Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions, Jan 04, 2026

NBA, Kaseya Center (Miami, FL) on Sunday,

Miami Heat

New Orleans Pelicans

Score, Highlights

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On January 4, 2026, the Miami Heat will host the New Orleans Pelicans in what promises to be an intriguing matchup in the NBA. The Heat enter this game on a solid run, having won four of their last five matches, showcasing their strong offensive and defensive capabilities. Their recent form reflects a team that has found rhythm and cohesion, with effective ball movement and tenacious defense being key components of their success.

In stark contrast, the New Orleans Pelicans are struggling, having lost their last five games. Their current form raises concerns about their ability to compete effectively, as defensive lapses and inconsistency on offense have plagued the team.

According to bookmakers, Miami is favored to win at odds of 1.33, while New Orleans is listed at 3.3. Probability models suggest a 73.8% likelihood of a home victory and a 26.2% chance of an away win. While the Heat’s recent dominance presents a significant advantage, upsets can happen in basketball. The Pelicans will need to find a way to break their losing streak and capitalize on any weaknesses displayed by the Heat, making this a game worth watching from multiple angles.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-03T22:52:03+00:00.

Miami
69.7%
New Orleans
30.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 124:117

Outrights of NBA Miami Heat: 1.02% New Orleans Pelicans: 0.09%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Pinnacle 1.37 3.10
Best for US Customers 1.33 3.3

Latest Results

03.01.26 Miami Heat – Minnesota Timberwolves – 115:125
01.01.26 Detroit Pistons – Miami Heat – 112:118
29.12.25 Miami Heat – Denver Nuggets – 147:123
27.12.25 Miami Heat – Indiana Pacers – 142:116
26.12.25 Atlanta Hawks – Miami Heat – 111:126
02.01.26 New Orleans Pelicans – Portland Trail Blazers – 109:122
31.12.25 Chicago Bulls – New Orleans Pelicans – 134:118
29.12.25 New Orleans Pelicans – New York Knicks – 125:130
27.12.25 New Orleans Pelicans – Phoenix Suns – 114:123
26.12.25 New Orleans Pelicans – Phoenix Suns – 108:115

Facts

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 4.
  • Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • New Orleans is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, New Orleans has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Miami is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Miami: Herro T.
    (Toe Injury)
    Rozier T.
    (Suspended)
  • There will not play in New Orleans: Bey S.
    (Hip Injury)
    Jones H.
    (Ankle Injury)
    Murray D.
    (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    Queen D.
    (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Miami: Larsson P.
    (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in New Orleans: Murphy T.
    (Back Injury)
  • We predict that Miami will win today’s game, with odds of 1.37.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2213:2050. (average 110.7:102.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1199:1150. (average 109:104.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    11.04.25 New Orleans Pelicans – Miami Heat – 104:153
    01.01.25 Miami Heat – New Orleans Pelicans – 119:108
    13.10.24 Miami Heat – New Orleans Pelicans – 101:99
    22.03.24 Miami Heat – New Orleans Pelicans – 88:111
    23.02.24 New Orleans Pelicans – Miami Heat – 95:106

    Standings

    2025/26

    Western Conference

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Oklahoma City Thunder 35 30 5 4284:3750 0.857
    2 San Antonio Spurs 35 25 10 4191:3996 0.714
    3 Houston Rockets 31 21 10 3736:3455 0.677
    4 Denver Nuggets 34 23 11 4237:4007 0.676
    5 Los Angeles Lakers 32 21 11 3750:3756 0.656
    6 Minnesota Timberwolves 35 22 13 4163:4011 0.629
    7 Phoenix Suns 34 20 14 3926:3856 0.588
    8 Golden State Warriors 35 18 17 4024:3988 0.514
    9 Portland Trail Blazers 36 16 20 4187:4307 0.444
    10 Memphis Grizzlies 34 15 19 3945:3974 0.441
    11 Los Angeles Clippers 33 12 21 3706:3749 0.364
    12 Utah Jazz 33 12 21 3955:4186 0.364
    13 Dallas Mavericks 35 12 23 3975:4125 0.343
    14 Sacramento Kings 35 8 27 3872:4286 0.229
    15 New Orleans Pelicans 36 8 28 4155:4431 0.222

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Detroit Pistons 34 25 9 4043:3836 0.735
    2 New York Knicks 35 23 12 4216:4024 0.657
    3 Boston Celtics 33 21 12 3861:3650 0.636
    4 Toronto Raptors 36 21 15 4118:4055 0.583
    5 Philadelphia 76ers 33 19 14 3862:3832 0.576
    6 Cleveland Cavaliers 36 20 16 4300:4208 0.556
    7 Miami Heat 35 19 16 4225:4116 0.543
    8 Orlando Magic 35 19 16 4079:4029 0.543
    9 Chicago Bulls 35 17 18 4139:4262 0.486
    10 Atlanta Hawks 37 17 20 4402:4437 0.459
    11 Milwaukee Bucks 35 15 20 3965:4061 0.429
    12 Charlotte Hornets 35 12 23 4054:4146 0.343
    13 Brooklyn Nets 32 10 22 3485:3656 0.313
    14 Washington Wizards 33 9 24 3741:4088 0.273
    15 Indiana Pacers 35 6 29 3855:4174 0.171

    NBA Outrights

    1. Oklahoma City Thunder: 2.05 (41.92%)

    2. Denver Nuggets: 9.25 (9.29%)

    3. New York Knicks: 12.5 (6.87%)

    4. San Antonio Spurs: 13 (6.61%)

    5. Houston Rockets: 14.5 (5.93%)

    6. Cleveland Cavaliers: 20 (4.3%)

    7. Detroit Pistons: 22 (3.91%)

    8. Los Angeles Lakers: 23 (3.74%)

    9. Boston Celtics: 24.5 (3.51%)

    10. Golden State Warriors: 32.5 (2.64%)

    11. Minnesota Timberwolves: 33.5 (2.57%)

    12. Orlando Magic: 38.5 (2.23%)

    13. Philadelphia 76ers: 53.5 (1.61%)

    14. Atlanta Hawks: 78.5 (1.09%)

    15. Miami Heat: 84 (1.02%)

    16. Los Angeles Clippers: 126 (0.68%)

    17. Toronto Raptors: 151 (0.57%)

    18. Milwaukee Bucks: 176 (0.49%)

    19. Dallas Mavericks: 501 (0.17%)

    20. Phoenix Suns: 626 (0.14%)

    21. Chicago Bulls: 751 (0.11%)

    22. Memphis Grizzlies: 1001 (0.09%)

    23. New Orleans Pelicans: 1001 (0.09%)

    24. Portland Trail Blazers: 1126 (0.08%)

    25. Charlotte Hornets: 1251 (0.07%)

    26. Washington Wizards: 1501 (0.06%)

    27. Brooklyn Nets: 1501 (0.06%)

    28. Utah Jazz: 1501 (0.06%)

    29. Indiana Pacers: 1501 (0.06%)

    30. Sacramento Kings: 1501 (0.06%)

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