German Bundesliga, on Sunday,
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As Mainz 05 prepares to host Union Berlin on May 10, 2026, fans can expect a closely contested clash in the Bundesliga. Mainz has struggled recently, securing just one victory in their last five outings. This poor run leaves them looking to regain form, particularly in front of their home supporters, where they’ll need to leverage their attacking strength to break down Union’s defensive setup.
Conversely, Union Berlin finds themselves in an even deeper rut, failing to claim a win in their last five matches. Their challenges have largely stemmed from an inability to convert chances into goals, making them vulnerable to Mainz’s counter-attacks. Historically, Union exhibits a solid defensive structure, but they will need to enhance their offensive output to pose a genuine threat in this encounter.
The bookmakers currently favor Mainz with odds of 1.82 for a home victory, while Union Berlin stands at 4.11 for an away win. Model predictions suggest a 43.6% chance of a home win, a 21.2% probability for a draw, and a 27.2% likelihood of an away victory. As both teams strive for a crucial three points, the match promises to be pivotal in their respective campaigns, though outcomes remain uncertain.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-04T03:52:03+00:00.
| Mainz 51.9% |
Draw 25.3% |
Union Berlin 22.8% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1
Watch and Bet Mainz – Union Berlin available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 | |
 |
1.85 | 3.84 | 4.23 | |
 |
1.85 | 3.7 | 4.15 | |
 |
1.86 | 3.94 | 4.47 | Watch and Bet |
 |
1.75 | 3.6 | 4 | |
 |
1.85 | 3.82 | 4 |
Latest Results
| 03.05.26 FC St. Pauli – Mainz 05 – 1:2 25.04.26 Mainz 05 – Bayern Munich – 3:4 19.04.26 Borussia Mönchengladbach – Mainz 05 – 1:1 16.04.26 RC Strasbourg – Mainz 05 – 4:0 12.04.26 Mainz 05 – SC Freiburg – 0:1 |
02.05.26 Union Berlin – 1. FC Köln – 2:2 24.04.26 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin – 3:1 18.04.26 Union Berlin – VfL Wolfsburg – 1:2 11.04.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Union Berlin – 3:1 05.04.26 Union Berlin – FC St. Pauli – 1:1 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 2:2 19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 2:1 24.08.24 Mainz 05 – Union Berlin – 1:1 07.02.24 Mainz 05 – Union Berlin – 1:1 20.08.23 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 4:1 |
Standings
2025/26
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116:35 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 65:32 | 33 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63:42 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:43 | 23 | 58 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:46 | 20 | 58 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64:48 | 16 | 58 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 45:53 | -8 | 44 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:56 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:50 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 42:67 | -25 | 26 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 26 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:69 | -31 | 23 |
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