance at Oulu, often making them difficult opponents on home ice. Meanwhile, Vaasan Sport will need to capitalize on any lapses from the home side, focusing on quick transitions and capitalizing on counter-attacks.

While Kärpät Oulu is expected to have the upper hand, Vaasan Sport’s recent improvement suggests that an upset isn’t entirely out of the question. As always in hockey, the outcome may hinge on execution on the night.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-17T17:52:02+00:00.

Kärpät
61.9%		 Draw
20.1%		 Vaasa
18%

Prediction (the most likely score): 4:1

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga Vaasan Sport: 0.72%

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Watch Watch and Bet Kärpät – Vaasa available at: Betsson

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.52 4.23 5.25
betsson 1.45 5.10 5.60 Watch Watch and Bet
MarathonBet 1.50 5.00 5.09
WilliamHill 1.48 4.10 5.10
Pinnacle 1.52 4.67 5.06
Best for US Customers 1.51 4.60 4.80

Latest Results

16.09.26 Kärpat Oulu – Ilves hockey – 3:4 OT
05.09.26 Kärpat Oulu – JYP Hockey – 3:4
01.09.26 Kärpat Oulu – Ässät hockey – 3:1
27.08.26 Tappara hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 5:1
26.08.26 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 2:0		 17.09.26 Lukko Hockey – Vaasan Sport – 1:2
15.09.26 Ässät hockey – Vaasan Sport – 5:1
09.09.26 Vaasan Sport – TPS hockey – 2:1
05.09.26 Mikkelin Jukurit – Vaasan Sport – 4:0
04.09.26 Pelicans Hockey – Vaasan Sport – 6:3

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
  • Kärpät is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Vaasa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
  • Vaasa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Vaasa has had a run of games away from home.
  • Kärpät carries the favorite tag into this contest.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät has recorded 14 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:34 (averaging 3.1:1.7 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 36:14 goals (averaging 3.3:1.3 per game).

    • Latest Head To Head

    14.08.26 Kärpat Oulu – Vaasan Sport – 0:0
    17.03.26 Vaasan Sport – Kärpat Oulu – 1:3
    03.01.26 Kärpat Oulu – Vaasan Sport – 6:0
    17.09.25 Vaasan Sport – Kärpat Oulu – 1:2
    09.09.25 Kärpat Oulu – Vaasan Sport – 0:3

    Standings

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Jukurit 6 4 0 0 2 19:14 12
    2 JYP 3 3 0 0 0 14:6 9
    3 Assat 4 3 0 0 1 14:7 9
    4 Pelicans 4 3 0 0 1 12:7 9
    5 Ilves 4 2 1 0 1 11:8 8
    6 Vaasan Sport 6 2 1 0 3 13:21 8
    7 Kiekko-Espoo 4 2 0 1 1 13:7 7
    8 KalPa 4 2 0 0 2 12:7 6
    9 TPS Turku 4 2 0 0 2 11:9 6
    10 SaiPa 2 1 1 0 0 6:3 5
    11 Karpat 3 1 0 1 1 9:9 4
    12 Tappara 2 1 0 0 1 5:6 3
    13 Lukko 4 1 0 0 3 8:11 3
    14 IFK Helsinki 4 1 0 0 3 11:18 3
    15 Hameenlinna 4 1 0 0 3 7:17 3
    16 Jokerit 3 0 0 1 2 8:15 1
    17 KooKoo 3 0 0 0 3 7:15 0

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 3.43 (24.59%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 7.41 (11.38%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 10.21 (8.26%)

    4. JYP Jyvaskyla: 10.21 (8.26%)

    5. IFK Helsinki: 11.06 (7.62%)

    6. Jokerit: 11.63 (7.25%)

    7. Karpat Oulu: 14.67 (5.75%)

    8. Kalpa Kuopio: 17.95 (4.7%)

    9. KooKoo: 18.24 (4.62%)

    10. Saipa: 23.28 (3.62%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 28.17 (2.99%)

    12. Hameenlinna: 30.14 (2.8%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 35.77 (2.36%)

    14. Assat Pori: 35.77 (2.36%)

    15. TPS Turku: 40.34 (2.09%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 116.83 (0.72%)

    17. Jukurit: 134.11 (0.63%)

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