Melbourne Storm vs Newcastle Knights predictions, Jun 05, 2026

Australian NRL, on Friday,

Melbourne Storm

Newcastle Knights

Score, Highlights

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As the Melbourne Storm host the Newcastle Knights in an anticipated NRL clash on June 5, 2026, both teams arrive with varying degrees of momentum. The Storm, despite securing only 2 wins in their last 5 encounters, remain formidable at home, lending credibility to their status as slight favorites with bookmakers offering odds of 1.64 for a home win. Their tactical approach is typically characterized by strong forward play and a well-structured defense, which they will rely on to capitalize on home advantage.

Conversely, the Newcastle Knights have shown more consistent form recently, clinching 3 victories in their last 5 matches. Boasting an impressive attacking set-up, they will aim to exploit any defensive lapses by the Storm. Bookmakers have set their odds at 2.34 for an away victory, reflecting the Knights’ ability to challenge strong opponents.

Our model suggests a probability of 53.8% for a home win, with a predicted final score of 29:24 in favor of the Storm. However, both teams possess the tactical discipline to influence the match outcome, making it a highly competitive fixture. As always in rugby league, the result is uncertain, with both clubs capable of delivering exciting performances.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-29T22:52:01+00:00.

Melbourne
56.5%
Draw
3.9%
Newcastle
39.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 29:24

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 1.75 18 2.3
MarathonBet 1.6 27 2.39
WilliamHill 1.6 23 2.3

Latest Results

22.05.26 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs – Melbourne Storm – 30:20
16.05.26 Parramatta Eels – Melbourne Storm – 8:34
10.05.26 Melbourne Storm – Wests Tigers – 44:16
01.05.26 Dolphins NRL – Melbourne Storm – 28:10
25.04.26 Melbourne Storm – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 6:48
17.05.26 Gold Coast Titans – Newcastle Knights – 12:36
09.05.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Newcastle Knights – 10:44
03.05.26 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 42:38
26.04.26 Newcastle Knights – Penrith Panthers – 12:44
19.04.26 Sydney Roosters – Newcastle Knights – 38:24

Facts

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Melbourne might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 584:290. (average 29.2:14.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 304:142. (average 30.4:14.2).

    Latest Head To Head

    12.07.25 Newcastle Knights – Melbourne Storm – 14:32
    09.06.24 Melbourne Storm – Newcastle Knights – 36:28
    24.03.24 Newcastle Knights – Melbourne Storm – 14:12
    23.02.24 Melbourne Storm – Newcastle Knights – 28:10
    22.07.23 Newcastle Knights – Melbourne Storm – 26:18

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Penrith Panthers 11 10 1 349:146 20
    2 New Zealand Warriors 11 9 2 350:194 20
    3 Manly Sea Eagles 12 7 5 339:236 16
    4 Sydney Roosters 10 7 3 293:232 16
    5 NQ Cowboys 12 8 4 317:290 16
    6 South Sydney Rabbitohs 11 6 5 324:266 14
    7 Dolphins 11 6 5 290:239 14
    8 Cronulla Sharks 11 6 5 322:282 14
    9 Newcastle Knights 11 7 4 312:284 14
    10 Wests Tigers 10 5 5 253:269 12
    11 Brisbane Broncos 11 5 6 226:283 10
    12 Canterbury Bulldogs 11 4 7 203:296 10
    13 Melbourne Storm 12 4 8 296:314 8
    14 Canberra Raiders 11 4 7 223:309 8
    15 Parramatta Eels 11 4 7 235:379 8
    16 Gold Coast Titans 11 2 9 192:280 6
    17 St. George Illawarra Dragons 11 0 11 142:367 2

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