Mazatlan vs Toluca predictions, Apr 22, 2026

Mexican Liga MX, on Wednesday,

Mazatlan

Toluca

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Mazatlan FC prepares to host Deportivo Toluca on April 22, 2026, the match promises to be a compelling encounter in Liga MX. Recent form suggests challenges for the home side; Mazatlan FC has managed to secure only 1 win in their last 5 matches, indicating struggles in finding consistency and momentum. In contrast, Toluca has demonstrated a more favorable trend, claiming victory in 2 of their last 5 outings.

Toluca’s tactical discipline and ability to capitalize on opponent weaknesses could be instrumental in this clash. The away team is favored by bookmakers, with odds reflecting a strong likelihood of an away win (1.45). Mazatlan, on the other hand, holds odds of 5.1, suggesting they face an uphill battle on their home turf.

Statistical models predict a low probability of a home win at 17.3%, with a likelihood of a draw at 20.8%, and a dominant 62.2% chance for an away victory. The predicted final score echoes these insights, projecting a 1:2 outcome in favor of Toluca. As the teams prepare to clash, fans and bettors alike will be keenly watching for unexpected turns in performance and strategy.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-15T21:52:03+00:00.

Mazatlan
17.3%
Draw
20.7%
Toluca
62.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Toluca: 18.2% Mazatlan FC: 0.3%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
WilliamHill 5 4 1.44
Pinnacle 5.62 4.72 1.5

Latest Results

12.04.26 UNAM Pumas – Mazatlan FC – 3:1
03.04.26 Club Necaxa – Mazatlan FC – 2:1
20.03.26 Mazatlan FC – Cruz Azul FC – 1:1
15.03.26 Club América – Mazatlan FC – 2:0
06.03.26 Mazatlan FC – Club León – 4:2
12.04.26 Deportivo Toluca – Atlético San Luis – 1:1
08.04.26 Deportivo Toluca – Los Angeles Galaxy – 4:2
04.04.26 Querétaro FC – Deportivo Toluca – 1:0
22.03.26 CF Pachuca – Deportivo Toluca – 1:1
18.03.26 Deportivo Toluca – San Diego FC – 4:0

Facts

  • Let’s watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.
  • Mazatlan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Toluca‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Toluca is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 1.2:2.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    27.09.25 Deportivo Toluca – Mazatlan FC – 3:1
    24.01.25 Mazatlan FC – Deportivo Toluca – 2:1
    04.01.25 Mazatlan FC – Deportivo Toluca – 1:3
    17.07.24 Deportivo Toluca – Mazatlan FC – 3:0
    20.01.24 Deportivo Toluca – Mazatlan FC – 4:1

    Standings

    Clausura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Guadalajara Chivas ✔ 14 10 1 3 28:17 11 31
    2 Cruz Azul 14 8 4 2 25:15 10 28
    3 Pachuca 14 8 4 2 21:13 8 28
    4 UNAM Pumas 14 7 6 1 26:15 11 27
    5 Toluca 14 7 6 1 20:9 11 27
    6 Tigres UANL 14 6 2 6 22:16 6 20
    7 Club America 14 5 4 5 15:13 2 19
    8 Atlas 14 5 4 5 14:18 -4 19
    9 Club Leon 14 6 1 7 16:24 -8 19
    10 Club Tijuana 14 4 6 4 15:15 0 18
    11 Juarez 14 4 4 6 21:24 -3 16
    12 Necaxa 14 5 1 8 17:20 -3 16
    13 Monterrey 14 4 3 7 19:17 2 15
    14 Atl. San Luis 14 4 3 7 21:23 -2 15
    15 Queretaro 14 3 6 5 13:18 -5 15
    16 Puebla 14 3 4 7 11:17 -6 13
    17 Mazatlan FC 14 3 2 9 16:28 -12 11
    18 Santos Laguna 14 2 3 9 17:35 -18 9

    Mexican Liga MX Outrights

    1. Cruz Azul: 4.5 (20.23%)

    2. Toluca: 5 (18.2%)

    3. Pachuca: 9 (10.11%)

    4. Guadalajara: 9.5 (9.58%)

    5. UNAM Pumas: 10 (9.1%)

    6. Club America: 11 (8.27%)

    7. Tigres UANL: 13 (7%)

    8. Monterrey: 26 (3.5%)

    9. Atlas: 26 (3.5%)

    10. Club Leon: 34 (2.68%)

    11. Necaxa: 41 (2.22%)

    12. Club Tijuana: 41 (2.22%)

    13. Juarez: 67 (1.36%)

    14. Atletico San Luis: 101 (0.9%)

    15. Queretaro: 201 (0.45%)

    16. Mazatlan FC: 301 (0.3%)

    17. Santos Laguna: 501 (0.18%)

    18. Puebla: 501 (0.18%)

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